Counties / Missouri / Miller County

Miller County, MO

FIPS 29131 · population 25,269 · outside every metro area

$274k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$274k
▲ 3.0% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
ACS median gross rent
$763
occupied-unit survey; not current asking rent
Census ACS · surveyed
Gross yield
n/a
gross yield cannot be computed without measured market rent
requires both measured price and measured rent
HUD 2-bed standard
$898
the Section 8 payment standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

Both annual signals move in the same direction
FHFA five-year cumulative+68.5%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06+3.0%FHFA HPI2025+9.8%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$193k
Surveyed gross rent$763
Rent burden 30%+29.8%
Median year built1985
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
21.4%vacant
12,541estimated housing units
Occupied tenure26.1% renter
owner 73.9%renter 26.1%
Structure mix73.0% single-family
Single-family 73.0%20+ units 2.8%Mobile home 10.8%Other 13.3%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs7,801▼ 2.5% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments795annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$896▲ 5.7% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorTrade, transportation, and utilities30.8% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS−2.5%WEEKLY WAGE+5.7%Trade, transportation, and utilities30.8%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Miller County presents a price-momentum versus income-underwriting tension. Zillow’s 2026-06 county median home value is $274,161, up 3.04%, while FHFA’s separate 2025 repeat-transaction HPI rose 9.79% annually and 68.50% across its supplied five-year measure. The series support positive price direction but use different methods and vintages; they cannot be averaged or treated as rent. Buyers requiring current income coverage should be cautious, while those investigating price resilience need property-level confirmation.

02Housing economics

No county market asking rent is published, so gross yield cannot be computed. HUD’s $898 two-bedroom FMR is a payment standard, not an estimate of asking rent, and cannot fill that gap. The effective property-tax rate is 0.57%, a carrying-cost input but not a tax bill for any target parcel. Missing parcel assessments, insurance, repairs, vacancy and financing terms prevent net-cash-flow coverage analysis.

03Demand & competition

Realtor.com’s 2026-06 MLS snapshot shows median listing prices down 1.88% year over year, marketing time lengthened 13.73%, and 17.39% of listings with price reductions. These are asking-price, visible-supply, marketing-time and seller-concession evidence—not sale prices or proof of buyer demand. In the supplied 2025 annual QCEW record, covered employment at county workplaces declined 2.55%; it is neither resident employment nor unemployment. Trade, transportation, and utilities is the largest disclosed private supersector, not the whole economy. Net migration was positive and inbound moving-household AGI exceeded outbound AGI. Investor purchase mortgages represented 14.52% of all purchase mortgages, indicating non-owner competition that still needs submarket-level sizing.

04Risk & next checks

Inland flood is the dominant hazard. The modeled climate-loss ratio is 0.16% of building value per year; it is an expected-loss model, not a parcel claim estimate. Flood-zone status, elevation, prior losses, insurance availability, premiums and deductibles are not published, preventing a property-specific hazard-cost conclusion. Market rent, rent growth, vacancy, turnover, capital expenditure, financing terms and closed-sale comparables are also not published. Those gaps prevent gross-yield, net-income and exit-value underwriting; obtain lease comparables, tax assessments and insurance terms for the actual parcel.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Miller County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Osage Beach city*4.9KEldon city4.6KLake Ozark city*2.3KIberia city661St. Elizabeth village587Aurora Springs CDP230Olean town168Tuscumbia town142
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

11 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Osage Beach cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    4,905
  2. 02
    Eldon cityIncorporated place
    4,556
  3. 03
    Lake Ozark cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    2,335
  4. 04
    Iberia cityIncorporated place
    661
  5. 05
    St. Elizabeth villageIncorporated place
    587
  6. 06
    Aurora Springs CDPCensus-designated place
    230
  7. 07
    Olean townIncorporated place
    168
  8. 08
    Tuscumbia townIncorporated place
    142
  9. 09
    Brumley townIncorporated place
    72
  10. 10
    Bagnell townIncorporated place
    44
  11. 11
    Lakeside cityIncorporated place
    0

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.158% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax0.57%

$1,102 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration+17

743 in · 726 out

Arriving vs leaving income+$3,583

$44,739 arriving · $41,156 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors14.5%

44 of 303 mortgages

investorother financed
Current listing pressure

What sellers and visible supply are doing

Realtor.com® Economic Research · county inventory 2026-06 · pulled 2026-07-28
Active listings128▼ 2.3% year over year
Median days on market58▲ 13.7% year over year
Listings price-reduced17.4%seller-concession signal
Median listing pricen/a▼ 1.9% year over year

Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.

No rent index is published for this county.Zillow’s county rent series does not cover every county, and estimating one from a neighbouring county would be a guess wearing a number’s clothes. Everything above is measured here; no wider market is mapped for it either.
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. County-level value and index measures may not represent a target property’s sale value or attainable rent.
  2. Flood exposure, insurance availability and deductible terms may differ materially by parcel.
  3. Workplace employment decline and MLS listing concessions may not translate into tenant depth or completed-sale demand.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Can gross yield be calculated from the supplied record?

No. County market asking rent is not published, and HUD FMR is a payment standard rather than market rent.

What does the record show about listing-market conditions?

Median listing prices declined year over year, marketing time lengthened, and listings included price reductions; these are MLS listing indicators rather than closed-sale evidence.

What hazard requires parcel-level diligence?

Inland flood is the dominant hazard. The record provides a modeled annual building-value loss ratio, not a parcel-specific loss or insurance estimate.