Counties / Kentucky / Wayne County

Wayne County, KY

FIPS 21231 · population 19,602 · outside every metro area

$173k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$173k
▼ 3.7% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
ACS median gross rent
$727
occupied-unit survey; not current asking rent
Census ACS · surveyed
Gross yield
n/a
gross yield cannot be computed without measured market rent
requires both measured price and measured rent
HUD 2-bed standard
$866
the Section 8 payment standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

The annual signals disagree
FHFA five-year cumulative+67.4%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06−3.7%FHFA HPI2025+6.5%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$136k
Surveyed gross rent$727
Rent burden 30%+39.6%
Median year built1986
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
20.3%vacant
10,134estimated housing units
Occupied tenure30.9% renter
owner 69.1%renter 30.9%
Structure mix71.3% single-family
Single-family 71.3%20+ units 0.1%Mobile home 22.4%Other 6.2%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs5,080▼ 2.9% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments466annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$803▲ 6.2% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorManufacturing22.7% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS−2.9%WEEKLY WAGE+6.2%Manufacturing22.7%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Wayne County presents a cautious value-versus-income underwriting tension: the Zillow county median home value is $172,774 in 2026-06, yet its 3.71% year-over-year decline sits beside a rising FHFA repeat-transaction index. This can suit investigators able to validate property-level cash flow and flood costs, but buyers relying on broad price momentum or a quick resale signal should be cautious. The evidence is county-level, not a property valuation.

02Housing economics

Housing economics are unresolved. FHFA's 2025 repeat-transaction HPI rose 6.53% year over year; it is an index of repeat transactions, not a home value, and must not be averaged with Zillow's differently dated value change. Market rent is not published, so gross yield cannot be computed. HUD's two-bedroom FMR is a payment standard, not asking rent. The effective property-tax rate is 0.56%, with median annual tax of $758; both matter to carrying cost but do not establish operating expense.

03Demand & competition

Demand evidence is mixed rather than a clear absorption case. Net migration was negative 19 tax-return households, while the average-income gap favored arrivals by $6,870; that combination says little about household volume or tenant demand. Investors accounted for 12.21% of purchase mortgages, or 16 of 131 purchases; this is participation, not proof of competitive bidding. Annual QCEW reports 5,080 covered jobs, down 2.89%, while Manufacturing is the largest disclosed private supersector at 22.67% of private covered employment. These are workplace jobs, not resident employment or an outlook.

04Risk & next checks

Inland flood is the dominant stated hazard, and modeled annual climate loss equals 0.16% of building value; it is a modeled ratio, not an insurance quote or realized loss. Realtor.com MLS fields publish no listing-price, active-listing, days-on-market, or price-reduction figures, preventing a visible-supply or seller-concession read. Next checks are parcel flood zone and insurance quotes, market-rent and lease comparables, and property-level taxes, condition, and operating costs; their absence prevents net-cash-flow and exit-liquidity underwriting.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Wayne County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Monticello city5.8K
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

1 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Monticello cityIncorporated place
    5,753

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.156% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax0.56%

$758 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration-19

301 in · 320 out

Arriving vs leaving income+$6,870

$42,189 arriving · $35,319 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors12.2%

16 of 131 mortgages

investorother financed
No rent index is published for this county.Zillow’s county rent series does not cover every county, and estimating one from a neighbouring county would be a guess wearing a number’s clothes. Everything above is measured here; no wider market is mapped for it either.
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Property-specific flood insurance, mitigation, or repair costs could exceed what the county-level modeled loss ratio indicates.
  2. No published market rent leaves gross-yield and cash-flow conclusions untested.
  3. Absent MLS supply, marketing-time, and concession data could make exit liquidity different from the county read.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Can gross yield be calculated from this record?

No. Market rent is not published, and HUD Fair Market Rent cannot be used as a proxy for asking rent or to calculate gross yield.

How concentrated was investor mortgage participation?

Investors represented 16 of 131 purchase mortgages, or 12.21%.

What does the QCEW labor measure represent?

It measures annual covered employment at workplaces in the county; it does not measure resident employment, unemployment, or a labor-market forecast.