Counties / North Dakota / Burleigh County

Burleigh County, ND

FIPS 38015 · population 100,600 · part of Bismarck, ND

$374k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$374k
▲ 5.3% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
Median asking rent
$1,379
▲ 4.0% year over year
Zillow ZORI · direct
Gross yield
4.4%
annual rent ÷ price, before costs
derived: rent × 12 ÷ price ✓
HUD 2-bed standard
$1,175
market rent is 1.17x the standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

Both annual signals move in the same direction
FHFA five-year cumulative+32.9%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06+5.3%FHFA HPI2025+3.4%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$324k
Surveyed gross rent$998
Rent burden 30%+39.0%
Median year built1988
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
5.7%vacant
43,779estimated housing units
Occupied tenure28.8% renter
owner 71.2%renter 28.8%
Structure mix64.5% single-family
Single-family 64.5%20+ units 14.1%Mobile home 7.0%Other 14.4%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs58,393▲ 0.6% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments4,413annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$1,266▲ 3.8% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorEducation and health services27.2% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS+0.6%WEEKLY WAGE+3.8%Education and health services27.2%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Burleigh County presents a price-versus-cash-flow tension: Zillow’s county median home value was $373,752, up 5.32% year over year, while the supplied gross yield is before costs. This merits investigation by buyers seeking durable net cash flow and caution for those treating appreciation as a substitute for operating margin. FHFA’s annual repeat-transaction HPI rose 3.39%, supporting positive price direction but not valuing a home; its method and supplied period differ from Zillow’s, and neither should be blended.

02Housing economics

Zillow’s county median asking rent was $1,379 per month, up 4.00%, and the supplied gross yield was 4.43% before costs. HUD’s two-bedroom FMR was $1,175 per month, a payment standard rather than asking-rent evidence. An effective property-tax rate of 0.88% and $2,863 median annual tax sharpen the carrying-cost review, but property-level assessment, insurance, repairs, vacancy, financing and utilities are not published; net yield and coverage cannot be concluded.

03Demand & competition

Realtor.com’s county MLS evidence shows 211 active listings, down 18.38%, alongside 44 median days on market; 13.54% of listings had price reductions. These are visible asking-market supply and seller-concession indicators, not closed sales or standalone proof of buyer demand. Net migration was positive, but movers entering reported lower average AGI than movers leaving. Investors accounted for 107 of 1,200 purchase mortgages, defining an observable buyer segment that still requires neighborhood and property-type detail. QCEW’s annual county workplace series reports covered-job and wage gains; education and health services is the largest disclosed private supersector, not the whole economy.

04Risk & next checks

Modeled climate loss equals 0.24% of building value per year, consistent with inland flood as the dominant hazard; it is a modeled expected-loss ratio, not a property-specific insurance quote. Flood-zone and claims records, insurance costs, closed-sale comparables, vacancy and lease-renewal data, and property-level expenses are not published. Those omissions prevent a defensible conclusion on net income, resale liquidity, or address-specific hazard cost. Next checks are address-level flood and insurance records, actual leases and trailing expenses, assessment and tax bills, and closed comparable sales.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Burleigh County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Bismarck city75.6KLincoln city4.4KWilton city*607Apple Valley CDP279Wing city207Menoken CDP102Regan city85Driscoll CDP59
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

8 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Bismarck cityIncorporated place
    75,556
  2. 02
    Lincoln cityIncorporated place
    4,381
  3. 03
    Wilton cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    607
  4. 04
    Apple Valley CDPCensus-designated place
    279
  5. 05
    Wing cityIncorporated place
    207
  6. 06
    Menoken CDPCensus-designated place
    102
  7. 07
    Regan cityIncorporated place
    85
  8. 08
    Driscoll CDPCensus-designated place
    59

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.242% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax0.88%

$2,863 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration+61

2,586 in · 2,525 out

Arriving vs leaving income−$2,059

$61,362 arriving · $63,421 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors8.9%

107 of 1,200 mortgages

investorother financed
Current listing pressure

What sellers and visible supply are doing

Realtor.com® Economic Research · county inventory 2026-06 · pulled 2026-07-28
Active listings211▼ 18.4% year over year
Median days on market44▲ 4.1% year over year
Listings price-reduced13.5%seller-concession signal
Median listing pricen/a▲ 5.1% year over year

Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.

Same metro

The other counties in Bismarck, ND

A metro is an average of these. Which side of a county line a property sits on can change the tax bill, the hazard profile and the tenant pool.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Burleigh County100,600$374k$1,3794.4%inland flooding
Morton County33,777$327k$1,4105.2%inland flooding
Oliver County1,839$263kn/an/ainland flooding
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Property-level flood exposure and insurance costs may diverge from the county modeled-loss ratio.
  2. Unpublished vacancy, lease renewals, financing and operating costs could eliminate the pre-cost yield.
  3. Asking-market and purchase-mortgage evidence may not translate into closed-sale liquidity or submarket demand.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Is HUD Fair Market Rent evidence of Burleigh County asking rent?

No. The two-bedroom FMR is a HUD payment standard; Zillow publishes the county median asking rent separately.

Can a net rental yield be calculated from this record?

No. The record provides a gross yield before costs but does not publish vacancy, insurance, repairs, utilities, financing or other operating expenses.

What is the largest disclosed private supersector in the county workplace data?

Education and health services; this identifies the largest disclosed private supersector by covered employment, not the entire county economy.