ZIP 11215’s June 2026 Zillow Observed Rent Index, or ZORI, is $4,205 per month. ZORI is a ZIP-level, typical observed asking-rent index blended across rental types, not a lease quote for every home. The same five-digit label is both a Zillow ZIP market identifier and a Census ZCTA match; a ZCTA is a statistical area and is not identical to a USPS delivery ZIP. Against broader context only, the city-wide New York rent context is $4,133, the county-wide Kings County rent context is $3,808, and the metro-wide New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA rent context is $3,573. Thus the ZIP index sits above each wider-context rent figure, without making any of them a ZIP observation.
Direct ZIP resale liquidity provides an important tension with that rent reading. Redfin’s direct rolling-three-month ZIP resale observation is for-sale evidence, not rental transactions: its median sold price is $1,799,593, a 16.1% year-over-year increase, with 102 homes sold and a median 34 days on market. It records inventory of 146, down 18.31% year over year, and 4.4 months of supply. The sale-to-list signals are a 99.39% average sale-to-list ratio, a 40.44% sold-above-list share, and a 10.06% off-market-within-two-weeks share. The resale price change is greater than the current asking-rent change, confirming an upward price direction while challenging any simple link between the rent trend, income arithmetic, and resale pricing. Annualized ZIP ZORI divided by median sold price is a 2.80% cross-source screening ratio only; it does not measure property operating income, net returns, or expected returns.
Rent history supplies the longer lens, but it remains backward-looking rather than a forecast or investment recommendation. The supplied category calls this history accelerating. At the June history endpoint, exact same-month annualized ZORI changes were 7.81% over one year, 5.44% over three years, and 8.13% over five years. The latest pace therefore confirms the broader upward path and is faster than the three-year result, yet it does not fully match the five-year pace. The record has 138 monthly observations and 100% coverage. Annualized monthly-return variability of 2.46% means a current index point should be read with the preceding path rather than alone. Separately, the historical 8.92% maximum drawdown shows that asking-rent movements have reversed before. Transparent national discovery ranks among history-eligible ZIPs are 109 for momentum, 617 for stability, and 47 for the balanced measure, with lower ranks indicating higher placement; they are descriptive, not predictive.
An affordability comparison must retain its separate evidence universes. The matched Census ZCTA’s ACS 2024 five-year survey reports a $2,831 median gross rent for occupied renter homes, and that measure includes selected utilities. The current asking index is 48.5% above that survey median, but the measures differ in definition and timing and should not be converted into a claim about a particular listing. Annualizing the current index and applying a 30% share produces a required household income of $168,200. This required-income screen is arithmetic, not advice and not an applicant qualification rule. The ZCTA median household income is $185,865, and the annualized asking index equals 27.1% of that median. Neither statistic determines an individual renter’s income, expenses, eligibility, or lease terms.
Bedroom figures are deliberately modelled estimates, not measured bedroom rents. The fiscal-year 2026 local HUD FMR/SAFMR ladder is an administrative bedroom-specific standard, not asking rent; the ZIP estimates scale ZORI proportionally with that ladder. The resulting monthly modelled estimates are $3,050 for a studio, $3,538 for one bedroom, $4,205 for two bedrooms, $5,151 for three bedrooms, and $5,935 for four bedrooms. They should not be read as observed bedroom asking-rent samples, HUD payment amounts, or unit-specific comparables. Their role is to translate one blended-rental-type ZIP index into a transparent size sequence while preserving the distinction between Zillow asking-rent evidence and HUD standards.
The ACS ZCTA housing picture is survey context, not an availability feed. Its vacancy rate is 7.84%, with 896 homes tabulated as vacant for rent, while renter-occupied homes represent 57.7% of occupied housing. The structure counts include 4,313 single-family units and 5,381 units in large multifamily structures; those two categories do not describe every unit type. Among renter households, 33.0% reported gross-rent burden at or above the stated threshold. This burden measure pertains to surveyed occupied renter homes and the ACS gross-rent definition, including selected utilities. Neither a vacancy count nor a burden share establishes that a particular unit is vacant, affordable, available on stated terms, or occupied by a household with any given finances.
Broader comparisons should remain broader. The city-wide New York and county-wide Kings County contexts reported above have higher renter shares and burden shares than the matched ZCTA, while their contextual median gross rents are lower. Those city and county figures describe their own wider geographies; they neither reweight ZIP ZORI nor replace the ZCTA survey. The metro-wide New York-Newark-Jersey City context is broader still: its rent, HUD standard, rent-to-income, job-change, apartment-vacancy, and apartment-marketing-time measures summarize the metropolitan area, not this ZIP. In particular, the metro apartment evidence is not a direct local rental transaction series, and it cannot reconcile the separate Zillow asking-rent, ACS occupied-home, HUD administrative, and Redfin resale universes. These scope limits matter when the current index is compared across levels.
Several limits prevent a unit-level conclusion. ZORI is blended across rental types; ACS is a five-year survey with sampling uncertainty; HUD is an administrative standard; and the resale observation covers for-sale homes rather than rentals. Property-level checking would therefore require the advertised asking rent, bedroom count, unit type, included and excluded utilities, lease length, concessions, current availability, and the address’s ZIP treatment. If a sale comparison is relevant, its listing history, final sold price, marketing time, and sale-to-list result would need to be matched to the specific property rather than inferred from the ZIP median. The unresolved factual question is whether the individual unit’s current terms actually match any of these aggregate evidence universes.
","findings":[{"body":"June 2026 ZIP ZORI is $4,205, above the city-wide New York context of $4,133, the county-wide Kings County context of $3,808, and the metro-wide context of $3,573. This is a blended typical asking-rent index across rental types. The 11215 label also matches a Census ZCTA, but that statistical geography is not the same as a USPS delivery ZIP.","title":"Current asking-rent position"},{"body":"Backward-looking history shows 7.81% exact same-month annualized growth over one year, 5.44% over three years, and 8.13% over five years. The current pace is above the three-year measure but below the five-year measure. Full coverage across 138 observations supports the history window, while 2.46% variability and an 8.92% maximum drawdown caution against treating one index reading as complete evidence.","title":"History confirms an upward path with prior reversals"},{"body":"ACS 2024 five-year median gross rent is $2,831 for occupied renter homes and includes selected utilities, whereas ZORI is an asking-rent index. The 30% arithmetic screen produces $168,200 required annual household income from the current index and is not qualification guidance. HUD scaling produces modelled, not observed, estimates from $3,050 for studios through $5,935 for four bedrooms.","title":"Survey rent, income arithmetic, and bedroom sizing are distinct"},{"body":"Redfin’s direct rolling-three-month resale observation records a $1,799,593 median sold price, 102 sold homes, 34 median days on market, and 4.4 months of supply. It is a for-sale market observation, not rental evidence. Its 16.1% price increase exceeds current asking-rent growth, creating a cross-source tension. The 2.80% annualized ZORI-to-price figure is screening arithmetic, not property economics.","title":"Resale direction is stronger than rent growth"}],"risks":["The Zillow index is a blended ZIP asking-rent measure, so it cannot establish the current price, bedroom mix, condition, utilities, concessions, or availability of any individual rental unit.","ACS values are five-year survey estimates for a matched statistical ZCTA and occupied homes. Their timing, sampling uncertainty, and geography limit direct comparison with current ZIP asking-rent evidence.","The bedroom sequence is modelled by applying the local HUD ladder to ZORI. HUD FMR or SAFMR standards are administrative benchmarks, not observed bedroom-specific asking rents.","Redfin measures direct ZIP for-sale activity rather than rentals. Median resale price and the ZORI-to-price screening ratio cannot establish property-level operating costs, transaction terms, or returns."],"qa":[{"a":"It is Zillow’s typical observed asking-rent index for the ZIP market and blends rental types. It is not a measure of every advertised unit, a signed lease, or an ACS renter-household outcome. The ZIP identifier aligns with a ZCTA label, but ZCTA boundaries are statistical and differ from USPS delivery ZIP geography.","q":"What does the ZIP ZORI number represent?"},{"a":"ACS measures median gross rent in occupied renter homes through a five-year survey and includes selected utilities. Zillow ZORI is a current typical observed asking-rent index. Different source populations, definitions, observation periods, and included housing costs mean the two figures should be compared for context rather than treated as interchangeable rents.","q":"Why do ACS median gross rent and Zillow ZORI differ?"},{"a":"The bedroom values are modelled estimates created by scaling the blended ZIP ZORI with the local HUD FMR or SAFMR bedroom ladder. They are not measured rents. The required-income figure simply annualizes the index and applies a 30% share. It is arithmetic only, not advice, a household budget finding, or an applicant qualification rule.","q":"How should the bedroom and required-income figures be interpreted?"},{"a":"Redfin’s rolling-three-month ZIP observation describes for-sale transactions, including sold prices, homes sold, marketing time, inventory, supply, and sale-to-list behavior. It is not a rental comparable set. Dividing annualized ZORI by median sold price creates only a cross-source screening ratio; it does not measure operating income, net return, or any property-specific outcome.","q":"How should the Redfin resale evidence be used alongside rental evidence?"}],"sources":[{"key":"apartment_list_time_on_market","name":"Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/category/data-rent-estimates"},{"key":"apartment_list_vacancy","name":"Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/apartment-list-vacancy-index-methodology"},{"key":"census_zcta_facts","name":"Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and income","release":"ACS 2024 5-year ZCTA","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5.html"},{"key":"hud_zip","name":"HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — 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