Market Rent Signals and Multi-Source Divergence
In Jacksonville, market rent indices show divergence across different measurement universes. According to the Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), typical asking rent stood at $1,599.67 for June 2026, representing a modest year-over-year increase of 0.95%. ZORI measures typical asking rents for advertised available units across the broader rental market. It does not reflect arithmetic averages, bedroom-specific quotes, or collected payments on legacy leases.
In contrast, the Apartment List rent index for July 2026 recorded rent at $1,317.00. This metric is a distinct recent-lease rent index derived from its own transaction universe; it is neither an average nor a median, nor is it directly comparable to asking-quote indices. Meanwhile, Census ACS 5-year data through 2024 reports median gross rent across all occupied rental units at $1,465.00, reflecting tenant-paid utilities alongside contract rent over a retrospective five-year survey window.
The numerical spread between ZORI ($1,599.67) and the ACS median gross rent ($1,465.00) is $134.67, or 9.19%. These metrics reflect different universes: ZORI tracks advertised asking rents, while the Census ACS captures monthly contract rent plus selected tenant-paid utilities for renter-occupied housing units over a retrospective five-year survey window. The underlying cause of this gap is not observed in the data, and it does not establish what open-market movers will ultimately pay.
Rental Trajectory and Liquidity Velocity
Historical observation snapshots track Jacksonville typical asking rents after an initial surge. In June 2021, the typical rent was $1,342.48, which climbed sharply to $1,550.41 by June 2022. Subsequent June observations record $1,571.87 in 2023, $1,577.36 in 2024, $1,584.54 in 2025, and $1,599.67 in June 2026. Following the sharp 2021–2022 increase, annual changes moderated, though the year-over-year increase moved from 0.45% in 2024–2025 to 0.95% in 2025–2026. These annual snapshots cannot establish month-to-month seasonality.
Regarding rental availability and listing liquidity, Apartment List metrics for July 2026 report a direct rental vacancy index of 6.92% for the city, paired with a time-on-market index of 27.0 days. This index tracks listing liquidity rather than an arithmetic average duration, without establishing whether turnover is fast or slow relative to an external benchmark.
Broader housing stock figures contextualize this velocity. Census ACS 2024 5-year estimates report an overall housing vacancy rate of 8.46% out of 430,825 total housing units. Of the 36,455 vacant homes counted, vacant-for-rent units total 14,394, yielding a for-rent vacancy share of 39.48% among all vacant dwellings. This metric measures the composition of unoccupied housing rather than the rental operational vacancy rate.
Tenant Affordability Screens and County Yardsticks
Applying a standard 30% gross income budgeting screen to the June 2026 typical asking rent of $1,599.67 yields an annual household income scenario of $63,986.70. This assumption reflects a modeling scenario rather than a landlord qualification rule or lease approval standard. With the Census ACS 5-year median household income standing at $69,872.00, a household earning that median could allocate up to $1,746.80 monthly at the 30% threshold. The ratio of asking rent to median household income sits at 27.47%.
However, aggregate screens mask financial pressures observed across renter households. Census ACS 2024 5-year data reveals that 56.59% of renter households in Jacksonville spend 30% or more of their gross income on gross rent. Renters occupy 167,316 of the city's 394,370 occupied units, representing a renter share of 42.43%.
Within Duval County, which encompasses Jacksonville, administrative and listing benchmarks offer secondary reference points. The FY2026 HUD Fair Market Rent for a two-bedroom unit is set at $1,658.00. This administrative benchmark is not an open-market asking quote or automatically a voucher payment standard. Concurrently, Duval County recorded a typical market rent of $1,616.00 in June 2026, slightly above the municipal figure.
Supply Pipelines, Purchase Yields, and Metro Headwinds
For housing investors, Jacksonville properties presented a typical home value of $287,871.01 in June 2026 according to Zillow ZHVI, alongside an annualized typical gross yield of 6.67%. In Duval County, typical home prices stood at $297,493.00 with a gross yield of 6.52% for June 2026. Over a broader horizon, Duval County achieved a five-year home price appreciation of 52.49% through 2025 according to FHFA data, though the annual pace in 2025 was 0.26%.
Wider market conditions reveal shifts in listing liquidity and inventory. For Duval County, Realtor.com recorded 3,809 active listings in June 2026, with a median days on market of 57.0 days and 24.40% of active listings undergoing price reductions. Across the wider Jacksonville, FL metropolitan area, Redfin reported 3.8 months of supply, a median days on market of 62 days, and a price reduction share of 31.81% as of May 2026, alongside an average sale-to-list ratio of 97.75%.
Pipeline dynamics and macroeconomic hurdles introduce additional operational factors. Building permit survey data through June 2026 shows 12,268 total units permitted across the Jacksonville metro area, equivalent to 7.29 permits per 1,000 residents. Meanwhile, metro payrolls dipped by 0.41% over the 12 months ending June 2026. Combined with a national 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.69% for the week of August 6, 2026, and an effective property tax rate of 0.75% in Duval County, capital allocators must navigate significant financing friction and supply expansion.
Local rent questions
Can alternate municipalities within the metro be evaluated as direct rental substitutes?
This data packet cannot support a measured local substitute within the metropolitan area, as no same-metro peer cities were provided in the dataset. Rental decisions should rely on direct property-level verification within Jacksonville rather than assumed regional substitutes.
Why does the Apartment List rent index differ significantly from Zillow ZORI in Jacksonville?
Apartment List reported a recent-lease index of $1,317.00 for July 2026, while Zillow ZORI recorded typical asking rent of $1,599.67 for June 2026. The two series evaluate distinct universes: ZORI measures advertised asking rents across broad market listings, whereas Apartment List reflects an index of recent leases and uses its own sampling methodology. They should be evaluated as independent metrics rather than blended.
What checks should prospective investors perform given the 6.67% typical gross yield?
Aggregate gross yields do not establish bottom-line net profitability. Investors must verify asset-specific operating expenses, including Duval County's 0.75% effective property tax rate, alongside county hazard metrics such as the 0.14% FEMA climate loss ratio, and financing costs against the national 6.69% mortgage benchmark. Furthermore, metro permitting volume (12,268 units YTD) and the 0.41% decline in metro payroll employment over the 12 months ending June 2026 warrant close tracking of submarket concessions.