IRS SOI data for 2022–2023 measured 8,093 tax-return households moving from Houston to Dallas. This IRS flow means tax-return households. It does not identify renters, every mover or future demand. The movers reported average adjusted gross income of $92,970.59 per return, which describes income attached to the filed returns rather than a recurring housing budget. The measured corridor is substantial enough to investigate, but it is not evidence that the same volume will continue or translate directly into Dallas lease demand.
For a household, the immediate rental change looks modest in the Zillow snapshot dated June 30, 2026: asking rent was $1,648 in Houston and $1,673 in Dallas, with a annual difference of $300. Buying presents a larger step. Dallas home value was $366,701 against Houston’s $308,933, a difference of $57,768. Separate 2024 BEA data also place Dallas higher on housing prices, with a regional price parity of 117.874 versus 104.51 in Houston. The destination therefore changes the ownership budget more materially than the headline monthly asking rent.
For rental-property underwriting, the gross-yield measure falls from 6.4% in Houston to 5.48% in Dallas because the higher acquisition value is not matched by a similarly large rent difference. Dallas has stronger household-income and employment readings in their respective datasets, as well as lower measured FEMA building-loss exposure, but those indicators come from different periods and cannot be treated as a synchronized return forecast. Both markets identify inland flood as the leading hazard. The next underwriting question is whether a specific Dallas property’s achievable rent can cover its purchase basis, taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, management and financing under conservative assumptions.

