Counties / North Dakota / Golden Valley County

Golden Valley County, ND

FIPS 38033 · population 1,653 · outside every metro area

$194k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$194k
▲ 4.4% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
ACS median gross rent
$638
occupied-unit survey; not current asking rent
Census ACS · surveyed
Gross yield
n/a
gross yield cannot be computed without measured market rent
requires both measured price and measured rent
HUD 2-bed standard
$1,027
the Section 8 payment standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

One annual series is unavailable
FHFA five-year cumulativen/anot annualized · through n/a
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06+4.4%FHFA HPIperiod n/an/a
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$124k
Surveyed gross rent$638
Rent burden 30%+32.0%
Median year built1957
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
22.5%vacant
902estimated housing units
Occupied tenure20.5% renter
owner 79.5%renter 20.5%
Structure mix90.0% single-family
Single-family 90.0%20+ units 2.2%Mobile home 1.8%Other 6.0%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs627▼ 2.2% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments91annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$990▲ 5.7% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorTrade, transportation, and utilities39.2% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS−2.2%WEEKLY WAGE+5.7%Trade, transportation, and utilities39.2%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Golden Valley County presents a verification-heavy trade-off: values rose, but income evidence is absent. Zillow's 2026-06 county median home value was $194,302, up 4.36% year over year. That is a current value reference, not a closed-sale trend. FHFA annual HPI is not published, so no repeat-transaction cross-check exists. Buyers able to verify local leases should investigate; those requiring demonstrated resale liquidity should be cautious.

02Housing economics

Housing economics cannot convert the value reference into an income case. No market asking rent is published, so gross yield cannot be computed. HUD's two-bedroom FMR is $1,027 per month, a payment standard rather than asking rent, and cannot substitute. The effective property-tax rate is 0.89%, and median annual tax is $1,104; these are only a partial carrying-cost screen. Inland flood is the dominant hazard, while modeled annual climate loss equals 0.10% of building value. Insurance premiums, deductibles, and mitigation costs are not published.

03Demand & competition

County workplace evidence is mixed. In 2025, QCEW reports 627 annual-average covered jobs located in the county, down 2.18% from the prior annual average. Trade, transportation, and utilities is the largest disclosed private supersector, accounting for 39.16% of total private covered jobs; this indicates disclosed-sector concentration, not the whole economy. Migration evidence reports only 21 tax-return households moving out with average AGI of $36,857; moved-in households and income are absent, leaving net migration and inbound purchasing capacity unresolved. Of 15 purchase mortgages, one was non-occupant, a 6.67% investor share; it is a thin observed transaction slice, not full buyer competition.

04Risk & next checks

Risk limits are material because listing and operating evidence is incomplete. Realtor.com MLS listing price, active listings, days on market, and price-reduced share are not published; visible supply, asking-price competition, marketing time, and seller concessions cannot be assessed. These are listing-market measures, not closed-sale prices or independent proof of buyer demand. Next checks should obtain executed lease terms, property-specific taxes and flood insurance quotes, recent closed sales, and current MLS status. Those checks determine whether carrying costs, income coverage, and exit liquidity can be tested.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Golden Valley County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Beach city899Golva city97Sentinel Butte city57
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

3 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Beach cityIncorporated place
    899
  2. 02
    Golva cityIncorporated place
    97
  3. 03
    Sentinel Butte cityIncorporated place
    57

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.100% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax0.89%

$1,104 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migrationn/a

Household flow not published

Arriving vs leaving incomen/a

Income flow not published

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors6.7%

1 of 15 mortgages

investorother financed
No rent index is published for this county.Zillow’s county rent series does not cover every county, and estimating one from a neighbouring county would be a guess wearing a number’s clothes. Everything above is measured here; no wider market is mapped for it either.
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Local lease evidence could reveal rents insufficient to support carrying costs.
  2. Thin purchase and migration observations may not represent current buyer depth.
  3. Flood insurance, deductible, or mitigation costs may exceed preliminary assumptions.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Can gross yield be computed from the published record?

No. Market asking rent is not published, and HUD FMR cannot be used as market rent.

What is the identified dominant hazard?

Inland flood.

Which private supersector is the largest disclosed?

Trade, transportation, and utilities.