Curated market comparison

MiamiOrlando

Florida alternatives whose price, yield, affordability, labor, supply, migration and climate evidence point to different underwriting trade-offs.

Miami, FL cityscape
Orlando, FL cityscape
Quick answer

Choose by objective, not by one blended winner

These are the published fit calls from the verified decision memo. Use the full evidence below to decide whether the trade-off matches your property plan.

MiamiCash flow · Supply discipline
OrlandoAffordability · Employment · Climate risk
Deal-dependentNo objective led
Take the five-question market-fit quiz
Decision memo

The trade-off, before the charts

Figure-checked analysis generated from only these two published records. No appreciation forecast and no property-level expense assumptions.

Miami better fits a cash-flow-first screen, while Orlando better fits affordability-first underwriting. Miami’s 6.78% gross yield exceeds Orlando’s 6.11%, and its asking rent is $723 higher. That gives Miami more gross income relative to value, but not necessarily more net cash flow after property-specific costs. Orlando’s median value is $387,301, and its 4.93 price-to-income measure indicates a less demanding entry market for buyers and residents.

Orlando also better fits employment stability and climate-risk tolerance. CES employment grew 0.71% year over year in Orlando but declined 0.26% in Miami, giving Orlando the stronger current labor signal. Its net migration was 4,635 tax-return households, compared with Miami’s -28,579. Orlando’s climate loss ratio is also lower at 0.1489% versus 0.1935% in Miami, although inland flood and hurricane exposure still require property-level review.

Miami better fits buyers prioritizing supply discipline. It issued 3.07 permits per 1,000 residents, versus Orlando’s 7.16, reducing the visible pipeline pressure on existing rentals. The trade-off is clear: Miami pairs tighter permitting and stronger gross yield with a higher entry price, weaker employment momentum and net out-migration. Orlando offers broader affordability, job growth, positive migration and the lower climate-loss measure, but more permitting may intensify competition. Advance both only under different mandates: Miami for yield with disciplined hazard and tenant-demand review; Orlando for accessibility and labor support with close submarket supply testing.

Evidence matrix

One question, two records

“n/a” means the current source did not publish a comparable value. It is never replaced with an estimate.

Decision evidenceMiami, FLOrlando, FL
Composite scoresame published scoring framework24/10038/100
Median home valueZillow ZHVI$476,598$387,301
Median asking rentZillow ZORI$2,695$1,972
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ price6.8%6.1%
Price to household incomevalue ÷ ACS income6.23x4.93x
Annual job changeCES▼ 0.26%▲ 0.71%
Months of supplylatest Redfin period when publishedn/a3.9 mo.
Net migrationIRS tax-return households−28,579+4,635
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.194%0.149%
Latest market momentum

Price and rent are not moving in lockstep

A shared zero-centred scale makes direction and magnitude comparable. This is a current annual change, not a forecast.

Latest annual home-value and asking-rent momentumMiami, FLLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-2.2%ASKING RENT+1.1%-2.8%+2.8%Orlando, FLLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-2.8%ASKING RENT+0.6%-2.8%+2.8%
Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Score fingerprint

The same total can hide a different market

Direct labels replace hover tooltips, so the full comparison remains visible in static HTML and print.

Component score differencesMiamiCOMPOSITE SCORE24/100same national frameworkOrlandoCOMPOSITE SCORE38/100same national frameworkCOMPONENT PROFILE0255075100Employment3475gap 41Rent trend1912gap 7Affordability218gap 16Supply discipline3318gap 15Climate safety2545gap 20MiamiOrlando
Component percentiles use the same national scoring population and published weights on both market pages. See the source ledger below for the releases behind each component.
Price and rent history

Two growth paths, rebased to the same start

Each panel starts at 100. End labels expose whether rents or prices moved farther without asking the reader to chase a legend.

Indexed price and rent historyMiami, FLHOME VALUE INDEX159RENT INDEX15710013517020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared yearOrlando, FLHOME VALUE INDEX152RENT INDEX14010013517020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared year
Miami: price 159 · rent 157Orlando: price 152 · rent 140Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26; Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Fit by objective

There is no universal winner

Five underwriting questions are kept in one decision ledger instead of five disconnected cards.

01
Cash flowMiami

Miami better fits a gross-income screen because its gross yield is 6.78%, compared with 6.11% in Orlando. Miami’s median asking rent is $2,695, while Orlando’s is $1,972. For a buyer, the higher yield gives Miami more rent relative to acquisition value before expenses. This is not a net-return conclusion: the records provide no property-level insurance, tax, maintenance, vacancy or financing costs, so both markets still require asset-specific cash-flow underwriting.

02
AffordabilityOrlando

Orlando better fits affordability. Its median home value is $387,301 versus $476,598 in Miami, lowering the capital required to enter at the market median. Orlando’s price-to-income measure is 4.93, compared with Miami’s 6.23, and its rent-to-income measure is 30.13% versus 42.25%. For a buyer, Orlando may support a broader resident payment base and easier acquisition screening, while Miami requires greater confidence in higher-rent demand.

03
EmploymentOrlando

Orlando has the stronger current employment signal: CES jobs grew 0.71% year over year, while Miami declined 0.26%. Migration aligns with that contrast, with Orlando recording net inflow of 4,635 tax-return households and Miami net outflow of 28,579. For a buyer, Orlando offers firmer evidence of near-term demand support. Miami’s weaker readings call for closer employer, industry and neighborhood-level tenant-demand checks rather than assuming its higher rents are equally durable.

04
Supply disciplineMiami

Miami better fits supply discipline because it issued 3.07 permits per 1,000 residents, compared with 7.16 in Orlando. Total permits were 19,168 in Miami and 20,014 in Orlando, despite the different market scales. For a buyer, Orlando’s higher per-capita pipeline raises the need to map deliveries against the subject property’s rent tier and submarket. Miami’s lower permitting intensity reduces that visible pressure, but Miami months of supply is not published, limiting the conclusion.

05
Climate riskOrlando

Orlando better fits lower measured climate-risk tolerance because its climate loss ratio is 0.1489%, versus 0.1935% for Miami. The dominant hazards also differ: inland flood in Orlando and hurricane in Miami. For a buyer, the lower Orlando ratio supports advancing it first when modeled building loss is a key screen. It does not remove parcel-level exposure, and neither market can be underwritten from the market ratio alone; elevation, construction, coverage terms and insurability still need verification.

Your priorities, verified evidence

Which market fits your plan?

Answer five questions to reweight the published fit calls above. Your answers change the emphasis—not the evidence, figures or market scores.

Question 1 of 5Cash flow
How important is current income in your market decision?

Choose how much the published cash-flow fit should influence your result.

Income and pressure

Where the trade-off becomes visible

Yield and jobs answer a different question than supply and migration. The page keeps both views separate instead of blending them into one score.

Income × employment

Gross yield against job growth

Gross yield and job growth positionMiamiGROSS YIELD6.8%JOB CHANGE-0.3%OrlandoGROSS YIELD6.1%JOB CHANGE0.7%MORE JOB MOMENTUMHIGHER YIELD + JOBSLOWER ON BOTH AXESMORE CURRENT YIELDMiamiOrlando5.6%7.3%GROSS YIELD - HIGHER TO THE RIGHT1.3%-0.8%
A position chart, not a forecast.Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26BLS CES — payroll employment · CES SM current · pulled 2026-07-26
Supply × demand

Capacity and household flow

Supply and migration balanceSUPPLY DISCIPLINEcomponent score and current listing supply0100Miamilisting supply n/a33/100Orlando3.9 months listed18/100NET HOUSEHOLD MIGRATIONIRS tax-return householdsOUTFLOW0INFLOWMiaminet tax-return households-28,579Orlandonet tax-return households+4,635
Supply and IRS migration remain separate measures.Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · BPS through 2026 · pulled 2026-07-26Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts · metro tracker through 2026-05-01 · pulled 2026-07-26IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26
Migration quality, not just volume

Adjust the flow for market size and mover income

Raw migration rewards a larger metro by construction. The rate below divides net mover tax returns by ACS population; the income bars then compare the adjusted gross income reported by arrivals and departures.

Migration volume adjusted for population and mover income qualityMiami, FLNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS-4.6PER 1,000 RESIDENTS-28,579 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$154,089LEAVING$83,336ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$70,753Orlando, FLNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+1.7PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+4,635 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$71,627LEAVING$61,983ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$9,644
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — population · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-26“Per 1,000 residents” is a transparent normalization, not a published IRS rate.
Underwriting boundary

What this comparison cannot decide

Market evidence narrows the search. It does not price a roof, an insurance policy, a loan or a specific lease.

  1. Gross yield is a market-level measure, not property cash flow. The records do not publish taxes, insurance premiums, deductibles, association charges, vacancy, repairs, management costs or financing terms for either Miami or Orlando, so the yield comparison should only determine where detailed underwriting begins.
  2. Miami months of supply, median days on market and price-drop share are not published. Orlando reports 3.9 months of supply, 46 median days on market and a 31.4% price-drop share, but the missing Miami fields prevent a matched liquidity comparison.
  3. Permits and migration are broad market signals rather than submarket demand guarantees. Miami’s net outflow and Orlando’s net inflow may not describe the subject neighborhood, unit type or rent band, while permit counts do not identify delivery timing, tenure or direct competition.
From metro to local evidence

Open the counties inside each market

Metro averages can hide large local differences. These links are ordered by published ACS population and lead to county price, rent, listings, migration, investor and hazard evidence.