Counties / Minnesota / Waseca County

Waseca County, MN

FIPS 27161 · population 18,885 · outside every metro area

$262k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$262k
▲ 2.4% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
ACS median gross rent
$883
occupied-unit survey; not current asking rent
Census ACS · surveyed
Gross yield
n/a
gross yield cannot be computed without measured market rent
requires both measured price and measured rent
HUD 2-bed standard
$973
the Section 8 payment standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

The annual signals disagree
FHFA five-year cumulative+46.9%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06+2.4%FHFA HPI2025−0.9%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$221k
Surveyed gross rent$883
Rent burden 30%+38.4%
Median year built1970
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
5.6%vacant
7,922estimated housing units
Occupied tenure19.3% renter
owner 80.7%renter 19.3%
Structure mix83.9% single-family
Single-family 83.9%20+ units 5.9%Mobile home 2.5%Other 7.6%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs5,429▼ 1.8% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments530annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$1,060▲ 1.9% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorEducation and health services25.3% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS−1.8%WEEKLY WAGE+1.9%Education and health services25.3%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Waseca County is a verification case rather than a clean momentum call: at Zillow’s 2026-06 county observation, median home value was $261,910, up 2.4% year over year, while FHFA’s annual 2025 repeat-transaction HPI was down 0.95%. These measures use different methods and vintages; they should not be averaged or treated as one trend. Buyers needing dependable resale evidence should obtain recent closed comparable sales before accepting the Zillow direction.

02Housing economics

Housing economics are unresolved because a median asking market rent is not published; gross yield therefore cannot be computed. HUD’s two-bedroom FMR of $973 per month is a payment standard, not an estimate of asking rent, and cannot substitute for it. The 1.18% effective property-tax rate is a carrying-cost input alongside price, but assessment detail and tax bills are not published. Underwriting needs achieved rents, vacancies, and operating costs to test whether revenue supports price and taxes.

03Demand & competition

Realtor.com’s MLS market records 35 active listings, a 46-day median marketing time, and 23.67% of listings with price reductions. This is evidence of visible supply, marketing duration, and seller concessions in listings—not closed-sale pricing or buyer demand by itself. Outmovers’ average AGI of $54,868 exceeded inbound movers’ $50,356, requiring neighborhood-level tenant validation. Investors accounted for 1.98% of 202 purchases; this is limited non-owner mortgage participation, not a measure of cash buyers or all investor ownership.

04Risk & next checks

In QCEW’s 2025 annual data, covered workplace employment was 5,429, down 1.83%; this is not resident employment or a labor forecast. Education and health services is the largest disclosed private supersector, not the whole economy. Inland flood is the dominant hazard, while modeled expected climate loss is 0.11% of building value per year; obtain parcel flood history and insurance quotes rather than converting that ratio into a dollar loss. Missing leases, rent comp sets, insurance, property-tax bills, vacancy data, and closed comps prevent a defensible cash-flow, hazard-cost, or resale conclusion.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Waseca County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Waseca city9.2KJanesville city2.4KNew Richland city1.2KElysian city*676Waldorf city171
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

5 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Waseca cityIncorporated place
    9,164
  2. 02
    Janesville cityIncorporated place
    2,378
  3. 03
    New Richland cityIncorporated place
    1,184
  4. 04
    Elysian cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    676
  5. 05
    Waldorf cityIncorporated place
    171

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.109% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax1.18%

$2,603 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration-102

449 in · 551 out

Arriving vs leaving income−$4,512

$50,356 arriving · $54,868 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors2.0%

4 of 202 mortgages

investorother financed
Current listing pressure

What sellers and visible supply are doing

Realtor.com® Economic Research · county inventory 2026-06 · pulled 2026-07-28
Active listings35▲ 18.6% year over year
Median days on market46▲ 24.7% year over year
Listings price-reduced23.7%seller-concession signal
Median listing pricen/a▼ 3.8% year over year

Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.

No rent index is published for this county.Zillow’s county rent series does not cover every county, and estimating one from a neighbouring county would be a guess wearing a number’s clothes. Everything above is measured here; no wider market is mapped for it either.
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Unpublished market rents and vacancy data could materially change the cash-flow conclusion.
  2. MLS listing conditions may not match closed-sale pricing or actual buyer absorption.
  3. Parcel-specific inland-flood exposure and insurance costs may exceed county-level modeled risk.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Can gross yield be calculated from this record?

No. Median asking market rent is not published, and HUD FMR cannot be used as market rent.

What is the county’s stated dominant hazard?

Inland flood.

What do the QCEW employment figures measure?

Annual covered employment at workplaces in the county, not resident employment or a labor forecast.