States / Nebraska
State rental intelligence

Nebraska rental market data

A source-traced view across 11 metro markets and 93 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

7/11 metros scored93/93 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro58.0out of 100 · 7 measured metros
Nebraska identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$261kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,308monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield6.0%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▲ 0.5%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Home values are outrunning asking rents at the measured-metro median, yet Kearney’s 11.0% rent growth and Lexington’s 9.5 months of supply show why Nebraska screening must remain local.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Across Nebraska’s 11 measured metros, median annual home-value growth is 3.8%, compared with 2.7% median asking-rent growth among the seven metros with current rent-growth data. The supplied comparison puts rent growth 1.1 percentage points behind price growth. Kearney is a genuine counter-signal: its asking rent rose 11.0% while its home value rose 6.8%.

The practical screen is not a single statewide return measure. Lexington pairs a 7.2% gross yield with 9.5 months of for-sale supply, while Omaha and Lincoln each have 1.4 months of supply. Demand is also mixed: measured-metro employment has a positive 0.5% median growth rate, but migration across 80 counties is negative. The packet cannot establish property-level net operating income, signed lease rents, completed rental supply, unit condition or parcel-level hazard exposure. Current rent-growth coverage reaches only seven of 11 metros, and migration coverage reaches 80 of 93 counties.

01

Measured-metro median home-value growth of 3.8% versus 2.7% rent growth → separate appreciation assumptions from rent-growth assumptions.

02

Omaha and Lincoln at 1.4 months of supply versus Lexington at 9.5 months → acquisition leverage and resale liquidity differ sharply by locality.

03

Median metro job growth of 0.5% alongside net migration of negative 1,571 across 80 counties → positive employment alone does not confirm renter-household growth.

04

A supplied median rent-to-FMR ratio of 1.257, equal to 25.7% above the benchmark after subtracting one → HUD-linked rent assumptions need local payment-standard and contract-rent verification.

05

Inland flood is the leading FEMA hazard label in 92 counties → county classification should trigger parcel-level flood and insurance review, not an assumption of parcel exposure.

01
Price and rent momentum

Kearney breaks the broader price-over-rent pattern

Median annual home-value growth is 3.8% across 11 measured metros, while median annual asking-rent growth is 2.7% across the seven with rent-growth observations. The supplied rent-minus-price comparison is negative 1.1 percentage points. That separation weakens the case for assuming that rising acquisition values are being matched by current rent growth.

Kearney moves in the opposite direction: asking rent rose 11.0% versus 6.8% home-value growth. Its measured value is $300,994, asking rent is $1,417 and gross yield is 5.7%. Omaha also has rent growth above price growth, at 3.0% versus 2.2%, although its gross yield is 5.6%. These figures support locality-specific rent screening; they do not represent signed leases or net returns.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Supply and resale conditions

Omaha and Lincoln stay tight while Lexington loosens

Across 11 measured metros, the medians are 2.5 months of supply, 28 days on market, a 30.2% price-drop share and a 98.3% sale-to-list ratio. Those figures describe a relatively short resale window at the median, but price reductions are common enough that tight inventory should not be treated as uniform seller control.

Omaha and Lincoln each report 1.4 months of supply. Omaha has 7,134 permitted units, or 7.26 per 1,000 residents, while Lincoln has 1,896, or 5.51 per 1,000. Lexington is the counterpoint: 9.5 months of supply, 50 days on market, a 29.8% price-drop share and a 95.8% sale-to-list ratio. That creates more observable buy-side leverage but also a weaker resale-liquidity profile. Permits are not completed units, and these for-sale measures do not establish rental vacancy.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

03
Employment and household movement

Positive job readings conflict with net household outflow

Employment growth across 11 measured metros has a 0.5% median, with the 10th-to-90th percentile running from negative 1.0% to positive 1.6%. North Platte is well above that distribution at 4.9%; Beatrice and Fremont register 1.6% and 1.1%, respectively. These readings provide a positive demand signal in selected labor markets.

IRS migration data point the other way. Across 80 counties, net migration is negative 1,571, or negative 0.8 per 1,000 residents, and incoming mover adjusted gross income trails outgoing income by $153,085. Employment and migration therefore do not confirm one another. They also cover different geographies and periods, so neither establishes current renter-household formation by itself.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

04
Entry cost and affordability

A roughly 6% gross-yield band meets rents above HUD benchmarks

Across 11 measured metros, gross yield has a 6.0% median and a 10th-to-90th percentile span of 5.6% to 6.7%. Home values over the same percentile span run from $217,957 to $306,541, while asking rents run from $1,136 to $1,444. Lexington sits above the measured yield distribution at 7.2%, based on a $217,957 value and $1,308 monthly asking rent; its rent-to-income measure is 22.2%.

The median market-rent-to-HUD two-bedroom Fair Market Rent ratio is 1.257. Subtracting one from the supplied ratios, measured asking rents sit 25.7% above the HUD benchmark at the median and 8.9% to 34.3% above it from the 10th to 90th percentile. That spread matters when screening rent assumptions tied to HUD standards, but Fair Market Rent is neither a guaranteed payment standard nor proof of an achievable contract rent. Gross yield also excludes vacancy, maintenance, management, taxes, insurance and financing.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

High rural vacancy sits in small, mostly single-family markets

Across all 93 counties, the median ACS housing vacancy rate is 14.3%, reaching 28.8% at the 90th percentile. The median renter share is 24.8%, while single-family housing accounts for a median 86.3% of stock and large multifamily for only 1.1%. The median county’s typical year built is 1962. This combination points to screening needs centered on dispersed, older housing rather than a deep multifamily inventory.

The highest named vacancy readings occur in very small counties: 43.9% in Loup County with 578 residents, 39.0% in Wheeler County with 847 and 38.2% in Keya Paha County with 822. ACS vacancy covers all housing and should not be read as available rental inventory. Tenant affordability is also uneven: the share of renters spending at least 30% of income on rent is 57.6% in Brown County, 56.3% in Garden County and 52.1% in Red Willow County.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Inland flood leads the hazard map, and tax bills do not track rates alone

FEMA assigns inland flood as the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label in 92 counties and hail in one. That near-uniform county-level classification makes flood a relevant screening category, but it does not show that every parcel in those counties is exposed.

Effective property-tax rates across 93 counties have a 1.27% median and a 10th-to-90th percentile span of 0.99% to 1.48%. Sarpy County reports a 1.74% rate and $5,473 median tax, Douglas County 1.69% and $4,507, and Kimball County 1.67% and $1,828. Similar high rates can therefore produce very different dollar burdens. Parcel assessments, actual tax bills and insurance terms remain necessary for property-level underwriting.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Nebraska

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change1.7%3.8%6.8%Asking-rent change0.6%2.7%6.5%Rent minus price-1.1%
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k1.42.65.5Months of supply1.4×2.5×3.8×Days on market20 days28 days50 daysListings with cuts23.8%30.2%41.3%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-1.0%0.5%1.6%Net migration / 1k-0.8Net household movement-1,571
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution7 scored metros · median 58.0
00–19220–39340–59260–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
13%12/93Rent100%93/93Climate86%80/93Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Lexington7.2%Sioux City6.7%Beatrice6.2%Grand Island6.2%Columbus6.1%North Platte6.0%Fremont5.9%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Nebraska

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Kearney, NE68$301k$1,4175.7%▲ 0.4%
2Lincoln, NE60$307k$1,3425.3%▲ 0.6%
3Norfolk, NE59$261k$1,2475.7%▲ 0.7%
4Omaha, NE58$312k$1,4445.5%▲ 0.5%
5Fremont, NE54$250k$1,2315.9%▲ 1.1%
6Sioux City, IA39$227k$1,2636.7%▼ 1.0%
7Grand Island, NE37$261k$1,3376.2%▼ 0.3%

Showing the top 7 scored metros of 11. Unscored metros remain discoverable through the national rankings.

Below the metro line

Largest counties in Nebraska

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Douglas County, NE590,736$300k$1,4485.8%inland flooding
Lancaster County, NE326,696$306k$1,3455.3%inland flooding
Sarpy County, NE197,389$361k$1,4664.9%inland flooding
Hall County, NE62,536$261k$1,3376.1%inland flooding
Buffalo County, NE50,579$306k$1,4005.5%inland flooding
Dodge County, NE37,351$250k$1,2315.9%inland flooding
Scotts Bluff County, NE35,843$201kn/an/ainland flooding
Madison County, NE35,532$260k$1,2785.9%inland flooding
Platte County, NE34,716$284k$1,4476.1%inland flooding
Lincoln County, NE33,802$229k$1,1366.0%inland flooding
Adams County, NE31,052$218kn/an/ahail
Cass County, NE27,161$316k$1,2764.8%inland flooding
County yield sample12/93counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration−1,571IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share10.6%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Annual asking-rent growth is measured in only seven of 11 metros, so the median price-rent divergence may not describe the four missing metros.
  2. Gross yields omit vacancy, repairs, management, property taxes, insurance, capital spending and financing, so they are not net returns.
  3. Permit counts do not establish completion timing, tenure or effective rental supply; for-sale inventory also does not measure rental availability.
  4. Migration covers 80 of 93 counties and uses a different period and geography from current metro employment data, limiting direct demand reconciliation.
  5. County ACS vacancy includes all housing, while FEMA leading-hazard labels are county-level; neither measure establishes unit availability or parcel exposure.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are asking rents keeping pace with home values?

Not at the measured-metro median: annual value growth is 3.8% and rent growth is 2.7%, a 1.1 percentage-point shortfall. Kearney is a counterexample, with 11.0% rent growth versus 6.8% value growth.

Where does the packet show the most acquisition leverage?

Lexington has 9.5 months of supply, 50 days on market and a 95.8% sale-to-list ratio. Omaha and Lincoln each have only 1.4 months of supply, indicating materially tighter for-sale conditions.

Does demand evidence support a broad Nebraska rental thesis?

The evidence is mixed. Metro employment growth has a positive 0.5% median, but migration across 80 counties is negative 1,571 and mover adjusted gross income has a negative $153,085 gap.

Can the reported gross yields be treated as expected returns?

No. The measured median is 6.0%, and Lexington reaches 7.2%, but these are gross rent-to-value measures without operating costs, vacancy, financing or capital expenditures.

What do the hazard and tax figures establish for a specific property?

They establish county screening context only. Inland flood is the leading FEMA label in 92 counties, and effective tax rates vary across counties, but the packet does not provide parcel exposure, insurance quotes, assessments or actual property tax bills.