Cities / Texas / McLennan County / Waco
Waco cityscape
City housing brief · Incorporated place

Waco, TX

City evidence stays city-level. County, metro and national records appear separately to explain the wider market without changing the city figures.

City gross yield8.2%ZORI × 12 ÷ ZHVI · before costs
City market snapshot

Four figures that frame the city

Typical home value
$200k
▼ 2.1% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · 2026-06
Observed market rent
$1,369
▲ 0.9% year over year
Zillow ZORI · 2026-06
Entry affordability
3.7x
home value ÷ household income
Zillow + Census ACS
Population
143,570
▲ 5.7% between ACS vintages
ACS 2024 5-year
Decision brief

What the city-level evidence says

01Decision frame

Waco's current Zillow ZHVI typical home value is $200,115, while Zillow ZORI typical observed market rent is $1,369 a month. That pairing implies an 8.2% gross yield before every operating cost. ZHVI fell 2.1% year over year while ZORI rose 0.9%, a divergence that does not establish property-level returns. The ZHVI is 3.7x ACS median household income, and annual ZORI equals 30.2% of that income, signaling limited affordability room.

02Housing stock

The city has 61,163 housing units; renters occupy 50.6% of occupied units, and 11.9% of all units are vacant. Single-family structures account for 61.5% of the stock, making asset-specific comparisons important. ACS surveyed occupied-housing measures report a $221,700 median home value and a $1,165 median gross rent including selected utilities; the ACS median year built is 1979. Those ACS measures differ in concept and period from Zillow's typical value and observed market rent; they should not be combined or averaged.

03City depth

Rent burden affects 58.3% of relevant renters, indicating payment pressure. Large multifamily structures are 12.3% of housing units. For-rent units are 18.9% of all vacancies; other ACS reasons include for-sale and seasonal use. These shares measure neither available investment inventory nor leasing speed. Population rose 5.7% between overlapping ACS vintages; this is not an annual rate and may reflect boundary changes. Median household income is $54,365, with unemployment at 4.6% and poverty at 23.1%. These describe demand constraints but do not explain rent or occupancy outcomes.

04Wider context

At the county scope, McLennan County shows a 64-day median listing time, useful for judging resale and negotiation conditions but not city liquidity. The broader Waco metro recorded 0.7% job growth and 4.1 months of supply; these metro measures suggest modest employment expansion alongside for-sale availability, but their denominators do not measure Waco alone. The national Freddie Mac 30-year mortgage rate is 6.58%, a national financing benchmark rather than a city borrowing quote.

05Limits & next checks

Underwriting should therefore treat the headline yield as a screening metric. It excludes taxes, insurance, climate exposure, repairs, management, turnover, utilities, financing and transaction costs, while citywide vacancy cannot predict whether a specific unit will lease. Next, verify the property's achievable rent with close comparables; inspect condition, age-related systems and deferred maintenance; obtain insurance and tax quotes; confirm flood and other hazard exposure; model realistic vacancy and operating reserves; review title, zoning, permits and lease restrictions; and test debt service using an actual lender quote.

Housing system

Market movement and the stock underneath it

Five-year path

Price and rent, rebased to 100

ZHVI +17.9%ZORI +27.5%
12811195202120222023202420252026
Each series starts at 100 so their direction can be compared without pretending that a home value and a monthly rent share the same unit.
Housing stock

Tenure and vacancy

ACS
50.6%RENTER
Owner occupied49.4%
Renter occupied50.6%
Vacant units11.9%

Median structure year 1979

Tenure uses occupied units; vacancy uses all housing units.
Measurement matrix

Two sources, two different questions

SourceHome valueMonthly rent
Zillow market index$200.1K$1.4K
ACS occupied housing$221.7K$1.2K
Zillow measures current market indexes. ACS reports surveyed owner value and gross rent for occupied housing. The rows are context, not interchangeable estimates.
Direct city depth

Households and housing form behind the medians

Median household income$54k

Annual ACS household measure.

Rent-to-income screen30.2%

Annual ZORI divided by ACS median income.

ACS rent burden58.3%

Renters paying at least 30% of household income toward gross rent.

Average household size2.51

People per occupied housing unit.

Single-family stock61.5%

Detached and attached one-unit structures.

Large multifamily stock12.3%

Housing in structures with 20 or more units.

Vacant and for rent18.9%

Share of vacant units listed by ACS as for rent, not a market vacancy rate.

Unemployment4.6%

Share of the civilian labor force.

Poverty23.1%

ACS population for whom poverty status is determined.

These are citywide context measures. They cannot tell you the rent, vacancy, expenses or tenant demand for a particular neighborhood or property.
Closest market alternatives

Three useful contrasts, not a synthetic winner

The peer set broadens the decision without mixing geographies. Price, rent and housing characteristics remain city-level for every place.

Comparable market profile

Entry price, rent and gross yield

Waco, TXKilleen, TXMesquite, TXKansas City, KS
Typical home valueZillow ZHVIWaco$200.1KKilleen$220.7KMesquite$262.8KKansas City$206.1KObserved market rentZillow ZORI / monthWaco$1.4KKilleen$1.3KMesquite$1.4KKansas City$1.3KGross yieldZORI × 12 ÷ ZHVIWaco8.2%Killeen6.8%Mesquite6.6%Kansas City7.7%
Bars begin at zero within each measure. Gross yield is a screening ratio before financing, taxes, insurance, vacancy, maintenance or management costs.
Same state01

Killeen, TX

Compared with Waco, typical home value is $21k higher, monthly rent is $116 lower, and gross yield is 1.4 percentage points lower.

Rent burden 30%+
53.3%
Renter share
50.5%
One-unit stock
65.2%
20+ unit stock
4.8%
Same state02

Mesquite, TX

Compared with Waco, typical home value is $63k higher, monthly rent is $67 higher, and gross yield is 1.7 percentage points lower.

Rent burden 30%+
60.9%
Renter share
37.2%
One-unit stock
73.2%
20+ unit stock
9.1%
Closest data profile03

Kansas City, KS

Compared with Waco, typical home value is $6k higher, monthly rent is $51 lower, and gross yield is 0.5 percentage points lower.

Rent burden 30%+
47.4%
Renter share
39.1%
One-unit stock
77.4%
20+ unit stock
6.7%

These are analytical alternatives, not recommendations. The structural measures come from Census ACS; price and rent use the Zillow releases shown on each card and in the source ledger below.

Wider market context

What surrounds the city without being mistaken for it

The layers below answer different questions. County records describe listing, migration, financing and hazard conditions around the city; metro records describe jobs, supply and permits; the mortgage rate is national.

Same measure, wider boundary

City marker against intersecting counties

CityCounty range
Typical home value$266.2K$266.2K$200.1KObserved market rent$1.4K$1.4K$1.4K
Both levels use Zillow indexes, but the county records cover land and housing outside the city. The comparison supplies context; it does not replace the city value.
COUNTY LAYER

The intersecting county

This boundary extends beyond the city and is shown only as context.

2026-06
Active listings
1,435
Listing DOM
64 days
FHFA one-year
▲ 1.2%
Net migration
104
Investor share
13.0%
Effective property tax
1.43%
Top hazard
inland flooding
Expected loss ratio
0.07%
METRO LAYER

Waco, TX

Open metro analysis →
Job growth▲ 0.7%12m to 2026-06
Permitted units1,8902026 YTD through M06
Permits / 1,0006.3broader metro population
Months of supply4.12026-05-01
Median DOM46 daysRedfin metro tracker
Price drops31.2%Redfin metro tracker
Wider-context figures are not inputs to the city gross yield and are never used to fill a missing city price, rent or ACS measure.
What can break the thesis

Three checks before using the city averages

  1. 01

    City rent burden and poverty indicate constrained household budgets; neither establishes tenant-level credit risk.

  2. 02

    Citywide vacancy and ACS vacancy reasons cannot identify available rental inventory or a specific property's leasing speed.

  3. 03

    The county resale evidence for McLennan County and the national mortgage rate may not match city property execution or an actual loan quote.

Questions answered

Quick reading guide

Is the headline gross yield a net return?

No. It annualizes city Zillow ZORI and divides it by city Zillow ZHVI before operating costs, financing and transaction expenses.

Can the ACS rent be combined with Zillow rent?

No. ACS median gross rent surveys occupied housing and includes selected utilities, while Zillow ZORI measures typical observed market rent in a different period.

What should be checked before an offer?

Confirm property-level rent comparables, physical condition, taxes, insurance, hazard exposure, operating reserves, legal restrictions and actual financing terms.

Sources and geography

What belongs to this city page

Census recognizes this as Waco city. The place intersects McLennan County.