States / District of Columbia
State rental intelligence

District of Columbia rental market data

A source-traced view across 1 metro markets and 1 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

1/1 metros scored1/1 counties with FEMA risk17 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro29.0out of 100 · 1 measured metros
District of Columbia identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$585kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$2,448monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield5.0%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 2.3%trailing 12-month metro employment
Direct monthly rental evidence

District of Columbia rent market dynamics

Apartment List measures recent leases, rental vacancy and listing time separately. These figures do not replace Zillow, Census or Realtor measures elsewhere on this page.

Recent-lease rent$2,1542026-07 · ▼ 2.8% year over year
Rental Vacancy Index7.6%2026-07 · +0.6 pp in 12 months
Time on market33 days2026-07 · +8 days in 12 months
US recent-lease rent$1,3882026-07 · ▼ 1.1% year over year
Rent and rental vacancy through timesolid state series · dashed national series · no interpolation across missing observations
Recent-lease rent$2,378$1,653$928Rental Vacancy Index11.9%7.4%3.0%2017-012021-102026-07District of ColumbiaUnited States
State research brief

Falling recent-lease rent, rising rental vacancy and an eight-day increase in listing time make lease-up softness the primary screen, even as net migration remains positive.

Updated 2026-08-08 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Recent rental indicators weakened together in the District of Columbia. Apartment List rent fell 2.8% to $2,154, the Vacancy Index increased from 7.0% to 7.6%, and rental time on market rose from 25.3 to 33.3 days. The rent decline was 1.7 percentage points steeper than the national measure, while vacancy was 0.5 percentage point higher and marketing time was 3.3 days longer.

Counter-signals prevent a uniformly negative reading. Net migration was positive by 1,673 people, or 2.5 per 1,000 residents, and FHFA measured a 0.4% annual price gain. However, Washington, DC employment fell 2.3%, while county-level Zillow rent and value measures declined. Screening should therefore emphasize conservative lease-up and source-sensitive valuation rather than assume either broad deterioration or resilience. Coverage is limited to one measured metro and one county-equivalent area, so neighborhood dispersion remains unknown.

01

Recent-lease rent fell 2.8%, rental vacancy rose 0.6 percentage point and listing time increased 8.0 days → screen lease-up without relying on immediate rent growth.

02

Employment fell 2.3%, but net migration was positive by 1,673 → verify asset-level tenant demand rather than treating either measure as conclusive.

03

FHFA appreciation was positive 0.4% while Zillow county value fell 2.3% → test acquisition and exit values across source-sensitive comparable sets.

04

A $584,684 value and $2,448 rent produced a 5.0% gross yield → deduct property expenses, financing and capital needs before evaluating return.

05

The renter share was 58.5%, but the rent-burden share was 46.6% → screen proposed rents against local tenant incomes and unit-level comparables.

01
Direct state rental dynamics

Lease-up softened across all three current rental indicators

Apartment List's recent-lease rent measure fell from $2,215 to $2,154, a 2.8% decline. Its separate Vacancy Index rose by 0.6 percentage point to 7.6%, and rental listing time increased by 8.0 days to 33.3 days. The direction of all three measures supports testing deals without assumed rent growth and with a slower lease-up case.

The alignment does not show that the same properties experienced lower rents, higher vacancy and longer marketing periods. Rent, vacancy and time on market are separate Apartment List series with different coverage, and none establishes a particular building's occupancy, concessions or tenant retention.

Evidence: Apartment List Rent Estimates — recent-lease rent index · Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity · Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy

02
Employment and household movement

Employment contracted while headcount migration remained positive

Washington, DC employment declined 2.3%, but the migration record counted 32,848 movers in and 31,175 out. That produced net migration of 1,673, equal to 2.5 per 1,000 residents. Population movement therefore provides a genuine counter-signal to the weaker employment and rental readings.

Income movement was less favorable: aggregate mover AGI was $86,003 inbound and $117,157 outbound, a negative gap of $31,154. The job and migration series cover different periods and populations, and migration does not identify renter status. They support verifying the demand base for a specific property, not declaring demand uniformly strong or weak.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

03
County market dispersion

Value measures split while resale listings took 53 days

For the District of Columbia county-equivalent area, Zillow measured a $579,334 value, down 2.3%, and $2,532 rent, down 1.1%, with a supplied gross yield of 5.2%. FHFA's annual index instead rose 0.4%, while its longer-run measure was up 12.6%. These methodologies are not interchangeable; the disagreement makes acquisition and exit values sensitive to the selected comp set.

Realtor.com recorded 2,886 active listings, a median 53 days on market, price reductions on 17.6% of listings and a 30.3% pending ratio. Those are resale conditions, not Apartment List rental marketing time. They can inform an exit-liquidity screen but cannot establish rental absorption, and the packet contains no county listing-price record.

Evidence: FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation · Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory · Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents

04
Entry cost and affordability

A 5.0% gross yield leaves little room for unmeasured costs

The Washington, DC metro screen pairs a $584,684 value with $2,448 monthly rent, producing a supplied gross yield of 5.0%. Median household income was $126,684, the rent-to-income measure was 23.2%, and the price-to-income ratio was 4.62.

Measured rent was 1.09 times the $2,246 two-bedroom HUD Fair Market Rent. That comparison helps test positioning, but HUD's standard is not a guaranteed achievable rent or a unit-level affordability finding. The gross yield also precedes vacancy, concessions, maintenance, taxes, insurance, financing and capital spending.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income and gross rent · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

A renter-heavy market still shows substantial affordability pressure

ACS measures show renters occupying 58.5% of the District of Columbia housing base, while 46.6% of renters met the measure for spending at least 30% of income on rent. That combination indicates a large tenant market but limited evidence of broad capacity to absorb higher housing costs.

The ACS housing vacancy measure was 10.1%, separate from Apartment List's current rental Vacancy Index and not suitable for blending with it. Large multifamily properties represented 42.0% of stock and single-family homes 32.7%; the median year built was 1958. These figures make property type and physical diligence important, but they do not reveal the condition, required capital work or vacancy of a specific building.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Inland flood is the leading area-level hazard, not a parcel finding

FEMA assigns inland flood as the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for the one measured county-equivalent area. The area-level climate loss ratio was 0.048%. This supports requesting property-specific flood, insurance and mitigation information, but it does not mean every parcel's primary exposure is inland flood.

The measured effective property-tax rate was 0.585%, with a median tax of $4,312. Those figures provide an area-level expense reference only; they cannot determine the assessed value, exemptions or actual tax bill for a prospective acquisition.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for District of Columbia

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%Net migration / 1k2.5Net household movement1,673
County market dispersionWhere do county appreciation, listing conditions and measured rents diverge?
10th pct.median90th pct.Five-year HPI change12.6%12.6%12.6%Listing days53 days53 days53 daysGross yield5.2%5.2%5.2%Reduced-price share17.6%17.6%17.6%
Entry cost and affordabilityHow far do local prices, rents, incomes and HUD rent standards stretch?
10th pct.median90th pct.Gross yield5.0%5.0%5.0%Price / income4.6×4.6×4.6×Rent / income23.2%23.2%23.2%Home value$585K$585K$585K
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution1 scored metros · median 29.0
00–19120–39040–59060–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
100%1/1Rent100%1/1Climate100%1/1Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Washington5.0%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching District of Columbia

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Washington, DC29$585k$2,4485.0%▼ 2.3%
Below the metro line

Largest counties in District of Columbia

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
District of Columbia, DC681,294$579k$2,5325.2%inland flooding
County yield sample1/1counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration+1,673IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share9.0%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Census ACS 5-year — household income and gross rentACS 2024 5-yearRetrieved 2026-08-05Census ACS 5-year — populationACS 2024 5-yearRetrieved 2026-07-26Apartment List Rent Estimates — recent-lease rent indexApartment List 2026-07Retrieved 2026-08-08Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidityApartment List 2026-07Retrieved 2026-08-08Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancyApartment List 2026-07Retrieved 2026-08-08BLS CES — payroll employmentCES SM currentRetrieved 2026-07-26BLS LAUS — resident employmentLAUS currentRetrieved 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stockACS 2024 5-yearRetrieved 2026-07-30FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratiosNRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS)Retrieved 2026-07-26FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciationannual county HPI history 1975-2025; latest 2025Retrieved 2026-08-02HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standardFY2026 FMRRetrieved 2026-07-26IRS SOI — county migration and mover incomeSOI migration 2022-2023Retrieved 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — effective property taxACS 2024 5-yearRetrieved 2026-08-06Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventorycounty inventory 2026-06Retrieved 2026-07-28Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rentscounty ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06Retrieved 2026-07-26Zillow ZHVI — metro home valuesMetro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csvRetrieved 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rentsMetro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csvRetrieved 2026-07-26
Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Coverage consists of one measured metro and one county-equivalent area, so the evidence cannot show neighborhood, property-type or quality-tier dispersion.
  2. Positive net migration and FHFA's 0.4% annual gain are genuine counter-signals that may limit how broadly the current rental-softness thesis applies.
  3. Apartment List, Zillow, FHFA, ACS, BLS and IRS measures use different coverage, methods and periods; apparent disagreement may reflect measurement rather than a single market condition.
  4. The 5.0% and 5.2% yield figures are gross and may materially overstate returns after vacancy, concessions, operating costs, financing and capital work.
  5. FEMA's leading-hazard label, the climate loss ratio and median property tax are area-level measures, not property-specific insurance, flood or tax findings.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are recent rent, vacancy and rental listing time moving in the same direction?

Yes. Recent-lease rent fell 2.8%, the Vacancy Index rose from 7.0% to 7.6%, and rental time on market increased from 25.3 to 33.3 days. They are separate Apartment List measures, so the alignment is directional rather than property-specific.

Does the demand evidence confirm broad deterioration?

No. Washington, DC employment fell 2.3% and mover AGI had a negative $31,154 gap, but net migration was positive by 1,673, or 2.5 per 1,000 residents. The indicators cover different periods and do not identify demand for a particular unit.

What entry economics does the metro screen show?

The measured value was $584,684, monthly rent was $2,448 and supplied gross yield was 5.0%. Rent-to-income was 23.2%, price-to-income was 4.62, and rent was 1.09 times the two-bedroom HUD Fair Market Rent.

Do current value and resale indicators support one clear pricing conclusion?

No. County-level Zillow value fell 2.3%, while FHFA's annual index rose 0.4%. Resale listings had a median 53 days on market, with 17.6% reduced in price, but the packet has no county listing-price record.

Can the area-level hazard and tax figures be used directly for a property?

No. Inland flood is the area's mutually exclusive leading-hazard label, not parcel-level exposure. The 0.048% climate loss ratio, 0.585% effective tax rate and $4,312 median tax require property-specific verification.