{"zip":"93720","city":"Fresno","state":"CA","county":"Fresno County","countySlug":"fresno-county-ca","metro":"Fresno, CA","metroSlug":"fresno-ca","citySlug":"fresno-ca","rentPeriod":"2026-06","acsPeriod":"ACS 2024 5-year","directRent":2172,"rentYoy":0.0533,"bedroomEstimates":[1716,1727,2172,3021,3526],"hudFmr":[1201,1208,1520,2114,2468],"ladderSource":"county","population":50089,"populationMoe":2053,"medianIncome":105050,"medianIncomeMoe":4800,"medianGrossRent":2139,"medianGrossRentMoe":58,"housingUnits":19732,"occupiedUnits":18631,"vacantUnits":1101,"renterOccupied":8057,"rentBurdenTotal":8057,"rentBurden30Plus":3933,"vacantForRent":312,"vacantForSale":186,"vacantSeasonal":156,"structureTotal":19732,"singleFamilyUnits":13071,"largeMultifamilyUnits":2259,"vacancyRate":0.055797689033042774,"renterShare":0.4324512908593205,"rentBurdenShare":0.48814695296015886,"requiredIncome":86880,"askingRentToIncome":0.2481104236078058,"askingVsAcsRent":1.0154277699859748,"askingVsHud2br":1.4289473684210525,"cityRent":1953.7324477658494,"countyRent":2043,"metroRent":2043,"cityGrossRent":1421,"countyGrossRent":1392,"countyListings":1524,"countyListingDom":52,"countyPriceReducedShare":0.1656,"countyListingPeriod":"2026-06","metroMonthsSupply":3.2,"metroMedianDom":44,"metroPriceDrops":0.2554,"metroResalePeriod":"2026-05-01","apartmentVacancy":null,"apartmentTimeOnMarket":null,"zipResalePeriodBegin":"2026-04-01","zipResalePeriodEnd":"2026-06-30","zipResaleUpdated":"2026-07-03","zipHomesSold":132,"zipSalePrice":497388,"zipSalePriceYoy":-0.0435,"zipMedianDom":47,"zipActiveListings":293,"zipActiveListingsYoy":0.3754,"zipInventory":133,"zipInventoryYoy":0.1903,"zipPendingSales":152,"zipMonthsSupply":3.1,"zipSaleToList":0.9934,"zipSoldAboveList":0.2972,"zipOffMarketTwoWeeks":0.3489,"generatedAt":"2026-08-12 15:58:43.791163+00","summaryHtml":"<p>ZIP 93720's current rental and resale readings point in different directions. At the June 2026 Zillow endpoint, the ZIP ZORI was $2,172 per month, up 5.3% from the same month a year earlier. Zillow ZORI is a typical observed asking-rent index blended across rental types; it is neither a signed-lease measure nor a bedroom-specific rent quote. Annualizing this ZORI and dividing it by the resale median reported below produces a 5.24% cross-source screening ratio only, not a cap rate, net return, expected return, or property yield. The five-digit ZIP label is both a Zillow market identifier and a matched Census ZCTA; a ZCTA is a statistical area and is not identical to a USPS delivery ZIP.</p><p>That current advance is consistent with the longer rent record but faster than its established path. Exact same-month annualized ZORI changes were 5.3% over one year, 3.2% over three years, and 3.5% over five years. Recent direction therefore confirms the longer upward path and accelerates relative to both longer horizons; it does not establish a future path. The series has 100% coverage, and annualized monthly-return variability was 2.9%, with a maximum drawdown of -4.2%. Transparent national discovery ranks among history-eligible ZIPs were 562 for momentum, 1,521 for stability, and 619 for the balanced measure, where a lower rank is higher. These are backward-looking measurements, not forecasts or investment recommendations. The measured variability and prior drawdown support moderate rather than absolute confidence in a single current-rent snapshot.</p><p>ACS supplies a nearby benchmark from a different universe. In the ACS 2024 five-year survey for the matched ZCTA, median gross rent was $2,139. ACS is a survey of occupied renter homes and its gross-rent concept includes selected utilities, whereas ZORI is a current typical asking-rent index across rental types. Their proximity does not make either figure a substitute for the other, given their populations, concepts, and time windows. The arithmetic 30% required-income screen on the ZIP asking-rent index is $86,880 annually. That sits below the ZCTA's $105,050 median household income, and the asking-rent-to-income calculation is 24.8%. This is arithmetic only, not advice or an applicant qualification rule. Reported ACS margins of error also mean the survey estimates are not precise unit-level readings.</p><p>Distribution and inventory measures introduce a separate constraint on that arithmetic. ACS estimated 8,057 renter-occupied homes, with 48.8% of renters spending at or above the burden threshold. That area-wide burden result cannot establish the finances, rent, or lease terms of a particular household or unit. The ZCTA contained 19,732 housing units, and renters represented 43.2% of occupied homes; single-family units outnumbered large multifamily units in the reported stock. Its all-unit vacancy rate was 5.6%. Vacancies are classified across for-rent, for-sale, and seasonal uses, so the rate does not identify a rentable listing or prove availability at a given price. Together, the burden and vacancy evidence qualifies an income screen that otherwise looks lower than median-area income.</p><p>Bedroom detail should be read as a scaling exercise, not as direct observation. The modelled monthly ZIP estimates are $1,716 for a studio, $1,727 for one bedroom, $2,172 for two bedrooms, $3,021 for three bedrooms, and $3,526 for four bedrooms. These are modelled estimates created by scaling ZIP ZORI with the local HUD bedroom ladder; they are never measured bedroom rents. The local HUD ladder's two-bedroom standard in FY 2026 is $1,520. HUD FMR/SAFMR is an administrative, bedroom-specific standard rather than asking rent, so its role here is to set relative bedroom scale, not to validate a lease quote. A listed unit can differ because the source does not identify its utilities, lease structure, or property characteristics.</p><p>Broader comparisons locate the ZIP without replacing its evidence. The City of Fresno context rent is $1,954, Fresno County context rent is $2,043, and Fresno, CA metro context rent is $2,043; each is a wider geographic context value, not a direct ZIP observation. All sit below the ZIP asking-rent index. The matched ZCTA's median household income is above the City of Fresno context and the Fresno, CA metro context, while its rent-burden share is below the City of Fresno and Fresno County context shares. Those contrasts describe aggregation-level context only. They neither convert city, county, or metro values into ZIP rental comps nor explain why any particular listing, lease, or sale differs.</p><p>Resale evidence challenges an uncomplicated reading of the rent trend. In Redfin's direct rolling-three-month ZIP for-sale observation ending June 2026, median sold price was $497,388, down 4.4% year over year. The observation recorded 132 homes sold and a median 47 days on market. Active listings were 293, up 37.5%; inventory was 133 homes, up 19.0%; and pending sales were 152. Months of supply stood at 3.1. The average sale-to-list ratio was 99.34%, while 29.7% of homes sold above list and 34.9% went off market within two weeks. These are direct ZIP resale and liquidity signals, not rental transactions or rental comps. The lower sale-price median alongside higher listings and inventory challenges any simple claim that accelerating asking rents describe a uniformly stronger market. It also leaves the ZORI-to-price screen as a cross-source ratio, not property economics.</p><p>No dataset here substitutes for property-level verification. ZORI cannot establish the advertised rent, collection date, exact bedroom count, floor plan, lease length, included utilities, concessions, or actual availability of a candidate unit. The ACS burden and vacancy measures cannot show whether that unit is vacant or affordable to a specific household, and the modelled bedroom figures cannot replace a unit quote. For a resale record, the sale date, sale price, list-price history, marketing record, and match to the ZIP/ZCTA geography would require separate checking. These checks are especially important because each source uses a different population, timing convention, and purpose. The central unresolved question is whether a specific unit's documented terms align with the asking-rent index and whether its related sale record belongs to the same evidence scope.</p>","findings":[{"body":"Zillow's current asking-rent index was $2,172 and its same-month annual change was 5.3%. The one-year pace exceeded the three-year and five-year annualized changes, so the latest movement accelerates rather than reverses the longer upward record. Full coverage, moderate measured variability, and a prior maximum drawdown support a measured reading: the history informs the current index but does not forecast rent.","title":"Rent momentum has accelerated"},{"body":"The ACS matched ZCTA reports a median gross rent close to ZORI, but the comparison is conceptual rather than interchangeable. ACS samples occupied renter households across five years and includes selected utilities; ZORI tracks typical observed asking rents. The income screen falls below area median income, yet almost half of renter households met the burden threshold. That distributional evidence is not a test of any applicant.","title":"Comparable-looking rent figures remain different measures"},{"body":"The studio through four-bedroom figures are calculated allocations of the ZIP-wide ZORI using HUD relative standards. They should be read as modelled estimates, not market measurements or quotations for available apartments. HUD's standard is administrative and bedroom specific, while ZORI blends rental types. The estimates therefore organize scale across bedrooms but cannot establish a unit's rent, included utilities, concessions, or lease terms.","title":"The bedroom ladder is modelled rather than observed"},{"body":"Redfin's rolling resale observation records a lower annual median sale price alongside more active listings and inventory, even as Zillow's asking-rent index rose. Homes sold, marketing time, pending sales, supply, and sale-to-list measures belong exclusively to the for-sale market. This tension prevents treating rent momentum as a universal market signal. The annualized ZORI-to-sale-price calculation remains a cross-source screening ratio, not property return.","title":"Resale signals diverge from asking-rent momentum"}],"risks":["Source-concept risk: ZORI is an asking-rent index, ACS gross rent is a survey measure including selected utilities, and HUD is an administrative standard. Similar dollar amounts do not make their populations, timing, or intended uses interchangeable.","Geographic aggregation risk: the matched ZCTA is a statistical area rather than a USPS delivery ZIP. Area-wide renter burden, vacancy, income, and housing-stock measures cannot verify the availability, price, or household affordability of a particular unit.","History risk: the rent series is complete and shows recent acceleration, but it remains backward-looking. Measured volatility and maximum drawdown show that a current ZORI reading should not be treated as a guaranteed continuation.","Resale translation risk: Redfin's figures concern for-sale transactions and listings, not rental transactions. A median sold price or ZORI-to-price screening ratio cannot establish unit-level operating costs, lease income, property value, or return."],"qa":[{"a":"ZORI is a ZIP-level typical observed asking-rent index blended across rental types. ACS median gross rent is a five-year survey measure for occupied renter homes and includes selected utilities. Their different populations, collection periods, and rent definitions mean proximity in dollar terms does not make them equivalent.","q":"Why are Zillow ZORI and ACS median gross rent close but not interchangeable?"},{"a":"No. The bedroom figures are modelled monthly estimates produced by scaling the ZIP-wide ZORI using the local HUD ladder. HUD FMR/SAFMR is an administrative bedroom-specific standard, not asking rent. The estimates do not identify a building, floor plan, utilities, concessions, lease term, or currently available listing.","q":"Are the bedroom estimates measured rents for available apartments?"},{"a":"It is a direct rolling-three-month ZIP observation of the for-sale market. Median sold price, annual price movement, homes sold, marketing time, active listings, inventory, pending sales, supply, and sale-to-list indicators describe resale liquidity and pricing conditions. They are not rental comps, lease transactions, or evidence of rental property economics.","q":"What does the Redfin resale block measure?"},{"a":"The required-income figure is an arithmetic calculation using the ZIP asking-rent index and a 30% income share. It is not advice, an underwriting result, or an applicant qualification rule. A specific unit would still require verification of its advertised rent, bedroom count, utilities, concessions, lease terms, availability, and relevant sale-record details.","q":"What does the required-income screen establish, and what needs separate verification?"}],"sources":[{"key":"apartment_list_time_on_market","name":"Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/category/data-rent-estimates"},{"key":"apartment_list_vacancy","name":"Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy","release":"Apartment List 2026-07","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/apartment-list-vacancy-index-methodology"},{"key":"census_zcta_facts","name":"Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and income","release":"ACS 2024 5-year ZCTA","pulledAt":"2026-08-08","url":"https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5.html"},{"key":"hud_zip","name":"HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallback","release":"ZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY2026","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/usps_crosswalk.html"},{"key":"realtor_county","name":"Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory","release":"county inventory 2026-06","pulledAt":"2026-07-28","url":"https://www.realtor.com/research/data/"},{"key":"redfin","name":"Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts","release":"metro tracker through 2026-05-01","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/"},{"key":"redfin_zip","name":"Redfin Data Center — ZIP resale activity and supply","release":"ZIP rolling 3 months through 2026-06-30; updated 2026-07-03","pulledAt":"2026-08-12","url":"https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/"},{"key":"zillow_county","name":"Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents","release":"county ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"},{"key":"zillow_zori","name":"Zillow ZORI — metro market rents","release":"Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv","pulledAt":"2026-07-26","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"},{"key":"zillow_zori_city","name":"Zillow ZORI — city market rents","release":"zillow_zori_city.csv","pulledAt":"2026-07-29","url":"https://www.zillow.com/research/data/"},{"key":"zillow_zori_zip","name":"Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rents","release":"ZORI ZIP 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