Moving corridor · West origin

Moving from Salt Lake City to Ogden

A directional rental-market brief grounded in a measured IRS flow, then tested against housing costs, income, employment, regional prices and climate exposure.

Salt Lake City, UT cityscapeFrom · Salt Lake City
Ogden, UT cityscapeTo · Ogden
Direct flow4,217tax-return households
People proxy7,395IRS exemptions
AGI per return$65,354within this corridor
Monthly rent change−$24destination minus origin
Direct answer

What materially changes on this move

Market-area evidence narrows the questions. It does not replace a neighborhood check, a lease comp or property-level underwriting.

Moving from Salt Lake City to Ogden presents a narrow rent discount alongside a different income and risk profile, rather than a clean low-cost trade. IRS SOI migration for 2022-2023 recorded 4,217 tax-return households moving on this corridor, representing 7,395 exemptions, an IRS people proxy. The corridor accounted for 13.84% of Salt Lake City’s outbound returns and 28.96% of Ogden’s inbound returns. IRS flow means tax-return households; it does not identify renters, every mover or future demand. Those filing-flow shares establish the corridor’s place in measured migration, not subsequent leasing activity.

For household costs, Zillow ZORI’s June 2026 observation puts typical asking rent at $1,638 in Salt Lake City and $1,614 in Ogden, a annual difference of $288 less at the destination. The discount is modest, and HUD’s fiscal 2026 Fair Market Rent points the other way: the two-bedroom standard is $1,494 at the origin and $1,614 at the destination. Fair Market Rent is a HUD standard, not a Zillow market-rent observation. A moving budget therefore needs the actual unit, utilities, commute and lease terms rather than a simple metro-rent label.

For rental-property underwriting, the June 2026 Zillow comparison places both asking rent and the metro home-value benchmark lower in Ogden, while their relationship screens as a slightly higher gross yield. ZHVI is a metro Zillow home-value benchmark, not acquisition or comparable-sale evidence. The appropriate diligence sequence covers tenant income and employer exposure, followed by insurance terms, taxes, maintenance, concessions, turnover and exit liquidity. The next underwriting question is whether a specific Ogden property’s achievable rent and recurring costs leave an acceptable margin under conservative occupancy and resale assumptions; metro screens cannot establish that margin.

Measured direction

The route exists in the IRS records

One inflow-side county pair enters once. Same-market moves are excluded before market aggregation.

Direct IRS relocation flow from Salt Lake City to OgdenORIGIN MARKET AREASalt Lake CityUTAll-US outbound households30,473DESTINATION MARKET AREAOgdenUTAll-US inbound households14,559DIRECT CORRIDOR4,217tax-return households7,395 people proxy · $65,354 AGI / returnDirection and totals come from the same IRS inflow-side county-pair records.
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023. Tax-return households are not the same as renters or every mover.
Before and after

The move changes more than rent

Every row retains its own definition and scale. The chart does not blend these measures into a relocation score.

What changes between the origin and destinationSalt Lake CityOgdenMonthly asking renteach row uses its own source-unit scale$1,638$1,614Home valueeach row uses its own source-unit scale$567,346$519,707Household incomeeach row uses its own source-unit scale$98,083$101,203Gross rental yieldeach row uses its own source-unit scale3.5%3.7%Regional price leveleach row uses its own source-unit scale100.9100.3Annual climate losseach row uses its own source-unit scale0.181%0.144%Dots show source values, not a blended relocation score.
Direct source values; destination is emerald and origin is ink. “n/a” remains unavailable rather than estimated.
EvidenceSalt Lake City, UTOgden, UTDestination change
Median asking rent2026-06-30$1,638$1,614−$24
Median home value2026-06-30$567,346$519,707−$47,639
Median household incomeCensus ACS$98,083$101,203+$3,120
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ home value3.5%3.7%+0.3%
Annual employment changeCES / CES+1.3%−0.9%−2.2%
Regional price level2024; US = 100100.9100.3−0.5
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.181%0.144%−0.038%
Net IRS migrationall-US tax-return households−2,144+930+3,074
Directional analysis

Three decisions hidden inside one move

The sections follow the evidence that is material for this corridor, not a universal city template.

01
Income and employment

Higher household income meets a payroll reversal

The labor contrast is the clearest caution in this corridor. BLS CES payroll employment over the twelve months through June 2026 increased 1.27% in Salt Lake City and declined 0.92% in Ogden. The opposite signs distinguish the destination from the origin’s recent employment setting, but payroll change does not establish property vacancy or collections. The relevant diligence question is which Ogden employers and industries correspond to the target tenant base, how stable those positions have been, and whether applicant income documentation matches the proposed rent.

The income evidence is mixed rather than uniformly weaker. In IRS SOI migration for 2022-2023, households on the Salt Lake City-to-Ogden corridor reported average AGI of $65,354.28 per tax return. Across all incoming returns, average AGI was $70,613 in Salt Lake City and $67,262 in Ogden. Separately, the ACS 2024 five-year estimate places median household income at $101,203 in Ogden and $98,083 in Salt Lake City. Those measures describe different populations and are not synchronized: IRS AGI covers filing households that moved, while ACS income covers the broader resident household population. The underwriting question is therefore tenant-specific income depth, not whether one metro-level income statistic offsets the payroll contrast.

02
Housing cost transition

Lower value benchmark, but only a small rent reset

The June 2026 Zillow observations show a wider separation in home values than in rents. ZHVI, the metro Zillow home-value benchmark, was $567,346 in Salt Lake City and $519,707 in Ogden. Against the associated rent observations, the gross-yield screens are 3.46% and 3.73%, respectively. Ogden’s lower benchmark and slightly higher screen merit attention, but the screen is not a return estimate. It omits vacancy, concessions, taxes, insurance, management, repairs, capital work, financing and transaction costs. ZHVI also is not a property acquisition basis or transaction-price measure.

Pairing the June 2026 Zillow observations with ACS 2024 five-year income produces cross-release screening ratios: rent-to-income is 20.04% for Salt Lake City and 19.14% for Ogden, while price-to-income is 5.78 times and 5.14 times. These are directional screens, not current household budget shares. BEA’s 2024 Regional Price Parities offer another household-cost contrast: the housing reading was 123.311 in Salt Lake City and 117.903 in Ogden, although the all-items readings were close. The practical next question is whether the actual Ogden unit’s rent, utility responsibility and condition preserve the apparent advantage after recurring household and property costs are listed separately.

03
Market and risk context

Lower modeled hazard loss alongside softer resale indicators

FEMA’s National Risk Index counties release reports a modeled climate/hazard loss ratio of 0.1814% for Salt Lake City and 0.1436% for Ogden, with earthquake identified as the top hazard in both markets. The lower Ogden ratio is a directional contrast, not an insurance quote or a complete property-risk assessment. Redfin’s metro tracker through May 1, 2026 also shows different resale conditions: months of supply were 3.0 in Salt Lake City and 3.6 in Ogden, while price-drop shares were 32.6% and 34.68%. Median marketing times were equal. These indicators describe resale inventory and seller adjustments; they do not prove rental vacancy, tenant bargaining power or future pricing.

The permits screen needs similar restraint. Census BPS permits year to date through June 2026, combined with ACS 2024 population, report 4.19 permits per thousand residents in Salt Lake City and 4.79 in Ogden. This is a cross-period descriptive screen, not a same-period supply rate, and it does not identify completed units, locations, rents or absorption. HMDA 2024 purchase originations place investor share at 4.86% in Salt Lake City and 3.83% in Ogden. Those shares are descriptive screens, not proof of buyer competition, deliveries, vacancy or rent pressure. The next question is what the specific Ogden submarket shows for insurance terms, competing units, concessions and realistic resale liquidity.

Counter-signals

What the easy reading misses

A lower rent, stronger job figure or larger flow can still hide a different risk elsewhere in the record.

01

Ogden’s lower asking-rent headline is narrow: the Zillow observation is only $24 less per month, while the fiscal 2026 HUD two-bedroom Fair Market Rent is $120 higher at the destination. The first is a market-rent observation and the second is a program standard, so neither alone establishes the mover’s actual housing bill.

02

Ogden’s recent payroll decline is not the only income signal. The ACS 2024 five-year median household income is $3,120 higher than in Salt Lake City, and IRS SOI migration recorded 930 more tax-return inflows than outflows in Ogden. Those observations cover different populations and periods and do not cancel the CES employment contraction.

03

Ogden’s lower FEMA modeled climate/hazard loss ratio is not a complete lower-risk finding. Earthquake remains the named top hazard in both markets, while the destination also has more months of resale supply and a higher price-drop share. Property-level insurance, construction, location and exit-market evidence remain necessary.

Reading boundary

What this corridor cannot establish

IRS migration measures linked tax-return households between filing locations. It does not identify renters, every mover or future demand, and exemptions are only a people proxy. A household can include multiple people, while nonfilers and moves not captured through matched returns fall outside this population. The corridor flow therefore cannot be translated directly into rental absorption.

Metro evidence cannot establish a particular household’s utility costs, commute expense or lease terms, nor a property’s achievable rent, tenant mix, taxes, insurance quote, physical condition, deferred maintenance, capital needs, financing or resale proceeds. Those facts determine whether the apparent Ogden cost and yield screens remain present at a specific address.

Source ledger

Separate releases, one traceable brief

Pull dates show when RentMarker retrieved each release, not when every upstream measure changed.

SourceRole hereReleaseRetrieved
IRS SOI — county migration and mover incomeDirectional tax-return household flow and mover AGISOI migration 2022-20232026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI — metro home valuesMarket-area home values and annual changeMetro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Zillow ZORI — metro market rentsMarket-area asking rents and annual changeMetro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Census ACS 5-year — household income and gross rentMedian household income and affordability ratiosACS 2024 5-year2026-08-05
Census ACS 5-year — populationMarket-area population contextACS 2024 5-year2026-07-26
HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standardHUD two-bedroom Fair Market Rent standardFY2026 FMR2026-07-26
BLS CES — payroll employmentPayroll employment change where publishedCES SM current2026-07-26
BLS LAUS — resident employmentResident employment change where CES is unavailableLAUS current2026-07-26
BEA Regional Price Parities — metropolitan price levelsRegional price levels for directly matched metropolitan areas2024 Regional Price Parities (released 2026-02-19); history 2008-20242026-08-03
FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratiosExpected annual building-loss exposureNRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS)2026-07-26
Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cutsFor-sale inventory and marketing conditionsmetro tracker through 2026-05-012026-07-26
Census Building Permits Survey — permitted unitsPermitted housing supplyBPS through 20262026-07-26
HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy typeInvestor purchase-mortgage shareHMDA 2024 purchase originations2026-07-26