Across measured metros, median rent growth was 4.4% while median home-value growth was 1.8%, a 2.5 percentage-point gap. That apparent income advantage lacks broad demand confirmation: median metro employment growth was -0.4%, and measured county migration was a net -3,063 people, or -1.0 per 1,000 residents.
The practical screen is local rather than statewide. Positive employment pockets, strong gross yields and rising rents are genuine counter-signals, but resale conditions, renter strain, vacancy and physical risk vary materially. These data can identify markets requiring deeper lease, employment, exit and insurance checks; they cannot establish property-level occupancy, achievable rent or net return.
