Counties / Nebraska / Thomas County

Thomas County, NE

FIPS 31171 · population 564 · outside every metro area

$194k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$194k
▼ 5.7% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
ACS median gross rent
$638
occupied-unit survey; not current asking rent
Census ACS · surveyed
Gross yield
n/a
gross yield cannot be computed without measured market rent
requires both measured price and measured rent
HUD 2-bed standard
$961
the Section 8 payment standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

One annual series is unavailable
FHFA five-year cumulativen/anot annualized · through n/a
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06−5.7%FHFA HPIperiod n/an/a
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$109k
Surveyed gross rent$638
Rent burden 30%+5.1%
Median year built1961
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
14.8%vacant
357estimated housing units
Occupied tenure31.9% renter
owner 68.1%renter 31.9%
Structure mix92.2% single-family
Single-family 92.2%20+ units 0.0%Mobile home 7.0%Other 0.8%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs225▼ 4.7% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments39annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$805▲ 1.5% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorTrade, transportation, and utilities33.1% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS−4.7%WEEKLY WAGE+1.5%Trade, transportation, and utilities33.1%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Thomas County presents a valuation-versus-income-underwriting tension: Zillow’s county median home value was $194,266 in 2026-06, down 5.70% year over year, but no measured market rent is published to test whether the price supports property income. With 564 residents, an income-focused buyer should be cautious about treating a county-level value movement as a liquid-market signal; a buyer able to source property-level rents, condition, and insurance evidence should investigate further.

02Housing economics

Carrying costs are material to the missing rent test. The effective property-tax rate is 1.25%, and median annual property tax is $1,364, although the median tax bill and Zillow value need not describe the same home. HUD’s two-bedroom Fair Market Rent is $961 per month, but it is a payment standard rather than an estimate of asking rent. Market rent is not published, so gross yield cannot be computed and neither rent coverage nor price-to-rent value can be underwritten from this record.

03Demand & competition

The demand and competition evidence is thin and mixed. In 2025, QCEW counted 225 annual-average covered jobs at county workplaces, down 4.66% from the prior annual average; this is not resident employment or unemployment. Average weekly covered-worker pay was $805, and Trade, transportation, and utilities was the largest disclosed private supersector. Outbound migration recorded 21 tax-return households with average AGI of $55,000, but inbound movers are not published, preventing a net-migration or income-balance read. Investors accounted for 20.00% of only 5 purchase mortgages, a proportion too dependent on few transactions to establish durable buyer competition.

04Risk & next checks

Inland flood is the dominant hazard, while modeled expected climate loss equals 0.17% of building value per year; that county-level model is not a property-specific loss, insurance quote, or claims history. FHFA annual repeat-transaction HPI is not published, so there is no independent appreciation-index check on Zillow’s 2026-06 direction. Realtor.com listing price, active listings, days on market, and price-reduction data are also absent, preventing an MLS-based supply or marketing-time assessment. Next checks are property-level market-rent comps, tax assessments, flood zone and insurance terms, inspection condition, and current listing and sale evidence.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Thomas County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Thedford village225Seneca CDP45Halsey village*13
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

3 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Thedford villageIncorporated place
    225
  2. 02
    Seneca CDPCensus-designated place
    45
  3. 03
    Halsey villageIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    13

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.175% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax1.25%

$1,364 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migrationn/a

Household flow not published

Arriving vs leaving incomen/a

Income flow not published

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors20.0%

1 of 5 mortgages

investorother financed
No rent index is published for this county.Zillow’s county rent series does not cover every county, and estimating one from a neighbouring county would be a guess wearing a number’s clothes. Everything above is measured here; no wider market is mapped for it either.
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. No published market rent prevents gross-yield, rent-coverage, and price-to-rent underwriting.
  2. The purchase and migration observations are too limited to establish durable buyer or household-demand conditions.
  3. County-level inland-flood loss modeling may not match a specific parcel’s flood exposure, insurance availability, or repair history.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Can gross yield be calculated from this record?

No. Market rent is not published, and HUD Fair Market Rent is a payment standard rather than market asking rent.

Does the labor record show rising covered employment?

No. The 2025 QCEW annual average for covered jobs at county workplaces declined from the prior year.

Can visible MLS supply and marketing time be assessed?

No. Realtor.com inventory, days-on-market, and price-reduction figures are not published.