Washington, DC presents a mixed demand screen. IRS movement counts were modestly positive, but outbound aggregate AGI exceeded inbound AGI, employment declined 2.3% year over year and metro asking rents were flat. The current figures support an expense-sensitive, current-income screen more than a thesis based on accelerating demand.
The counter-signals are positive net migration and District of Columbia FHFA appreciation of 0.4% over one year and 12.6% over five years. Coverage is limited to one metro and one county-equivalent, so the reported medians and percentile endpoints do not reveal neighborhood dispersion. The packet also cannot establish property-level occupancy, achievable rent, operating costs, insurance or physical exposure.
