Scott County is a verification-first acquisition screen: a rising Zillow county value reading conflicts with a falling FHFA repeat-transaction index, while visible MLS listing supply is widening. It may suit investigators who can underwrite individual rents, insurance, and sale comparables; buyers needing a demonstrated county-level income yield or clear price direction should be cautious. The record is county-level and does not establish that Scott County behaves like Kingsport, TN.
Zillow’s county 2026-06 median home value was $175,503, up 6.34% year over year. FHFA’s annual 2025 repeat-transaction HPI instead declined 7.16%, although its stated five-year cumulative change was 73.42%. HPI is an index rather than a dollar home value, and these differing methods and vintages cannot be averaged into one appreciation result. The 0.62% effective property-tax rate is a known carrying-cost input. Market rent is not published, so gross yield cannot be calculated; HUD two-bedroom FMR is a payment standard, not asking rent.
QCEW’s 2025 annual average covered employment at county workplaces fell 1.04%; Manufacturing was the largest disclosed private supersector, not the whole county economy. Realtor.com’s 2026-06 MLS observation had 57 active listings, up 16.49% year over year, and 12.73% had price reductions. These are visible asking-market supply and seller-concession measures, not closed sales or stand-alone proof of buyer demand. Net migration was 72 tax-return households, with movers in reporting average AGI $12,003 above movers out. Investors made 8 of 169 purchase mortgages, or 4.73%.
The dominant hazard is inland flood, and modeled expected annual climate loss equals 0.16% of building value; this is a county-level model, not a parcel loss estimate. Parcel flood-zone status, insurance quotes, condition, operating expenses, market asking rents, vacancy, and closed-sale comparables are not published here. Their absence prevents cash-flow, gross-yield, resale-price, and property-specific hazard underwriting. Next checks are parcel flood and insurance review, rent and expense verification, and sale-comparable review before relying on the conflicting price signals.