The clearest tension is between positive recent-lease rent growth and loosening rental vacancy. Apartment List shows rent up 1.7% while its separate Vacancy Index rose from 5.0% to 5.8%. Vacancy remained 1.4 percentage points below the national rate, but the increase weakens the case that rent growth reflects an unambiguously tightening market.
Screening should move quickly from the state signal to county and property economics. Across five measured counties, 10th-to-90th percentile gross yields ran from 4.2% to 5.9%, ACS vacancy from 5.6% to 18.7%, and renter cost burden from 46.4% to 50.7%. The packet covers one metro and five counties; it cannot establish neighborhood demand, achievable property rent, operating costs, state rental listing time or parcel-level hazard exposure.
