Cities / North Carolina / Spans 2 counties / Chapel Hill
Chapel Hill cityscape
City housing brief · Incorporated place

Chapel Hill, NC

City evidence stays city-level. County, metro and national records appear separately to explain the wider market without changing the city figures.

City gross yield3.3%ZORI × 12 ÷ ZHVI · before costs
City market snapshot

Four figures that frame the city

Typical home value
$642k
▼ 1.1% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · 2026-06
Observed market rent
$1,763
▲ 0.6% year over year
Zillow ZORI · 2026-06
Entry affordability
7.5x
home value ÷ household income
Zillow + Census ACS
Population
61,607
▲ 1.0% between ACS vintages
ACS 2024 5-year
Decision brief

What the city-level evidence says

01Decision frame

Chapel Hill’s current Zillow ZHVI typical home value is $642,319, while ZORI typical observed market rent is $1,763 a month. This produces a 3.3% gross yield before every operating cost. The value equals 7.5x ACS median household income, and annualized ZORI equals 24.6% of that income. This frames a high entry price and limited gross income relative to value; it does not establish a property’s net return.

02Housing stock

City tenure is renter-led: renters occupy 52.6% of occupied units, and the housing-stock vacancy rate is 10.1%. These are citywide stock measures, not lease-up evidence. ACS reports a $613,700 owner-reported median home value and $1,613 median gross rent for surveyed occupied housing, with gross rent including contract rent plus selected utilities. ACS and Zillow differ in measure and period, so their values and rents should not be averaged.

03City depth

City depth is mixed. Among measured renter households, 60.8% meet the ACS 30%-plus rent-burden threshold. Single-family units are 55.0% of stock and large multifamily units 18.6%. Of vacant units, 35.1% are classified for rent. Population rose 1.0% between overlapping ACS five-year vintages; this is not annualized and may reflect boundary changes. Median household income is $85,989, poverty is 18.6%, and unemployment is 4.5%. These are descriptive: burden, structure and vacancy-reason shares do not measure available investment inventory, while poverty and unemployment do not prove causes of rental performance.

04Wider context

Durham County county records show a 0.794% property-tax rate; this is Durham County context, not a city measure. Orange County county records separately show a 0.906% property-tax rate, also not a city measure. The broader Durham, NC metro recorded a 0.7% year-over-year job decline and 3 months of supply, framing regional conditions without measuring Chapel Hill alone. The national Freddie Mac thirty-year mortgage rate was 6.58%, a financing benchmark rather than a local return.

05Limits & next checks

Underwriting is limited by citywide averages, ACS sampling and timing differences, plus county or metro context that cannot identify an address-level outcome. Before bidding, confirm the parcel’s county and obtain the tax bill, insurance and hazard quotes, HOA restrictions and dues, legal rental status, leases, utility responsibility, and unit-level rent and sale comparables. Inspect condition and capital needs; test vacancy, turnover, management and maintenance costs; and price property-specific financing. Recalculate net cash flow and debt coverage rather than relying on gross yield.

Housing system

Market movement and the stock underneath it

Five-year path

Price and rent, rebased to 100

ZHVI +33.9%ZORI +23.1%
13511595202120222023202420252026
Each series starts at 100 so their direction can be compared without pretending that a home value and a monthly rent share the same unit.
Housing stock

Tenure and vacancy

ACS
52.6%RENTER
Owner occupied47.4%
Renter occupied52.6%
Vacant units10.1%

Median structure year 1988

Tenure uses occupied units; vacancy uses all housing units.
Measurement matrix

Two sources, two different questions

SourceHome valueMonthly rent
Zillow market index$642.3K$1.8K
ACS occupied housing$613.7K$1.6K
Zillow measures current market indexes. ACS reports surveyed owner value and gross rent for occupied housing. The rows are context, not interchangeable estimates.
Direct city depth

Households and housing form behind the medians

Median household income$86k

Annual ACS household measure.

Rent-to-income screen24.6%

Annual ZORI divided by ACS median income.

ACS rent burden60.8%

Renters paying at least 30% of household income toward gross rent.

Average household size2.38

People per occupied housing unit.

Single-family stock55.0%

Detached and attached one-unit structures.

Large multifamily stock18.6%

Housing in structures with 20 or more units.

Vacant and for rent35.1%

Share of vacant units listed by ACS as for rent, not a market vacancy rate.

Unemployment4.5%

Share of the civilian labor force.

Poverty18.6%

ACS population for whom poverty status is determined.

These are citywide context measures. They cannot tell you the rent, vacancy, expenses or tenant demand for a particular neighborhood or property.
Closest market alternatives

Three useful contrasts, not a synthetic winner

The peer set broadens the decision without mixing geographies. Price, rent and housing characteristics remain city-level for every place.

Comparable market profile

Entry price, rent and gross yield

Chapel Hill, NCDurham, NCApex, NCCorvallis, OR
Typical home valueZillow ZHVIChapel Hill$642.3KDurham$400.6KApex$603.2KCorvallis$566.6KObserved market rentZillow ZORI / monthChapel Hill$1.8KDurham$1.7KApex$2KCorvallis$1.8KGross yieldZORI × 12 ÷ ZHVIChapel Hill3.3%Durham5.1%Apex4.0%Corvallis3.8%
Bars begin at zero within each measure. Gross yield is a screening ratio before financing, taxes, insurance, vacancy, maintenance or management costs.
Same metro01

Durham, NC

Compared with Chapel Hill, typical home value is $242k lower, monthly rent is $64 lower, and gross yield is 1.8 percentage points higher.

Rent burden 30%+
48.5%
Renter share
47.7%
One-unit stock
61.4%
20+ unit stock
13.4%
Same state02

Apex, NC

Compared with Chapel Hill, typical home value is $39k lower, monthly rent is $253 higher, and gross yield is 0.7 percentage points higher.

Rent burden 30%+
44.2%
Renter share
23.5%
One-unit stock
83.5%
20+ unit stock
7.4%
Closest data profile03

Corvallis, OR

Compared with Chapel Hill, typical home value is $76k lower, monthly rent is $40 higher, and gross yield is 0.5 percentage points higher.

Rent burden 30%+
63.5%
Renter share
58.3%
One-unit stock
53.1%
20+ unit stock
15.0%

These are analytical alternatives, not recommendations. The structural measures come from Census ACS; price and rent use the Zillow releases shown on each card and in the source ledger below.

Wider market context

What surrounds the city without being mistaken for it

The layers below answer different questions. County records describe listing, migration, financing and hazard conditions around the city; metro records describe jobs, supply and permits; the mortgage rate is national.

Same measure, wider boundary

City marker against intersecting counties

CityCounty range
Typical home value$401K$513.9K$642.3KObserved market rent$1.7K$1.7K$1.8K
Both levels use Zillow indexes, but the county records cover land and housing outside the city. The comparison supplies context; it does not replace the city value.
COUNTY LAYER

All 2 intersecting counties

Rows stay separate; no unweighted county average is presented as a city fact.

2026-06
Active listings
1,177
Listing DOM
52 days
FHFA one-year
▲ 1.3%
Net migration
505
Investor share
16.0%
Effective property tax
0.79%
Top hazard
inland flooding
Expected loss ratio
0.12%
2026-06
Active listings
470
Listing DOM
51 days
FHFA one-year
▲ 3.3%
Net migration
-819
Investor share
9.3%
Effective property tax
0.91%
Top hazard
inland flooding
Expected loss ratio
0.15%
METRO LAYER

Durham, NC

Open metro analysis →
Job growth▼ 0.7%12m to 2026-06
Permitted units10,5182026 YTD through M06
Permits / 1,00017.5broader metro population
Months of supply3.02026-05-01
Median DOM32 daysRedfin metro tracker
Price drops31.2%Redfin metro tracker
Wider-context figures are not inputs to the city gross yield and are never used to fill a missing city price, rent or ACS measure.
What can break the thesis

Three checks before using the city averages

  1. 01

    The city gross yield excludes every operating cost and financing, so net cash flow may differ materially.

  2. 02

    Citywide vacancy and ACS vacancy reasons do not establish availability or lease-up for a particular property.

  3. 03

    The broader Durham, NC metro job measure declined, creating a regional demand constraint that does not measure Chapel Hill alone.

Questions answered

Quick reading guide

What does the city gross yield measure?

It annualizes Zillow ZORI and divides it by Zillow ZHVI before every operating cost and financing; it is not a net yield or cash-on-cash return.

Can ACS values and rents be combined with Zillow measures?

No. ACS describes surveyed occupied housing, including gross rent with selected utilities, while Zillow measures a typical city home value and typical observed market rent for a different period.

What should be verified before a property bid?

Confirm whether the parcel is in Durham County or Orange County and use the applicable county tax bill; then verify insurance, hazards, HOA rules, legal rental status, leases, utilities, condition, comparables and financing.

Sources and geography

What belongs to this city page

Census recognizes this as Chapel Hill town. The place intersects 2 counties (Durham County, Orange County); population and ACS measures are place-wide.