In June 2026, Zillow’s current ZIP-level ZORI for 92507 is $2,373 per month, 0.9% above the comparable month a year earlier. ZORI is a typical observed asking-rent index blended across rental types, so it signals asking rents rather than a lease-level quote. That five-digit label is both Zillow’s ZIP market identifier and the Census ZCTA match used here; a ZCTA is a statistical area and is not identical to a USPS delivery ZIP. For wider asking-rent context, Riverside city is $2,420, Riverside County is $2,591, and the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA metro is $2,539. The ZIP index is below each named larger geography, an observed scope comparison rather than evidence about a property, neighborhood, or future move.
The matched Census ZCTA ACS 2024 five-year survey reports $1,895 as median gross rent for occupied renter homes, placing current ZORI 25.2% higher. These measures must remain separate: ACS is a survey across its five-year window and median gross rent includes selected utilities, whereas ZORI represents typical observed asking rents blended across rental types. Applying today’s index mechanically, $2,373 per month corresponds to $94,920 of annual income when rent is 30% of income. That screen exceeds the ZCTA’s $75,303 median household income; annualized index rent equals 37.8% of that income. It is arithmetic, not advice or an applicant qualification rule. Separately, 58.2% of surveyed renter households had gross-rent burden at or above the same threshold, which describes survey households rather than affordability or payment behavior for any listed unit.
Bedroom figures help size the asking-rent issue but are modelled estimates, never measured bedroom rents. Scaling ZIP ZORI with the local HUD ladder produces monthly modelled estimates of $1,824 for a studio, $1,916 for one bedroom, $2,373 for two bedrooms, $3,140 for three bedrooms, and $3,789 for four bedrooms. The local two-bedroom HUD FMR/SAFMR standard is $2,201. HUD FMR/SAFMR is an administrative, bedroom-specific standard, not asking rent; it supplies the proportions used in the ladder and does not document a current listing, lease, utility package, or available unit. Equality between the modelled two-bedroom figure and ZORI follows the scaling method, not a measurement of two-bedroom transactions.
Stock evidence offers a different constraint on interpretation. The ACS ZCTA contains 20,771 housing units, with renter occupancy accounting for 62.9% of occupied homes and an overall vacancy rate of 7.8%. Those are stock-wide survey descriptors: the units include owner and renter homes, while the vacancy calculation includes all vacant categories rather than only rentals currently marketed. A renter-majority occupied base makes the survey burden measure relevant context, but it does not make the ACS median gross rent a current asking-rent benchmark. Nor does the vacancy rate prove that a particular unit is empty, available, discounted, or suitable. It should therefore be read alongside, rather than substituted for, Zillow’s ZIP-level asking-rent index.
Historical direction makes the current rate more nuanced. Exact same-month annualized ZORI changes were 0.9% over 1 year, 1.9% over 3 years, and 4.5% over 5 years. The current pace therefore confirms the short-run path but breaks from the stronger longer-run history; this is a record of deceleration, not a forecast. Monthly returns showed 3.3% annualized variability, so one current rent snapshot warrants less confidence than a smooth series would, even though observed index movement was not extreme. The deepest historical peak-to-trough decline was 2.8%, a separate measure of downside experienced in the record. Coverage was 100% across 126 observations and 125 consecutive monthly returns. Transparent national discovery ranks among history-eligible ZIPs were 1,816 for momentum, 2,062 for stability, and 2,259 for the balanced measure, with lower ranks stronger. They are backward-looking discovery measurements, not investment recommendations.
Resale evidence presents a different, partly conflicting contemporaneous signal. In Redfin’s direct rolling-three-month ZIP resale observation, median sold price was $592,594, up 1.3% year over year. The observation recorded 82 homes sold with a median 33 days on market, inventory of 114 homes, and 4.2 months of supply. Average sale-to-list was 100.35%, and 45.0% of sales closed above list. This is for-sale market evidence, not rental transactions, rental comparables, or property economics. Modest price appreciation and slightly above-list sale signals challenge the much slower asking-rent growth and demanding income screen, but they do not resolve that tension, establish causation, or change rent affordability arithmetic.
The annualized ZIP ZORI divided by Redfin’s median sold price produces a 4.81% cross-source screening ratio only. It combines a blended asking-rent index with a median of completed resale transactions; the numerator and denominator are not matched by property, bedroom count, tenure, condition, expense load, or timing of individual records. Consequently, it cannot describe an individual property’s income, expenses, financing, taxes, insurance, vacancy, or financial outcome. Its narrow purpose is to place the rental-index and resale-price snapshots side by side. The ACS income and burden results, HUD standard, and Redfin resale observations remain separate evidence universes even when they expose the same broad tension.
Several concrete property-level checks would be needed before treating these ZIP measures as relevant to a unit: confirm the actual address’s ZIP assignment, bedroom count, current advertised rent, utilities included, lease term, concessions, and documented availability. A rental review would also need unit condition, timing, and signed-lease or renewal evidence, none of which ZORI or ACS supplies. A resale review would need the particular property’s listing history, transaction terms, condition, and costs rather than the ZIP median. ACS is a ZCTA survey with sampling uncertainty, HUD is a standard, and Redfin is a rolling resale observation. The reported vacancy and rent-burden statistics cannot prove conditions, tenant finances, demand, or payment outcomes at a particular unit.
","findings":[{"body":"Zillow’s current $2,373 index is an asking-rent measure, while ACS reports a $1,895 gross-rent median for occupied renter homes. The arithmetic $94,920 income screen exceeds the ZCTA median household income, and 58.2% of surveyed renters met the gross-rent burden threshold. Together these facts expose a current affordability tension, but they neither set a specific unit’s rent nor determine a household’s eligibility.","title":"Asking-rent affordability tension"},{"body":"Bedroom figures are generated by applying HUD’s local bedroom ladder to ZIP ZORI, not gathered as separate rents. The resulting studio-through-four-bedroom values are useful for size-sensitive screening but are modelled estimates, never measured rents. HUD FMR/SAFMR remains an administrative standard. Neither source confirms the bedroom mix, utility treatment, lease terms, or availability of a particular home.","title":"Bedroom estimates are modelled, not observed"},{"body":"Complete history indicates a marked slowdown: the current annual pace aligns with the one-year change but is below the three- and five-year annualized paths. Monthly variability and the historical drawdown qualify confidence in a single current index. Discovery ranks are transparent comparisons among history-eligible ZIPs; their lower-is-better ordering is useful for finding records, not for forecasting rents or recommending an investment.","title":"History shows slower observed rent growth"},{"body":"Redfin’s rolling resale observation shows sales activity, marketing time, inventory, supply, and sale-to-list behavior in the ZIP’s for-sale market. Price appreciation and above-list signals contrast with slow asking-rent growth, creating a cross-market tension. That contrast does not turn sale data into rental comparables or establish that resale conditions caused the rental pattern. The annualized-rent-to-price figure remains only a cross-source screen.","title":"Resale signals do not match the rent pace cleanly"}],"risks":["The central affordability comparison spans current asking rents, a multi-year survey median with selected utilities, and an administrative standard. Differences can reflect source design and timing rather than a rent available today.","The rent history is complete yet still backward-looking. Its observed variability and drawdown show that one current index reading does not establish a stable near-term path or a property-specific rent trajectory.","Overall vacancy pools homes vacant for rent, sale, seasonal use, and other statuses. It cannot reveal whether an individual rental is available, its condition, its concessions, or tenant competition.","ZIP-level resale data aggregate completed sales during a rolling period. Median price and sale-to-list measures may not match the type, condition, expenses, timing, financing, or tenant status of any rental property."],"qa":[{"a":"In this report, 92507 serves two matched data roles: Zillow’s ZIP market identifier and the Census ZCTA used for ACS statistics. The ZCTA is a Census statistical area built for tabulation; it is not identical to a USPS delivery ZIP. Address-level assignment and delivery geography therefore require a separate property-level check.","q":"What geography does the 92507 label represent?"},{"a":"ZORI tracks a typical observed asking-rent index across rental types at the current period. ACS is a five-year survey of occupied renter homes, and its median gross-rent measure includes selected utilities. Differences in timing, population, turnover, rental mix, and utility treatment can produce a gap; the packet does not isolate the contribution of any one factor.","q":"Why is current ZORI above the ACS median gross rent?"},{"a":"No. Studio through four-bedroom figures are created by scaling ZIP ZORI with the local HUD ladder. HUD FMR/SAFMR is a bedroom-specific administrative standard, and the outputs are modelled monthly estimates rather than measured bedroom rents. They do not demonstrate current availability and cannot substitute for unit-specific advertised terms, utilities, size, or condition.","q":"Are the bedroom figures observed rents?"},{"a":"The 4.81% figure divides annualized ZIP ZORI by median sold price from the direct Redfin resale observation. It is a cross-source screening ratio, not a property-level economic measure. Because the sources do not match buildings or account for operating expenses, financing, taxes, insurance, vacancy, condition, or lease terms, it cannot characterize a particular purchase or rental.","q":"What does the 4.81% rent-to-price screen mean?"}],"sources":[{"key":"apartment_list_time_on_market","name":"Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/category/data-rent-estimates"},{"key":"apartment_list_vacancy","name":"Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/apartment-list-vacancy-index-methodology"},{"key":"census_zcta_facts","name":"Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and income","release":"ACS 2024 5-year ZCTA","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5.html"},{"key":"hud_zip","name":"HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP 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