Moving corridor · Northeast origin

Moving from New York to Philadelphia

A directional rental-market brief grounded in a measured IRS flow, then tested against housing costs, income, employment, regional prices and climate exposure.

New York, NY cityscapeFrom · New York
Philadelphia, PA cityscapeTo · Philadelphia
Direct flow17,010tax-return households
People proxy27,695IRS exemptions
AGI per return$89,284within this corridor
Monthly rent change−$1,645destination minus origin
Direct answer

What materially changes on this move

Market-area evidence narrows the questions. It does not replace a neighborhood check, a lease comp or property-level underwriting.

The New York-to-Philadelphia decision presents a clear tension: household housing benchmarks fall sharply, while a rental owner’s topline yield screen barely changes. During IRS SOI migration 2022-2023, 17,010 tax-return households moved from New York to Philadelphia, accompanied by 27,695 exemptions, a people proxy. The corridor represented 6.52% of New York’s outbound returns and 22.28% of Philadelphia’s inbound returns. Those percentages benchmark an observed tax-filer flow; they do not identify renters, every mover or future demand.

Zillow observations dated 2026-06-30 show the immediate housing-cost contrast. ZORI asking rent was $3,573 in New York and $1,928 in Philadelphia, a monthly difference of $1,645 and an annual difference of $19,740. The metro Zillow home-value benchmark, ZHVI, was $735,003 in New York and $394,762 in Philadelphia, a difference of $340,241. These are metro screens, not quotes for a target apartment or transaction evidence for a particular property.

For rental underwriting, Philadelphia’s lower rent sits beside a lower home-value benchmark: the topline gross-yield screens are 5.83% in New York and 5.86% in Philadelphia. That narrow contrast is not net operating income or return evidence. The next underwriting question is property-specific: after taxes, insurance, utilities, concessions, management, maintenance, capital work, financing and local regulation, what cash flow remains at the actual contract price and rent roll?

Measured direction

The route exists in the IRS records

One inflow-side county pair enters once. Same-market moves are excluded before market aggregation.

Direct IRS relocation flow from New York to PhiladelphiaORIGIN MARKET AREANew YorkNYAll-US outbound households260,980DESTINATION MARKET AREAPhiladelphiaPAAll-US inbound households76,350DIRECT CORRIDOR17,010tax-return households27,695 people proxy · $89,284 AGI / returnDirection and totals come from the same IRS inflow-side county-pair records.
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023. Tax-return households are not the same as renters or every mover.
Before and after

The move changes more than rent

Every row retains its own definition and scale. The chart does not blend these measures into a relocation score.

What changes between the origin and destinationNew YorkPhiladelphiaMonthly asking renteach row uses its own source-unit scale$3,573$1,928Home valueeach row uses its own source-unit scale$735,003$394,762Household incomeeach row uses its own source-unit scale$99,155$91,289Gross rental yieldeach row uses its own source-unit scale5.8%5.9%Regional price leveleach row uses its own source-unit scale112.6102.6Annual climate losseach row uses its own source-unit scale0.108%0.110%Dots show source values, not a blended relocation score.
Direct source values; destination is emerald and origin is ink. “n/a” remains unavailable rather than estimated.
EvidenceNew York, NYPhiladelphia, PADestination change
Median asking rent2026-06-30$3,573$1,928−$1,645
Median home value2026-06-30$735,003$394,762−$340,241
Median household incomeCensus ACS$99,155$91,289−$7,866
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ home value5.8%5.9%+0.0%
Annual employment changeCES / CES+0.1%+0.3%+0.3%
Regional price level2024; US = 100112.6102.6−10.0
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.108%0.110%+0.002%
Net IRS migrationall-US tax-return households−78,287−7,607+70,680
Directional analysis

Three decisions hidden inside one move

The sections follow the evidence that is material for this corridor, not a universal city template.

01
Income and employment

Lower nominal income, firmer payroll growth

Philadelphia’s nominal income benchmark is lower, but so is its broad regional price level. The ACS 2024 five-year median household income was $99,155 in New York and $91,289 in Philadelphia. In BEA’s 2024 Regional Price Parities release, the all-items indexes were 112.563 and 102.554, respectively. This is a directional contrast between metro income and regional prices, not a calculation of disposable income for a particular household. The ACS median also does not describe a given mover’s salary, household size, debt or commuting costs.

BLS CES payroll employment for the twelve months to 2026-06 rose 0.06% in New York and 0.32% in Philadelphia, a Philadelphia advantage of 0.26 percentage points. That spread describes payroll employment only; it does not establish rental-property vacancy or collections. A contrary income signal appears in the separate IRS SOI 2022-2023 data: Philadelphia-area incoming tax returns averaged $81,289 of AGI, while outgoing returns averaged $91,539. The next diligence question is whether the target renter cohort has stable employment and sufficient verified income, examined through the property’s lease files, delinquency record, employer exposure and renewal history.

02
Housing cost transition

The rent reset is larger than the yield reset

At Zillow’s 2026-06-30 observation, New York ZORI asking rent was $3,573 and Philadelphia’s was $1,928. For a relocating household, that is a materially different metro asking-rent screen, though it is not a quote for the same unit type, neighborhood, lease term or amenity set. For an owner, the companion gross-yield screens were 5.83% and 5.86%. The observed combination is lower destination rent, a lower destination metro Zillow home-value benchmark and almost no difference in topline yield. Actual leases, concessions, utility responsibilities and operating expenses remain outside that screen.

The rent-to-income and price-to-income measures combine 2026-06-30 Zillow observations with ACS 2024 five-year median household income. The rent-to-income screens are 43.25% for New York and 25.35% for Philadelphia; the price-to-income screens are 7.41 times and 4.32 times. These are cross-release directional screens, not current household budget shares. HUD’s FY2026 two-bedroom Fair Market Rent is $2,616.50 in New York and $1,810 in Philadelphia. Fair Market Rent is a HUD standard, not a Zillow market-rent observation. The household question is the target unit’s full monthly cost; the owner question is the relationship among in-place rent, permissible rent, concessions and the local competitive set.

03
Market and risk context

Supply and hazard screens require local follow-through

HMDA 2024 purchase originations show investor shares of 11.39% in New York and 10.87% in Philadelphia. Those shares are descriptive screens, not proof of buyer competition. The permits-per-thousand-residents screen combines BPS 2026 YTD through M06 permits with ACS 2024 population: New York recorded 2.94 permitted units per thousand residents and Philadelphia 2.28. This is a cross-period descriptive screen, not a same-period supply rate, and it does not prove deliveries, vacancy or rent pressure. The share of permits in buildings with at least five units was 76.6% in New York and 43.4% in Philadelphia, indicating a different permitted-unit mix rather than completed rental inventory.

In the FEMA ArcGIS NRI counties release, the modeled climate/hazard loss ratio was 0.1085% for New York and 0.1101% for Philadelphia. Inland flood was the top named hazard in both markets, so Philadelphia’s lower housing benchmarks do not come with a lower metro-level hazard ratio in this measure. The next underwriting question belongs at the parcel and structure level: what do flood mapping, elevation, drainage, prior losses, roof and mechanical condition, insurance quotations, deductibles and exclusions show for the exact asset? Metro hazard ratios cannot answer those questions.

Counter-signals

What the easy reading misses

A lower rent, stronger job figure or larger flow can still hide a different risk elsewhere in the record.

01

Philadelphia’s lower rent and metro Zillow home-value benchmark do not translate into a wider topline income spread. Its 5.86% gross-yield screen is only 0.03 percentage points above New York’s 5.83%, and the benchmark does not establish any property’s transaction price, expenses or net yield.

02

Philadelphia’s payroll growth reading is firmer than New York’s, but the ACS median household income is lower. IRS SOI 2022-2023 also shows higher average AGI among Philadelphia’s outgoing tax returns than among incoming returns. Payroll change alone is not evidence of tenant quality, vacancy or collections.

03

A tempting reading of Philadelphia’s lower HMDA investor share and lower normalized permit count is less competition alongside less supply. HMDA does not prove buyer competition, and permits do not prove deliveries or occupancy. FEMA’s modeled climate/hazard loss ratio is also slightly higher in Philadelphia than in New York.

Reading boundary

What this corridor cannot establish

IRS flow measures tax-return households. Exemptions are a people proxy, and AGI is a tax measure. The data do not identify renters, every mover, moves outside the filing population, household tenure after arrival or future housing demand. The corridor shares therefore describe recorded filer migration only.

Metro-level evidence cannot establish a household’s actual rent burden or a property’s transaction price, legal rent, taxes, insurance, condition, capital needs, financing terms, tenant collections or achievable concessions. Those facts require unit-level and property-level diligence, including leases, operating statements, inspections, local rules and insurance quotations.

Source ledger

Separate releases, one traceable brief

Pull dates show when RentMarker retrieved each release, not when every upstream measure changed.

SourceRole hereReleaseRetrieved
IRS SOI — county migration and mover incomeDirectional tax-return household flow and mover AGISOI migration 2022-20232026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI — metro home valuesMarket-area home values and annual changeMetro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Zillow ZORI — metro market rentsMarket-area asking rents and annual changeMetro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Census ACS 5-year — household incomeMedian household income and affordability ratiosACS 2024 5-year2026-08-02
Census ACS 5-year — populationMarket-area population contextACS 2024 5-year2026-07-26
HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standardHUD two-bedroom Fair Market Rent standardFY2026 FMR2026-07-26
BLS CES — payroll employmentPayroll employment change where publishedCES SM current2026-07-26
BLS LAUS — resident employmentResident employment change where CES is unavailableLAUS current2026-07-26
BEA Regional Price Parities — metropolitan price levelsRegional price levels for directly matched metropolitan areas2024 Regional Price Parities (released 2026-02-19); history 2008-20242026-08-03
FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratiosExpected annual building-loss exposureNRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS)2026-07-26
Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cutsFor-sale inventory and marketing conditionsmetro tracker through 2026-05-012026-07-26
Census Building Permits Survey — permitted unitsPermitted housing supplyBPS through 20262026-07-26
HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy typeInvestor purchase-mortgage shareHMDA 2024 purchase originations2026-07-26