In IRS SOI migration 2022-2023, 5,957 tax-return households moved from Salt Lake City to Provo, representing 11,758 exemptions, a people proxy. Their reported adjusted gross income averaged $73,666.61 per return. This is measured corridor flow, not a renter count: IRS flow means tax-return households and does not identify renters, every mover, or future demand. It nevertheless establishes an observed tax-filer connection while the broader market totals show net IRS migration of -2,144 for Salt Lake City and 2,762 for Provo.
For a household, the clearest immediate change is a higher advertised lease benchmark despite a lower purchase-value benchmark. On 2026-06-30, Zillow asking rent was $1,638 in Salt Lake City and $1,847 in Provo; the annual rent difference is $2,508. On that same Zillow date, home value was $567,346 at the origin and $548,061 at the destination. Asking rent is not a quoted rent for a particular unit, and a metro home-value measure is not an attainable purchase price, but the direction matters: moving south does not make the typical advertised rental benchmark cheaper, even though Provo's home-value benchmark is lower.
For a rental-property screen, that rent-and-value pairing raises Provo's gross-yield measure relative to Salt Lake City's, but the next layer is less favorable to a simple yield story. Redfin data through 2026-05-01 show 3.6 months of supply in Provo versus 3.0 in Salt Lake City, signaling more sales-market choice at the destination at that observation point. The next underwriting question is unit-specific: what achievable rent remains after vacancy, operating costs, taxes, insurance, maintenance, management, and financing for the exact property and submarket? The market evidence does not answer net return.

