Jasper County’s tension is falling measured prices without published market rent: investigators able to validate deal-level rent and condition may examine it, while buyers relying on appreciation or a yield screen should be cautious. Zillow’s June 2026 median home value was $141,477, down 3.62% year over year. Separately, FHFA’s 2025 repeat-transaction HPI fell 10.96%. Their vintages and methods differ; the HPI is an index, not a home value, so they cannot be combined into one growth rate.
Market rent is not published, so gross yield cannot be computed. The $842 two-bedroom HUD FMR is a payment standard, not an asking-rent estimate, and cannot fill that gap. The effective property-tax rate is 0.69% and median annual tax is $737. Insurance, maintenance, financing and property-level assessments are not published, preventing a full carrying-cost and income reconciliation.
Tax-return migration recorded a net loss of 26 households, and average AGI for incoming movers was $4,013 below that for outgoing movers. This is limited evidence about tax-return movers, not total population change or tenant demand, but it does not furnish an income-led demand offset to price weakness. Six of 108 purchase mortgages went to non-occupants, a calculated investor share of 5.56%. That measures financed investor participation, not cash activity or all buyer competition.
QCEW’s 2025 annual average shows 3,925 covered jobs at county workplaces, up 1.79%; Manufacturing is the largest disclosed private supersector at 54.58% of private covered employment. These are workplace and covered-worker measures, not resident employment, unemployment or a forecast. Inland flood is the dominant hazard, alongside modeled annual building-value loss of 0.14%; neither identifies parcel exposure. The Realtor.com source period is June 2026, but no MLS listing-price, active-listing, days-on-market, reduction or pending figures are published, preventing a visible-supply and seller-concession check. Next checks are rent comps, flood insurance and elevation, condition, closed-sale comps, and property-tax bills.