States / Iowa
State rental intelligence

Iowa rental market data

A source-traced view across 14 metro markets and 99 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

10/14 metros scored99/99 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro52.5out of 100 · 10 measured metros
Iowa identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$216kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,040monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield5.7%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.3%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

A 3.0 median metro price-to-income multiple and Burlington's 8.3% gross yield collide with net out-migration, a slightly negative job median and slow exits in several measured Iowa markets.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Across 14 measured metros, the median price was $215,880, the median gross yield was 5.7% and the median price-to-income multiple was 3.0. Those entry figures sit against a 0.3% decline in median metro employment and net migration of negative 2,381 across all 99 counties. Low acquisition cost therefore identifies candidates; it does not confirm durable rental demand.

The counter-signals are local rather than uniform. Burlington combined an 8.3% gross yield with 1.4% job growth, mover adjusted gross income flowing into the state exceeded outgoing income by $100,365, and Cedar Rapids recorded 12.5% rent growth. Screening should focus on where yield, local employment and resale liquidity overlap. The figures are metro and county distributions, not conditions in every neighborhood or property.

01

A 5.7% median metro gross yield and Burlington's 8.3% example → verify whether the apparent income advantage survives property-level operating costs.

02

Negative 2,381 net migration and a negative 0.3% median job change, offset by a positive $100,365 mover-income gap and local job gains → separate statewide demand softness from viable local employment nodes.

03

A 2.0-month median supply alongside 58 to 73 days on market in highlighted slow metros → use locality-specific holding periods and resale discounts rather than the state median.

04

Median rent growth of 3.0% trailed price growth by 0.7 percentage point, while Cedar Rapids rent rose 12.5% → test rent momentum market by market instead of assuming one statewide pattern.

05

Inland flood is the leading FEMA label in all 99 counties, and highlighted tax rates reach 1.8% → include parcel hazard and tax verification before converting gross yield to expected net income.

01
Entry cost and affordability

Burlington's 8.3% gross yield stands above the metro distribution

The 14-metro median was a $215,880 price, $1,040 monthly rent and 5.7% gross yield. The median price-to-income multiple was 3.0, while the median annual rent-to-income ratio was 17.4%. Measured gross yields ran from 5.0% at the 10th percentile to 6.5% at the 90th percentile, showing that the statewide screen contains meaningful local variation.

Burlington's $145,921 price and $1,013 rent produced an 8.3% gross yield, above the measured metro 90th percentile, while rent represented 19.3% of income. Sioux City showed a 6.7% gross yield and 20.2% rent-to-income ratio; Clinton showed 6.2% and 16.9%. These are gross relationships before vacancy, maintenance, capital work, financing, taxes and insurance, so they support initial pricing screens rather than net-return conclusions.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Employment and household movement

Out-migration and a soft job median temper local employment gains

Employment change across 14 metros had a negative 0.3% median, with the measured distribution running from negative 2.1% at the 10th percentile to positive 0.7% at the 90th percentile. Across all 99 counties, 78,514 people moved in and 80,895 moved out, producing net migration of negative 2,381, or negative 0.7 per 1,000 residents.

The evidence does not point only downward. Incoming mover adjusted gross income exceeded outgoing income by $100,365, while Burlington recorded 1.4% job growth and Marshalltown 0.8%. That supports locality-level demand checks rather than rejection based on the state aggregate. Employment, migration and mover income also cover different periods and cannot by themselves establish occupancy, tenant retention or future rent growth.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

03
Supply and resale conditions

Two months of supply does not guarantee a quick resale

The metro median was 2.0 months of supply and 31.5 days on market, with 32.2% of listings showing price drops and a 98.3% sale-to-list ratio. The upper end was materially slower: the 90th percentiles reached 3.6 months of supply and 60.1 days on market. Tight median inventory therefore should not be treated as uniform exit liquidity.

Fort Madison recorded 73 days on market, 4.0 months of supply and a 94.9% sale-to-list ratio. Mason City reached 61 days and 4.6 months, with a 96.4% sale-to-list ratio; Burlington took 58 days and showed a 94.0% ratio. In the counter-signal, Iowa City had 8.4 permits per 1,000 residents but only 2.2 months of current supply. Permits indicate authorized construction, not completed units, while the slow-market observations show why resale assumptions need to be set locally.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

04
Price and rent momentum

Rent growth trails prices in the median despite Cedar Rapids' surge

Median metro prices increased 3.7% across 14 measured markets, while median asking rents increased 3.0% across the 10 metros with rent-growth data. The supplied comparison puts rent growth 0.7 percentage point behind price growth. At the median, recent appreciation therefore did not come with equal rent acceleration.

Cedar Rapids was a clear counter-signal: asking rent increased 12.5% while price increased 3.8%, alongside a 6.2% gross yield. Iowa City also had rent growth of 5.0% versus price growth of 3.9%, but Davenport moved the other way, with 4.4% rent growth and 5.2% price growth. These measures track market asking rents and home values, not realized lease renewals or the performance of the same property, and four of the 14 metros lack rent-growth observations.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

Rent burden above 53% appears under very different vacancy profiles

Across 99 counties, the median vacancy rate was 9.5%, the median renter share was 23.5% and the median share of renters spending at least 30% of income on rent was 37.9%. The 90th percentile for rent burden reached 49.0%. Housing was predominantly single-family at the median, with an 83.9% share, and the median year built was 1962.

Johnson County had a 56.2% rent-burden share, a 40.6% renter share and 7.2% vacancy. Monroe County had a similarly elevated 54.4% burden but 15.5% vacancy and an 18.7% renter share. Dickinson County's vacancy rate was 37.7%. These differences caution against treating renter burden as proof of a rental shortage: the ACS vacancy measure covers housing vacancy broadly and does not identify units available to a particular rental segment.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Flood leads every county hazard label while tax and loss ratios diverge

FEMA assigns inland flood as the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for all 99 counties. The median county climate-loss ratio was 0.13%, rising to 0.19% at the 90th percentile. This classification identifies each county's leading hazard; it does not mean every parcel is flood-exposed or that other hazards are absent.

Tax burden and modeled loss do not move together consistently. Clay County had a 0.27% climate-loss ratio and a 1.1% property-tax rate, while Union County had a 1.8% tax rate and a 0.11% loss ratio. Polk County's tax rate was 1.7% and its median tax was $4,396. County figures can flag where expense review matters, but parcel-level flood mapping, insurance quotes, assessments and actual tax bills remain necessary.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Iowa

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Entry cost and affordabilityHow far do local prices, rents, incomes and HUD rent standards stretch?
10th pct.median90th pct.Gross yield5.0%5.7%6.5%Price / income2.4×3.0×3.8×Rent / income14.7%17.4%20.3%Home value$157K$216K$302K
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-2.1%-0.3%0.7%Net migration / 1k-0.7Net household movement-2,381
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k1.02.67.6Months of supply1.5×1.9×3.6×Days on market18 days32 days60 daysListings with cuts19.0%32.2%43.0%
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution10 scored metros · median 52.5
00–19120–39740–59260–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
25%25/99Rent100%99/99Climate100%99/99Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Burlington8.3%Sioux City6.7%Clinton6.2%Davenport6.2%Cedar Rapids6.2%Fort Madison6.2%Waterloo5.9%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Iowa

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Marshalltown, IA66$197k$8705.3%▲ 0.8%
2Davenport, IA61$198k$1,0196.2%▼ 0.5%
3Cedar Rapids, IA59$248k$1,2746.2%▼ 2.1%
4Omaha, NE58$312k$1,4445.5%▲ 0.5%
5Iowa City, IA55$304k$1,3775.4%▲ 0.1%
6Des Moines, IA50$297k$1,3105.3%▼ 0.5%
7Waterloo, IA50$202k$9965.9%▼ 2.2%
8Ames, IA47$283k$1,0604.5%▼ 2.0%
9Dubuque, IA42$283k$1,1324.8%▼ 1.8%
10Sioux City, IA39$227k$1,2636.7%▼ 1.0%

Showing the top 10 scored metros of 14. Unscored metros remain discoverable through the national rankings.

Below the metro line

Largest counties in Iowa

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Polk County, IA503,175$284k$1,2595.3%inland flooding
Linn County, IA230,004$243k$1,2816.3%inland flooding
Scott County, IA174,608$254k$1,0555.0%inland flooding
Johnson County, IA156,639$314k$1,3835.3%inland flooding
Black Hawk County, IA131,049$190k$1,0116.4%inland flooding
Dallas County, IA107,968$356k$1,5465.2%inland flooding
Woodbury County, IA106,247$210k$1,2167.0%inland flooding
Story County, IA100,466$298k$1,1424.6%inland flooding
Dubuque County, IA99,030$283k$1,1324.8%inland flooding
Pottawattamie County, IA93,424$245k$1,3566.7%inland flooding
Warren County, IA54,409$327k$1,1894.4%inland flooding
Clinton County, IA46,268$182k$9436.2%inland flooding
County yield sample25/99counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration−2,381IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share9.3%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Demand may be weaker than entry prices imply: the measured metro job median was negative and statewide county migration was a net outflow.
  2. Iowa's rent evidence is incomplete at finer levels: rent growth covers 10 of 14 metros, county rents cover 25 of 99 counties, and county listing conditions cover 67 counties.
  3. Gross-yield figures omit vacancy, repairs, capital expenditures, management, financing, property taxes and insurance, any of which could erase the headline spread.
  4. The packet combines current listing and market measures with older IRS migration and ACS housing periods, so apparent alignment may not describe the same market moment.
  5. County hazard labels and broad ACS vacancy rates are too coarse to establish parcel exposure or rentable-unit availability.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Does Burlington's 8.3% gross yield make it the strongest cash-flow choice?

Not from this packet alone. Burlington pairs that gross yield with 1.4% job growth, but its resale measures include 58 days on market and a 94.0% sale-to-list ratio. Property expenses, vacancy and condition are not supplied.

Does net out-migration rule out Iowa rental demand?

No. The aggregate was negative 2,381 across 99 counties, but incoming mover adjusted gross income exceeded outgoing income by $100,365, and Burlington and Marshalltown recorded positive job growth. The evidence supports local demand screening, not a uniform conclusion.

Is resale inventory uniformly tight?

No. The 14-metro median was 2.0 months of supply, but the 90th percentile was 3.6 months, and Fort Madison and Mason City recorded 4.0 and 4.6 months respectively.

Are rents consistently rising faster than prices?

No. Median rent growth was 3.0% compared with 3.7% price growth. Cedar Rapids and Iowa City had faster rent growth than price growth, while Davenport did not; rent-growth coverage also excludes four measured metros.

Does the inland-flood label mean every Iowa property has flood exposure?

No. It is FEMA's mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for each of the 99 counties, not a parcel-level finding. Property screening still requires parcel mapping and insurance information.