ZIP 33127’s defining measured tension is the distance between its current asking-rent index and its income reference. In June 2026, Zillow ZORI was $2,959 per month, while the ZIP’s median household income was $41,230. Annualizing that asking-rent index produces a $118,360 income screen at 30% of income, or 86.1% of the reported median household income. This is arithmetic rather than advice, an applicant qualification rule, or a household budget estimate. Zillow ZORI itself is a typical observed asking-rent index blended across rental types, so it is useful for a current market-level asking-rent signal but does not describe every advertised unit or completed lease.
The backward-looking Zillow history shows growth at several horizons, although recent movement is slower than the longer path. The exact same-month one-year change was 3.3% annualized, the three-year change was 2.5%, and the five-year change was 7.9%. Thus, the latest direction still confirms rent growth, but it does not match the stronger five-year pace. The record contains 79 monthly observations, 78 consecutive monthly returns, and 100% coverage, which supports a complete historical read. Monthly-return variability was 3.7% annualized, meaning a single current rent snapshot deserves less confidence than a smooth series would warrant. The maximum drawdown was 2.1%, a comparatively limited observed decline. National discovery ranks were 1,038 for momentum, 2,442 for stability, and 1,812 for the balanced measure; these are transparent backward-looking ranks, not forecasts or recommendations.
The bedroom figures are modelled estimates rather than measured bedroom rents. Scaling ZIP ZORI through the local HUD ladder produces monthly estimates of $2,268 for a studio, $2,411 for one bedroom, $2,959 for two bedrooms, $3,966 for three bedrooms, and $4,582 for four bedrooms. The FY2026 HUD FMR/SAFMR two-bedroom standard is $2,333, 26.8% below the current ZIP asking-rent index. HUD FMR/SAFMR is an administrative, bedroom-specific standard rather than asking rent; it supplies the local relative bedroom ladder, while Zillow supplies the ZIP-level index being scaled. These modelled estimates should therefore not be read as observed asking-rent medians for any bedroom category.
Matched ACS evidence describes a different universe: the Census ZCTA is a statistical area and is not identical to a USPS delivery ZIP. In the ACS 2024 five-year survey, the ZCTA had 11,088 housing units, including 5,434 single-family units and 2,647 units in large multifamily structures. Of all units, 9,292 were occupied and 1,796 were vacant, yielding a 16.2% vacancy rate. Renters occupied 6,792 homes, or 73.1% of occupied units. Median gross rent was $1,455, and 4,376 renter households, or 64.4%, were burdened by rent at or above the survey threshold. ACS median gross rent is a five-year survey measure for occupied renter homes and includes selected utilities; at 2.03 times lower than current ZORI, it should not be treated as a competing asking-rent quote.
Wider-geography comparison puts the ZIP’s rent signal in context without substituting for ZIP evidence: the City of Miami context asking-rent index was $3,004, Miami-Dade County context asking rent was $2,886, and the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL metro context asking rent was $2,695. ZIP ZORI therefore sits slightly below the city context, above the county context, and above the metro context. The City of Miami context median household income was $62,462 and the metro context median household income was $76,527, both higher than the ZIP figure. The ZIP is also more renter-weighted than the city and county contexts, while its vacancy rate is higher than both. Those relationships identify a local affordability tension, not an explanation for any household’s choices or a conclusion about an individual property.
Redfin’s direct rolling-three-month ZIP resale observation belongs entirely to the for-sale market, not to rental transactions. It reported a median sold price of $622,359, up 3.7% year over year, with 60 homes sold and 110 median days on market. Inventory was 164 homes and months of supply stood at 8.4. The average sale-to-list ratio was 95.1%; 12.1% of sales closed above list, while 10.8% of listings went off market within two weeks. These measures provide direct ZIP resale liquidity and pricing signals, but they are not rental comparables or property operating results. Annualized ZIP ZORI divided by Redfin median sold price is a 5.7% screening ratio only. It is not a cap rate, net return, expected return, or property yield.
The resale record complicates a simple rent-growth reading. Median sold price appreciation confirms that the observed resale price level was higher than a year earlier, yet the long marketing time, substantial supply, below-list average sale signal, and modest above-list share point to a less urgent resale setting than price growth alone might imply. At the same time, asking-rent history remains positive but has decelerated relative to its five-year pace, while the income and ACS burden measures remain strained. That combination challenges any attempt to infer a straightforward relationship between current asking rent and resale conditions. It also reinforces that the rent-to-price screening ratio is cross-source arithmetic, not an estimate of asset performance.
Several limits should frame use of this ZIP report. Zillow reflects an asking-rent index, ACS reflects surveyed occupied homes over a five-year period, HUD provides an administrative standard, and Redfin records resale observations over a rolling period; their dates, populations, and definitions differ. Vacancy and rent burden describe area-level survey conditions and cannot establish the availability, affordability, or tenant experience of a particular unit. Property-level review should verify bedroom count, unit condition, lease terms, asking-rent concessions, utility treatment, actual comparable listings, transaction history, days listed, association obligations, insurance, taxes, repair needs, and financing terms. The evidence is descriptive and backward-looking, so it does not forecast rents, prices, or outcomes.
","findings":[{"body":"Current Zillow ZORI is materially high relative to the ZIP’s reported median household income. The resulting 30% required-income screen is an arithmetic indicator of the distance between a typical asking-rent index and an area-wide income statistic. It is not a leasing rule, affordability determination, or statement that any resident pays the indexed asking rent.","title":"Asking-rent and income screen are far apart"},{"body":"Same-month rent changes remain positive over the one-year, three-year, and five-year windows, but the longer five-year growth rate exceeds the more recent rates. Complete historical coverage supports the measurement, while high variability means one current ZORI reading should be interpreted as a useful index point rather than as a perfectly stable market price.","title":"Rent history is positive but not uniformly paced"},{"body":"ACS median gross rent is much lower than Zillow ZORI, but the figures should not be combined as if they were simultaneous lease quotes. ACS is a five-year survey of occupied renter homes and includes selected utilities, whereas ZORI is a current typical asking-rent index. The renter share, burden measure, and vacancy rate remain area-level survey indicators.","title":"Survey rent and asking rent answer different questions"},{"body":"Redfin provides direct ZIP for-sale evidence on sold prices, marketing time, supply, and sale-to-list outcomes. Rising median sold price sits alongside relatively long marketing time and supply conditions that do not indicate uniformly urgent resale demand. The rent-price calculation is only a cross-source screening ratio and excludes property expenses, financing, taxes, insurance, and unit-specific operations.","title":"Resale signals do not convert into rental economics"}],"risks":["The current asking-rent index, ACS gross-rent statistic, HUD bedroom standards, and Redfin resale observations use different populations, definitions, and time windows, so apparent gaps cannot be interpreted as direct unit-level price differences.","Area-wide income and rent-burden measures indicate a substantial affordability tension, but neither measure establishes an individual applicant’s income, actual lease payment, utility responsibility, or ability to rent a specific home.","Historical rent movement was positive across stated horizons but classified as high variability, so recent index direction may not provide a stable basis for extrapolating future asking rents or lease renewal outcomes.","The resale screening ratio excludes operating expenses, capital needs, financing, taxes, insurance, association costs, and property condition; it should not be used as a measure of return, yield, or investment performance."],"qa":[{"a":"Zillow ZORI is used here as a ZIP-level typical observed asking-rent index blended across rental types. It is not a count of signed leases, a survey of occupied renter homes, or a measured rent for a particular bedroom count. It provides the current asking-rent reference and the historical rent series.","q":"What does Zillow ZORI measure in this report?"},{"a":"The studio through four-bedroom figures are modelled monthly estimates. They scale the ZIP Zillow ZORI level using relative differences in the local HUD FMR/SAFMR bedroom ladder. Because HUD is an administrative standard rather than observed asking rent, the outputs are not measured bedroom rents or unit-specific rental comparables.","q":"How were the bedroom rent figures created?"},{"a":"The two sources cover different evidence universes. ACS is a five-year survey of occupied renter homes in the matched Census ZCTA and includes selected utilities in gross rent. Zillow ZORI is a current asking-rent index. The gap therefore does not demonstrate a rent increase for a particular home or tenant.","q":"Why is ACS median gross rent lower than Zillow ZORI?"},{"a":"It shows annualized ZIP ZORI divided by the direct ZIP median sold price from Redfin’s rolling resale observation. That arithmetic can compare current rent and sale-price levels across sources, but it cannot estimate property cash flow. It omits expenses, financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy experience, and individual property characteristics.","q":"What can the Redfin screening ratio tell a reader?"}],"sources":[{"key":"apartment_list_time_on_market","name":"Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/category/data-rent-estimates"},{"key":"apartment_list_vacancy","name":"Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/apartment-list-vacancy-index-methodology"},{"key":"census_zcta_facts","name":"Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and income","release":"ACS 2024 5-year ZCTA","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5.html"},{"key":"hud_zip","name":"HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallback","release":"ZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY2026","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/usps_crosswalk.html"},{"key":"realtor_county","name":"Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory","release":"county inventory 2026-06","pulledAt":"2026-07-28","url":"https://www.realtor.com/research/data/"},{"key":"redfin","name":"Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts","release":"metro tracker through 2026-05-01","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/"},{"key":"redfin_zip","name":"Redfin Data Center — ZIP resale activity and supply","release":"ZIP rolling 3 months through 2026-06-30; updated 2026-07-03","pulledAt":"2026-08-12","url":"https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/"},{"key":"zillow_county","name":"Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents","release":"county ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"},{"key":"zillow_zori","name":"Zillow ZORI — metro market rents","release":"Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"},{"key":"zillow_zori_city","name":"Zillow ZORI — city market rents","release":"zillow_zori_city.csv","pulledAt":"2026-07-29","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"},{"key":"zillow_zori_zip","name":"Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rents","release":"ZORI ZIP 2026-06","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"}],"history":[{"period":"2019-12-01","rent":1711.131321},{"period":"2020-01-01","rent":1752.592651},{"period":"2020-02-01","rent":1770.111248},{"period":"2020-03-01","rent":1749.61176},{"period":"2020-04-01","rent":1732.677651},{"period":"2020-05-01","rent":1753.279694},{"period":"2020-06-01","rent":1768.168951},{"period":"2020-07-01","rent":1783.349061},{"period":"2020-08-01","rent":1798.384402},{"period":"2020-09-01","rent":1795.301665},{"period":"2020-10-01","rent":1791.960866},{"period":"2020-11-01","rent":1769.783753},{"period":"2020-12-01","rent":1771.036942},{"period":"2021-01-01","rent":1790.464578},{"period":"2021-02-01","rent":1824.157791},{"period":"2021-03-01","rent":1876.896225},{"period":"2021-04-01","rent":1912.696074},{"period":"2021-05-01","rent":1952.881897},{"period":"2021-06-01","rent":2018.765001},{"period":"2021-07-01","rent":2058.279197},{"period":"2021-08-01","rent":2089.54177},{"period":"2021-09-01","rent":2150.372471},{"period":"2021-10-01","rent":2224.240153},{"period":"2021-11-01","rent":2333.486232},{"period":"2021-12-01","rent":2380.471917},{"period":"2022-01-01","rent":2427.26631},{"period":"2022-02-01","rent":2465.910809},{"period":"2022-03-01","rent":2492.333944},{"period":"2022-04-01","rent":2526.779615},{"period":"2022-05-01","rent":2547.046304},{"period":"2022-06-01","rent":2553.240692},{"period":"2022-07-01","rent":2589.246447},{"period":"2022-08-01","rent":2599.927086},{"period":"2022-09-01","rent":2619.624104},{"period":"2022-10-01","rent":2651.2959},{"period":"2022-11-01","rent":2655.419839},{"period":"2022-12-01","rent":2684.691283},{"period":"2023-01-01","rent":2671.223354},{"period":"2023-02-01","rent":2691.957907},{"period":"2023-03-01","rent":2702.229158},{"period":"2023-04-01","rent":2724.73225},{"period":"2023-05-01","rent":2730.139094},{"period":"2023-06-01","rent":2743.706134},{"period":"2023-07-01","rent":2745.86156},{"period":"2023-08-01","rent":2772.925059},{"period":"2023-09-01","rent":2767.537453},{"period":"2023-10-01","rent":2773.595704},{"period":"2023-11-01","rent":2758.448333},{"period":"2023-12-01","rent":2767.312675},{"period":"2024-01-01","rent":2741.907399},{"period":"2024-02-01","rent":2749.26471},{"period":"2024-03-01","rent":2746.224777},{"period":"2024-04-01","rent":2772.125417},{"period":"2024-05-01","rent":2775.984235},{"period":"2024-06-01","rent":2781.170793},{"period":"2024-07-01","rent":2789.576694},{"period":"2024-08-01","rent":2795.596728},{"period":"2024-09-01","rent":2810.435511},{"period":"2024-10-01","rent":2798.547474},{"period":"2024-11-01","rent":2829.263543},{"period":"2024-12-01","rent":2835.299407},{"period":"2025-01-01","rent":2876.301125},{"period":"2025-02-01","rent":2862.733463},{"period":"2025-03-01","rent":2864.408389},{"period":"2025-04-01","rent":2856.356153},{"period":"2025-05-01","rent":2861.531817},{"period":"2025-06-01","rent":2864.981234},{"period":"2025-07-01","rent":2868.351134},{"period":"2025-08-01","rent":2866.92903},{"period":"2025-09-01","rent":2871.372653},{"period":"2025-10-01","rent":2887.916763},{"period":"2025-11-01","rent":2886.15584},{"period":"2025-12-01","rent":2888.720094},{"period":"2026-01-01","rent":2889.696705},{"period":"2026-02-01","rent":2909.896591},{"period":"2026-03-01","rent":2926.499283},{"period":"2026-04-01","rent":2933.9228},{"period":"2026-05-01","rent":2946.310626},{"period":"2026-06-01","rent":2958.960088}],"historySummary":{"pointCount":79,"firstPeriod":"2019-12-01","latestPeriod":"2026-06-01","coverageMonths":79,"coverageRatio":1,"changes":{"1":{"years":1,"startPeriod":"2025-06-01","endPeriod":"2026-06-01","startRent":2864.981234,"endRent":2958.960088,"change":0.03280260718105632,"cagr":0.03280260718105632},"3":{"years":3,"startPeriod":"2023-06-01","endPeriod":"2026-06-01","startRent":2743.706134,"endRent":2958.960088,"change":0.07845372043768584,"cagr":0.025495685829779013},"5":{"years":5,"startPeriod":"2021-06-01","endPeriod":"2026-06-01","startRent":2018.765001,"endRent":2958.960088,"change":0.4657278516985741,"cagr":0.07947022592782838}},"maxDrawdown":-0.02114759569055058,"annualizedVolatility":0.037230223469486935,"consecutiveReturnCount":78}}