All homes and bedroom counts
Markets / Mississippi / Tupelo
RENTAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Tupelo, MS
Tupelo merits investigation by yield-focused buyers who can underwrite local employment and flood exposure; buyers dependent on strong demand growth should avoid treating it as a growth-led market.
Median price$198k
Median rent$1,241
Gross yield7.5%
Job growth▼ 0.9%
Composite Market ScoreRank #327 of 571 scored US market areas
Direct rental answer
How much is rent in Tupelo, MS?
Zillow's metro-wide Observed Rent Index is $1,241 per month for 2026-06-30. That is up 2.67% from a year earlier.
Occupied rental units paying rent
Two-bedroom standard
These figures are not averaged together. Zillow and Realtor describe asking-rent markets, ACS measures rent paid by surveyed households, and HUD publishes administrative bedroom standards.
Exact county schedules
HUD rent benchmarks inside Tupelo
Every row keeps its own county FIPS schedule. No county is selected as a metro proxy and no synthetic metro FMR is calculated.
| County | Studio | 1 BR | 2 BR | 3 BR | 4 BR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee County, MSFIPS 28081 | $847 | $852 | $994 | $1,257 | $1,316 |
| Prentiss County, MSFIPS 28117 | $638 | $642 | $842 | $1,012 | $1,118 |
| Itawamba County, MSFIPS 28057 | $749 | $753 | $891 | $1,068 | $1,180 |
The read
Why this market scores where it does
Tupelo merits investigation by yield-focused buyers who can underwrite local employment and flood exposure; buyers dependent on strong demand growth should avoid treating it as a growth-led market. A $198,139 median home value, $1,241 median asking rent and 7.51% gross yield create a workable income screen, but they are market medians rather than a property-level return.
The tension is that rent rose 2.67% while LAUS employment fell 0.86%. Net migration was only 27 households, and incoming movers’ average income trailed outgoing movers by $2,398. That combination supports selective income underwriting, not broad assumptions about a deepening tenant base.
Supply conditions offer some opportunity: total permits were 172 and active inventory was 3.3 months, while 25.12% of listings had price cuts. The counterweight is inland-flood exposure, with a 0.126% annual climate loss ratio, so property-specific flood and insurance review belongs in the acquisition screen.
Frequently Asked Investor Questions
What do the median price and rent imply before expenses?
$1,241 monthly asking rent on a $198,139 median value corresponds to the published 7.51% gross yield.
How much negotiating evidence is visible?
Homes spent a median 45 days on market, and 25.12% had price drops.
Where are inbound households coming from?
Union County led with 279 households, followed by Monroe County with 226, Prentiss County with 155, Chickasaw County with 133, and Lafayette County with 102.
Investor Quick Takeaways
Gross Yield: 7.5%
Computed from the current Zillow rent and home-value medians.
Rent Momentum: ▲ 2.67%
Zillow ZORI rent growth trend over trailing 12 months.
Investor Activity: 9.2%
Originated investment purchase share (CFPB HMDA).
Climate Exposure: FEMA NRI
Annualized loss ratio evaluated for flood & hurricane risk.
Put the evidence to work
Test the market, then test the deal
Keep Tupelo as the starting point or move into a more specific property and rent check.
Run cash flowStarts with this market's measured price and rentSave to shortlistCompare this metro with up to four other placesCheck rent by ZIPMove from metro context to a local rent benchmarkFind a comparison marketRead a curated two-market decision analysisShare this analysisEmail the canonical link without adding page scriptsReport a data issueSend the figure, source and release period to review
Market pulse
The current market in eight signals
Fast-moving Redfin conditions sit beside the slower fundamentals so a buyer can separate today's negotiating climate from the long-run investment case.
Months of supply3.3 mo.▼ from 3.4 mo. a year ago
Median days on market45 days▲ from 42 days a year ago
Listings with price drops25.1%▼ from 29.8% a year ago
Sale-to-list ratio102.3%2026-05-01
Home value growth▲ 7.1%Zillow ZHVI · trailing 12 months
Rent growth▲ 2.67%Zillow ZORI · trailing 12 months
Gross rental yield7.5%Rent × 12 ÷ price
Payroll job growth▼ 0.9%LAUS · 12m to 2026-05
Release-to-release evidence
What actually changed
This comparison exists because at least one underlying source period advanced. Rebuilding the same data never creates a new observation.
Published score held steady46→46
0 ptsThe published component scores did not move in this release.
Weights were unchanged at metro-2026-07-v2-omb2023, so the movement comes from refreshed evidence and percentile ranks.
The named source periods advanced, but the measured values on this page held steady.
Composite breakdown
What each component measures
Weights are published, not hidden, and the arithmetic is shown. Five components, each measured as a national percentile across all tracked metros.
Published arithmeticComponent × weight = points
46| Signal | Score | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Job growth | 27 | 30% | 8.10 |
| Rent trend | 38 | 25% | 9.50 |
| Affordability | 56 | 15% | 8.40 |
| Supply pressure | 76 | 15% | 11.40 |
| Climate risk | 60 | 15% | 9.00 |
| Published score | 46 | ||
Tupelo, MS scoreRank #327
46Job growth27/100
LAUS employment fell 0.86% year over year -> job support for rental demand is currently weak.
Rent trend38/100
Median asking rent rose 2.67% and gross yield is 7.51% -> income metrics warrant property-level expense testing despite modest rent growth.
Affordability56/100
Rent equals 23.57% of median income and home value equals 3.14 times income -> underwrite rents and exit pricing against local household capacity.
Supply pressure76/100
Permits totaled 172, or 1.3 per thousand, while months of supply was 3.3 -> check competing inventory at the submarket level rather than relying on metro totals.
Climate risk60/100
Inland flood is the dominant hazard and the annual climate loss ratio is 0.126% -> flood-zone, mitigation and insurance diligence is essential.
The numbers
What this market costs and what it earns
Every derived ratio below recomputes from the same source record used by the article and score.
ZHVI Median Price
$198k
YoY ▲ 7.1%
ZORI Median Rent
$1,241
YoY ▲ 2.67%
Gross Rental Yield
7.5%
Rent × 12 ÷ price
$1,241 × 12 ÷ $198,139
Job Growth (YoY)
▼ 0.9%
LAUS payrolls
Job signal 27/100
Median Household Income
$63k
Census ACS 5-year
Rent Burden
23.6%
Annual rent ÷ household income
Price-to-Income
3.1x
Median value ÷ household income
HUD 2BR Fair Market Rent
$891
Market rent 139.2% of FMR
Historical affordability context
Compare aligned 2019 and 2024 asking-rent and nominal household-income endpoints across the direct-overlap metro set.
Independent rent evidence
One market, several legitimate rent benchmarks
These releases observe different homes and different moments. RentMarker keeps them separate: ZORI remains the scoring baseline, while the other sources test how sensitive the market story is to bedroom mix and measurement method.
Monthly benchmark4 of 4 reported values
Zero-based scale$1,241Primary RentMarker baseline
2026-06-30
All homes and bedroom counts
A smoothed metro rent index for observed rentals; it is the primary rent used by RentMarker scores and career ratios.
View source release ↗$753−$488 vs ZORI
FY2026 FMR
One-bedroom standard
An administrative gross-rent benchmark used by HUD programs; it is neither a listing median nor a prediction of one lease.
View source release ↗$891−$350 vs ZORI
FY2026 FMR
Two-bedroom standard
An administrative gross-rent benchmark used by HUD programs; it is neither a listing median nor a prediction of one lease.
View source release ↗$878−$363 vs ZORI
ACS 2024 5-year
Occupied rental units paying rent
A five-year survey estimate of contract rent plus applicable tenant-paid utilities; it is not a current asking-rent index.
View source release ↗Take the next step
Keep Tupelo as context, then replace market-wide evidence with the candidate property's facts.
Supply pipeline
What is being built, and for whom
Permits are the 12-to-24 month early warning. The total matters less than the mix: apartments compete with a rental the day they open.
National supply context
Compare this authorization pipeline with asking-rent growth, jobs and for-sale liquidity across the evidence-complete metro set.
Building permits by structure type
units per year · latest year annualised
162 units authorised in 2026, 0% of them in 5+ unit buildings. This is a single-family building cycle, so the competition is other houses, not new apartments. ✓ recomputed from series
Who is arriving, and who is buying
Demand, and the competition for it
Tax filings say how many households moved and what they earn; mortgage disclosures say how many local purchases went to someone who will not live there. Moves between counties inside this metro are netted out of both flow figures.
Net Household Move
+103
2,493 in vs 2,390 out (IRS SOI)
▲ 4.1% of arriving households
Mover Income Gap
−$3,415
Arriving $46,519 vs leaving $49,934
Average AGI per tax return (IRS SOI)
Investor Purchase Share
9.2%
116 of 1,261 originated purchase loans
CFPB HMDA 2024
Dominant Hazard
inland flooding
0.128% building value annual loss ratio
FEMA NRI · risk type: water
Compare yield and FEMA exposure →Households arrive mainly from: Monroe County · Pontotoc County · Union County · Alcorn County · Tishomingo County
✓ 2,493 in − 2,390 out = 103 netDirect market links
Where tax-return households moved from and to
These are the largest flows where both counties map to a RentMarker market area. They are a documented subset of the all-US IRS totals above.
Leading inbound markets
- Memphis, TN98 arriving
- Oxford, MS61 arriving
- Starkville, MS43 arriving
Leading outbound markets
- Memphis, TN110 leaving
- Oxford, MS56 leaving
- Starkville, MS34 leaving
The other side
What would make this a bad buy
Generated from the same figures with the instruction to argue against the score, and published unedited. A page that only agrees with itself is an advertisement.
Three ways the case breaks
- LAUS employment is contracting, weakening a key demand signal.
- Near-flat net migration and lower average income among inbound than outbound movers provide little evidence of expanding demand.
- Inland-flood exposure could make otherwise attractive yields less compelling after property-specific insurance and mitigation costs.
Inside this micro area
Move from the market-area average to local evidence
Use the available county and city pages to add local price, rent, housing, migration and hazard context to the market-area view.
Statistical peers
Market areas that behave like Tupelo
Nearest neighbours on price level, income, yield and job growth — not on geography. Every market page gets a different peer set, which is the point.
| Market area | Score | Price | Rent | Yield | Job Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tupelo, MS (Target) | 46 | $198k | $1,241 | 7.5% | ▼ 0.9% |
| Rocky Mount, NC | 26 | $203k | $1,262 | 7.4% | ▼ 0.5% |
| Hattiesburg, MS | 49 | $221k | $1,388 | 7.5% | ▼ 0.4% |
| Valdosta, GA | 32 | $228k | $1,366 | 7.2% | ▼ 0.7% |
| New Bern, NC | 30 | $266k | $1,582 | 7.1% | ▼ 1.0% |
Provenance
Where every figure came from
“Checked nightly” means every source is re-pulled and re-verified each night. It does not mean every source moves nightly — the release column tells you how fresh each number can possibly be.
| Dataset Source | Method | Release Period | Pulled Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Census ACS 5-year — household income and gross rent | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-08-05 |
| Census ACS 5-year — historical household income | direct | ACS 2019 and 2024 5-year | 2026-08-05 |
| Census ACS 5-year — population | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-26 |
| Apartment List Rent Estimates — recent-lease rent index | direct | Apartment List 2026-07 | 2026-08-08 |
| Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity | direct | Apartment List 2026-07 | 2026-08-08 |
| Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy | direct | Apartment List 2026-07 | 2026-08-08 |
| BEA County Personal Income — income and population | direct | 2024 County Personal Income (released 2026-02-05); history 1969-2024 | 2026-08-03 |
| BEA Regional Price Parities — metropolitan price levels | direct | 2024 Regional Price Parities (released 2026-02-19); history 2008-2024 | 2026-08-03 |
| BLS CES — payroll employment | direct | CES SM current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS LAUS — resident employment | direct | LAUS current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS OEWS — occupation employment and wages | direct | May 2025 OEWS estimates (released 2026-05-15) | 2026-08-03 |
| BLS QCEW — county employment and wages | direct | annual county employment and wages 2021-2025; latest 2025 vs 2024 | 2026-08-02 |
| OMB/BLS delineation — metro geography | direct | OMB July 2023 delineation | 2026-07-30 |
| Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units | direct | BPS through 2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| Census ACS 5-year — city population, households and housing | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-29 |
| Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and income | direct | ACS 2024 5-year ZCTA | 2026-08-08 |
| FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios | modelled | NRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS) | 2026-07-26 |
| FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation | direct | annual county HPI history 1975-2025; latest 2025 | 2026-08-02 |
| HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy type | direct | HMDA 2024 purchase originations | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD CHAS — renter burden by HAMFI income band | direct | HUD CHAS 2018-2022 ACS 5-year (released 2025-12-23) | 2026-08-03 |
| HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard | direct | FY2026 FMR | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallback | direct | ZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD-USPS ZIP-to-county residential-address crosswalk | direct | HUD-USPS 2026Q1 | 2026-08-09 |
| IRS SOI — county migration and mover income | direct | SOI migration 2022-2023 | 2026-07-26 |
| Freddie Mac PMMS — mortgage rates | direct | week of 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-06 |
| Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-08-06 |
| Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory | direct | county inventory 2026-06 | 2026-07-28 |
| Realtor.com Rental Report — top-50 asking rents | direct | top-50 rental asking rents 2026-05 | 2026-08-05 |
| Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts | direct | metro tracker through 2026-05-01 | 2026-07-26 |
| Redfin Data Center — ZIP resale activity and supply | direct | ZIP rolling 3 months through 2026-06-30; updated 2026-07-03 | 2026-08-12 |
| USDA ERS — Rural-Urban Continuum Codes | direct | USDA ERS 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes | 2026-08-02 |
| Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents | direct | county ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06 | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — metro home values | direct | Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — city home values | direct | zillow_zhvi_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI — metro market rents | direct | Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZORI — city market rents | direct | zillow_zori_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI - metro market rents, not seasonally adjusted | direct | Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv | 2026-08-15 |
| Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rents | direct | ZORI ZIP 2026-06 | 2026-08-08 |