Counties / Montana / Cascade County

Cascade County, MT

FIPS 30013 · population 84,606 · part of Great Falls, MT

$345k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$345k
▲ 3.7% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
Median asking rent
$1,365
▲ 5.2% year over year
Zillow ZORI · direct
Gross yield
4.8%
annual rent ÷ price, before costs
derived: rent × 12 ÷ price ✓
HUD 2-bed standard
$1,284
market rent is 1.06x the standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

Both annual signals move in the same direction
FHFA five-year cumulative+64.2%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06+3.7%FHFA HPI2025+2.9%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$265k
Surveyed gross rent$939
Rent burden 30%+44.3%
Median year built1970
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
9.8%vacant
39,497estimated housing units
Occupied tenure31.5% renter
owner 68.5%renter 31.5%
Structure mix72.7% single-family
Single-family 72.7%20+ units 6.3%Mobile home 7.1%Other 13.9%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs36,181▼ 0.9% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments3,123annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$1,122▲ 5.3% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorTrade, transportation, and utilities24.1% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS−0.9%WEEKLY WAGE+5.3%Trade, transportation, and utilities24.1%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Cascade County presents a cash-flow-versus-exit-price tension. In Zillow's county 2026-06 reading, median home value was $345,095, 3.66% higher year over year; median asking rent was $1,365 per month and stated gross yield was 4.75% before costs. That profile warrants investigation by buyers able to test unit economics, while buyers requiring strong net yield or a rapid resale case should be cautious. The separately labeled FHFA annual 2025 repeat-transaction HPI rose 2.90%. Both measures have positive direction, but FHFA is not a home value and cannot be averaged with Zillow's differently timed, differently constructed measure.

02Housing economics

Housing economics are only partly visible. HUD Fair Market Rent is a payment standard, not an asking-rent estimate, and cannot replace the published market rent in a yield calculation. The stated gross yield is pre-cost. Cascade's effective property-tax rate is 0.87%, so parcel assessment and tax-bill review matter alongside rent; the county rate does not establish a given home's bill.

03Demand & competition

Realtor.com's 2026-06 MLS listing-market evidence signals negotiation, not a sale-price conclusion: median listing price fell 6.61%, visible active supply was 185 listings, 14.69% had a price reduction, and pendings equaled 68.92% of active listings. These are asking-price, supply, and seller-concession measures—not closed sales or independent proof of buyer demand. Mover flows were nearly balanced: 2,439 households moved in and 2,444 moved out, while average inbound mover AGI exceeded outbound AGI by $1,464. Nonoccupant mortgages were 97 of 959 purchases, or 10.11%; that shows buyer participation but not cash bids or rental absorption.

04Risk & next checks

Risk limits remain material. In QCEW's 2025 annual record, covered workplace employment declined while the covered-worker wage rose; this is not resident employment. Trade, transportation, and utilities is the largest disclosed private supersector, not the whole economy. The supplied modeled annual building-value loss ratio must be read with the dominant inland-flood hazard, not as an insurance quote or parcel exposure. Rental vacancy, lease renewal, property condition, flood-zone, insurance premium and deductible, debt-cost, and closed-sale evidence are not published; without them, stabilized net yield, exit value, and site flood risk cannot be confirmed.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Cascade County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Great Falls city60.3KMalmstrom AFB CDP4.3KSun Prairie CDP1.2KVaughn CDP1KUlm CDP900Black Eagle CDP781Cascade town572Belt town559
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

24 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Great Falls cityIncorporated place
    60,329
  2. 02
    Malmstrom AFB CDPCensus-designated place
    4,302
  3. 03
    Sun Prairie CDPCensus-designated place
    1,171
  4. 04
    Vaughn CDPCensus-designated place
    1,002
  5. 05
    Ulm CDPCensus-designated place
    900
  6. 06
    Black Eagle CDPCensus-designated place
    781
  7. 07
    Cascade townIncorporated place
    572
  8. 08
    Belt townIncorporated place
    559
  9. 09
    Simms CDPCensus-designated place
    334
  10. 10
    Fort Shaw CDPCensus-designated place
    207
  11. 11
    Gibson Flats CDPCensus-designated place
    158
  12. 12
    Stockett CDPCensus-designated place
    155
Show 12 more places
  1. 13
    Pleasant Valley Colony CDPCensus-designated place
    137
  2. 14
    Sand Coulee CDPCensus-designated place
    134
  3. 15
    Tracy CDPCensus-designated place
    133
  4. 16
    Sun River CDPCensus-designated place
    72
  5. 17
    Hardy CDPCensus-designated place
    64
  6. 18
    Big Stone Colony CDPCensus-designated place
    45
  7. 19
    Cascade Colony CDPCensus-designated place
    44
  8. 20
    Neihart townIncorporated place
    39
  9. 21
    Riceville CDPCensus-designated place
    26
  10. 22
    Centerville CDPCensus-designated place
    23
  11. 23
    Monarch CDPCensus-designated place
    22
  12. 24
    Fair Haven Colony CDPCensus-designated place
    0

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.149% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax0.87%

$2,320 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration-5

2,439 in · 2,444 out

Arriving vs leaving income+$1,464

$60,472 arriving · $59,008 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors10.1%

97 of 959 mortgages

investorother financed
Current listing pressure

What sellers and visible supply are doing

Realtor.com® Economic Research · county inventory 2026-06 · pulled 2026-07-28
Active listings185▼ 6.1% year over year
Median days on market45▲ 0.6% year over year
Listings price-reduced14.7%seller-concession signal
Median listing pricen/a▼ 6.6% year over year

Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.

Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Property taxes, insurance, flood mitigation, and maintenance could consume the pre-cost yield.
  2. MLS price reductions and listing evidence may not translate to the assumed exit value or selling timeline.
  3. County workplace employment and mover data may not represent demand in the property's submarket.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Can HUD Fair Market Rent substitute for market asking rent in a yield calculation?

No. It is a payment standard, while separate county market asking rent and gross yield are published.

Does the FHFA HPI report a county home value?

No. It is a repeat-transaction appreciation index rather than a dollar home-value measure.

Does QCEW employment measure employment among county residents?

No. It measures covered jobs located at workplaces in the county.