Counties / Missouri / Johnson County

Johnson County, MO

FIPS 29101 · population 54,732 · part of Warrensburg, MO

$288k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$288k
▲ 5.4% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
Median asking rent
$1,027
▲ 2.9% year over year
Zillow ZORI · direct
Gross yield
4.3%
annual rent ÷ price, before costs
derived: rent × 12 ÷ price ✓
HUD 2-bed standard
$965
market rent is 1.06x the standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

Both annual signals move in the same direction
FHFA five-year cumulative+54.7%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06+5.4%FHFA HPI2025+4.7%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-07-28.
Owner-reported value$236k
Surveyed gross rent$932
Rent burden 30%+40.8%
Median year built1990
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
7.2%vacant
22,731estimated housing units
Occupied tenure36.5% renter
owner 63.5%renter 36.5%
Structure mix74.2% single-family
Single-family 74.2%20+ units 2.6%Mobile home 7.1%Other 16.0%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs16,360▲ 0.7% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments1,328annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$931▲ 4.1% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorTrade, transportation, and utilities25.9% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS+0.7%WEEKLY WAGE+4.1%Trade, transportation, and utilities25.9%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-07-31. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Johnson County’s decision tension is a rising value base against a pre-cost income measure that leaves limited room for unmeasured expenses. Zillow puts the county median home value at $287,697, up 5.39% year over year, while measured median asking market rent is $1,027 per month and gross yield is 4.28%. Buyers seeking durable net income should investigate property-level expenses and rent comparables; buyers relying on appreciation or thin cash-flow margins should be cautious.

02Housing economics

That gross yield is based on annual market rent before costs, not a net return. HUD’s $965 FMR is a payment standard, not an asking-rent estimate, and must not substitute for the measured market rent. The effective property-tax rate is 0.66%, an identified carrying-cost input but not a parcel-specific tax bill. Financing, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, utilities, turnover and management costs are not published, preventing net operating income, debt-service coverage and property-specific cash-flow conclusions.

03Demand & competition

At the listing-market level, Realtor.com shows median marketing time up 51.63%, with 17.43% of listings price-reduced. These are MLS evidence on marketing time and seller concessions, not closed-sale prices or proof of buyer demand. QCEW measures annual covered employment at county workplaces rather than resident employment; Trade, transportation, and utilities is the largest disclosed private supersector. Net tax-return migration was 42, but arriving movers’ average AGI was $1,031 below departing movers’. The record reports 130 investor purchases among 856 total purchases, or 15.19%; this identifies non-occupant mortgage participation, not all buyer competition.

04Risk & next checks

FHFA’s 2025 repeat-transaction HPI rose 4.74% annually, confirming Zillow’s positive direction but not supplying a dollar home value. Its method and vintage differ from Zillow’s, so the measures cannot be averaged into one appreciation rate. Inland flood is the dominant hazard, while modeled annual building-value loss is 0.11%; neither identifies parcel exposure, insurance pricing or mitigation needs. Obtain address-level flood maps, insurance quotes, condition reports, lease/rent comps and closed-sale comparables. Without them, an underwriter cannot establish parcel net cash flow, valuation or resale liquidity.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Johnson County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Warrensburg city19.6KWhiteman AFB CDP3.5KKnob Noster city2.8KHolden city2KLeeton city660Kingsville city360Centerview city248Chilhowee town232
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

9 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Warrensburg cityIncorporated place
    19,582
  2. 02
    Whiteman AFB CDPCensus-designated place
    3,517
  3. 03
    Knob Noster cityIncorporated place
    2,838
  4. 04
    Holden cityIncorporated place
    1,989
  5. 05
    Leeton cityIncorporated place
    660
  6. 06
    Kingsville cityIncorporated place
    360
  7. 07
    Centerview cityIncorporated place
    248
  8. 08
    Chilhowee townIncorporated place
    232
  9. 09
    La Tour CDPCensus-designated place
    132

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.107% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax0.66%

$1,565 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration+42

2,184 in · 2,142 out

Arriving vs leaving income−$1,031

$49,839 arriving · $50,870 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors15.2%

130 of 856 mortgages

investorother financed
Current listing pressure

What sellers and visible supply are doing

Realtor.com® Economic Research · county inventory 2026-06 · pulled 2026-07-28
Active listings170▲ 3.0% year over year
Median days on market58▲ 51.6% year over year
Listings price-reduced17.4%seller-concession signal
Median listing pricen/a▲ 8.2% year over year

Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.

Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Parcel-specific flood exposure, insurance costs or mitigation needs may exceed the county-level modeled loss measure.
  2. Unpublished vacancy, repairs, utilities, management and financing costs may materially reduce net income.
  3. County listing and migration evidence may not translate into demand or liquidity for the specific property type and location.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Does HUD Fair Market Rent establish Johnson County asking rent?

No. The published FMR is a $965 payment standard, while the measured market asking rent is $1,027 per month.

How much investor mortgage participation is reported?

The record reports 130 investor purchases among 856 total purchases, equal to a 15.19% share defined as non-occupant purchase mortgages.

What does the FHFA figure measure?

It is a repeat-transaction house price index. It rose 4.74% annually in 2025 and is not a dollar home value or a Zillow-equivalent appreciation measure.