States / Delaware
State rental intelligence

Delaware rental market data

A source-traced view across 2 metro markets and 3 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

2/2 metros scored3/3 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro47.0out of 100 · 2 measured metros
Delaware identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$385kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,827monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield5.7%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.3%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

The clearest county split pairs Sussex County’s strongest appreciation and highest measured rent with 29.9% total housing vacancy and the slowest listings, while New Castle County offers a higher gross yield and faster resale signal alongside the highest measured tax and climate-loss ratios.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

The evidence supports county-level screening rather than a single Delaware thesis. Sussex County leads the three measured counties in annual and five-year appreciation and has the highest measured rent, but it also has 29.9% total housing vacancy, a 5.4% gross yield and a 66-day listing time. New Castle County combines 5.0% vacancy, a 6.2% gross yield and a 36-day listing time, though its 0.71% property-tax rate and 0.135% climate-loss ratio are the highest measured.

Demand indicators do not fully agree. The three-county migration total was a net inflow of 4,054 people, and rent growth exceeded home-value growth in both measured metros. Employment, however, rose 0.3% in Philadelphia, PA and fell 0.9% in Dover, DE. These figures can identify markets needing deeper review, but they cannot establish property-level occupancy, net yield, insurance cost or future demand; the metro coverage is limited to two areas, and the supplied migration totals do not show how the net inflow was distributed among the three counties.

01

Sussex County’s 5.3% annual appreciation and $2,208 rent coexist with 29.9% total vacancy and a 66-day listing time → separate its appreciation case from rental-occupancy and exit underwriting.

02

New Castle County combines 5.0% total vacancy, a 6.2% gross yield and a 36-day listing time → it has the strongest measured occupancy-income-liquidity combination, subject to higher taxes and climate-loss ratios.

03

The three-county migration total shows a net inflow of 4,054, while metro employment ranges from 0.3% growth to a 0.9% decline → require county and property-level demand confirmation rather than relying on the aggregate inflow.

04

Rent growth exceeded home-value growth in both measured metros → treat rent momentum as a positive screening input, not as proof of net cash-flow growth.

01
County market dispersion

Sussex leads appreciation but trails on yield and listing speed

Sussex County recorded 5.3% annual FHFA appreciation and 56.9% over five years, ahead of New Castle County at 2.8% and 49.7% and Kent County at 2.5% and 48.9%. Sussex also had the highest measured county rent at $2,208, but its $490,904 value produced the lowest gross yield of the three at 5.4%. New Castle’s measured gross yield was 6.2%, while Kent’s was 5.5%.

The resale indicators reinforce the trade-off. Sussex listings had a 66-day median marketing time and a 44.4% pending ratio, compared with 36 days and 81.5% in New Castle. Kent was between them at 50 days and a 60.2% pending ratio. For screening, Sussex’s appreciation record should be evaluated separately from current income and exit liquidity; none of these county aggregates establishes the discount, rent or resale time available for a specific property.

Evidence: FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation · Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory · Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents

02
Housing stock and tenant conditions

Sussex’s headline vacancy conflicts with its small renter base

Sussex County’s total housing vacancy rate was 29.9%, far above Kent County’s 6.4% and New Castle County’s 5.0%. Sussex also had the smallest renter share at 18.4%, versus 27.5% in Kent and 31.0% in New Castle. Yet 53.5% of Sussex renters were burdened at the 30%-plus threshold, compared with 52.5% in Kent and 47.8% in New Castle.

Housing stock is predominantly single-family in all three counties, with measured shares from 74.2% to 75.3%. The vacancy measure covers total housing rather than available rental units, and the packet does not identify why units were vacant. Sussex’s figure therefore cannot establish a rental glut. It instead flags the need to verify rental-specific vacancy and occupancy at the property’s submarket, while New Castle’s lower vacancy must be weighed against its older county median year built of 1975.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

03
Employment and household movement

Positive net migration meets a split employment signal

Aggregating the three counties with migration data, 25,606 people moved in and 21,552 moved out. The resulting net inflow was 4,054, or 4.0 per 1,000 residents. That is a demand-supportive measured signal, but the supplied totals do not show which county received the inflow.

Employment does not provide uniform confirmation. Philadelphia, PA recorded 0.3% year-over-year job growth, while Dover, DE declined 0.9%; the median across the two measured metros was negative 0.3%. Screening should therefore avoid treating aggregate migration as proof of county-level rental demand. The packet also lacks the movers’ county allocation, household formation and renter tenure.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

04
Price and rent momentum

Rents outpaced home values in both measured metros

Philadelphia, PA rent growth was 3.8%, compared with 2.5% home-value growth. Its measured rent was $1,928 against a $394,762 value, producing a 5.9% gross yield. Dover, DE rents increased 2.7% while values rose 2.3%; its $1,725 rent and $374,943 value produced a 5.5% gross yield.

Across the two metros, the supplied median rent-growth advantage was 0.8 percentage point. This is a genuine rent-side counter-signal to the mixed employment data, but it does not establish that an acquired unit can achieve the indexed rent. Gross yield also excludes vacancy, maintenance, financing, taxes and insurance, so faster rent growth is not equivalent to expanding net cash flow.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Investor participation

Non-occupant purchase activity is concentrated in New Castle

New Castle County had 519 investor purchases among 5,755 measured purchase originations, a 9.0% share. Sussex County recorded 305 among 5,361, or 5.7%, while Kent County recorded 122 among 2,490, or 4.9%. As a calculation from the supplied totals, 946 investor purchases divided by 13,606 measured purchases equals 7.0% overall.

New Castle combines the highest investor share with the highest measured county gross yield, 6.2%. That makes acquisition competition a relevant part of its screening case, but the occupancy-based mortgage data do not measure every purchase and cannot prove that non-occupant buyers raised prices or displaced owner-occupants.

Evidence: HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy type

06
Physical risk and property tax

New Castle’s operating strengths come with the highest tax and loss ratios

New Castle County had the highest measured property-tax rate at 0.71%, a $2,499 median tax and a 0.135% climate-loss ratio. Sussex County’s corresponding figures were 0.32%, $1,222 and 0.126%. Kent County measured 0.43%, $1,363 and 0.105%.

Inland flood was the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for all three counties. That label does not mean every parcel has inland-flood exposure, and the county loss ratios are not insurance quotes. Because the packet contains no parcel flood zone, premium, deductible or claim history, its gross-yield comparison cannot establish risk-adjusted net returns.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Delaware

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

County market dispersionWhere do county appreciation, listing conditions and measured rents diverge?
10th pct.median90th pct.Five-year HPI change49.1%49.7%55.5%Listing days39 days50 days63 daysGross yield5.4%5.5%6.1%Reduced-price share16.0%18.6%18.7%
Housing stock and tenant conditionsWhat kind of housing exists, how much is vacant and how burdened are renters?
10th pct.median90th pct.Vacancy rate5.3%6.4%25.2%Renter share20.2%27.5%30.3%Rent burden 30%+48.7%52.5%53.3%Single-family share74.2%74.4%75.1%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-0.7%-0.3%0.2%Net migration / 1k4.0Net household movement4,054
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution2 scored metros · median 47.0
00–19120–39140–59060–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
100%3/3Rent100%3/3Climate100%3/3Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Philadelphia5.9%Dover5.5%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Delaware

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Philadelphia, PA59$395k$1,9285.9%▲ 0.3%
2Dover, DE35$375k$1,7255.5%▼ 0.9%
Below the metro line

Largest counties in Delaware

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
New Castle County, DE577,961$375k$1,9406.2%inland flooding
Sussex County, DE255,626$491k$2,2085.4%inland flooding
Kent County, DE187,604$375k$1,7255.5%inland flooding
County yield sample3/3counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration+4,054IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share5.7%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Sussex County’s 29.9% figure is total housing vacancy; without vacancy reasons or rental-specific availability, it may misstate the occupancy risk for a target rental.
  2. Gross yields of 5.4% to 6.2% omit financing, maintenance, vacancy, taxes and insurance, so they cannot be treated as net returns.
  3. Only two metros are measured, and the Philadelphia, PA series is regional rather than Delaware-only; metro results may conceal substantial within-state variation.
  4. County-level hazard ratios and the inland-flood leading-hazard label do not establish parcel exposure or insurance cost.
  5. Investor shares come from occupancy-classified purchase originations and do not capture every acquisition, so measured competition may differ from total buyer activity.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Which county has the strongest measured combination of yield, vacancy and resale liquidity?

New Castle County: a 6.2% gross yield, 5.0% total housing vacancy, 36-day median listing time and 81.5% pending ratio. Its offsetting considerations are the highest measured property-tax rate, climate-loss ratio and investor share.

Does Sussex County’s 29.9% vacancy rate prove rental oversupply?

No. It is a total housing vacancy measure, while Sussex’s renter share is only 18.4%. The packet does not identify rental-specific vacancy or the reasons units were vacant.

Do migration and employment point in the same direction?

Not fully. The three-county migration total was a net inflow of 4,054, but employment rose 0.3% in Philadelphia, PA and fell 0.9% in Dover, DE.

How much faster were rents growing than home values?

Rent growth exceeded value growth in both measured metros. The supplied median difference was 0.8 percentage point; Philadelphia, PA measured 3.8% rent growth versus 2.5% value growth, and Dover, DE measured 2.7% versus 2.3%.

Does New Castle County’s 9.0% investor share establish heavy bidding pressure?

No. It is the highest measured non-occupant share among the three counties, with 519 investor purchases among 5,755 originations, but the data do not cover every purchase or show bidding behavior.