Curated market comparison

CharlotteRaleigh

North Carolina alternatives that let a buyer compare affordability, job momentum, migration and supply using the same framework.

Charlotte, NC cityscape
Raleigh, NC cityscape
Quick answer

Choose by objective, not by one blended winner

These are the published fit calls from the verified decision memo. Use the full evidence below to decide whether the trade-off matches your property plan.

CharlotteCash flow · Supply discipline
RaleighAffordability · Employment · Climate risk
Deal-dependentNo objective led
Take the five-question market-fit quiz
Decision memo

The trade-off, before the charts

Figure-checked analysis generated from only these two published records. No appreciation forecast and no property-level expense assumptions.

Charlotte better fits an income-first screen. Its median asking rent is $1,750 against a $390,942 median home value, producing a 5.37% gross yield. Raleigh pairs $1,689 rent with a $438,138 value and a 4.63% yield. For a buyer, Charlotte’s higher rent and lower entry price provide more gross revenue relative to acquisition cost before financing, operating costs and property-specific condition are examined.

Raleigh better fits buyers prioritizing household affordability and employment stability. Its median income is $100,103, rent absorbs 20.25% of income, and its price-to-income measure is 4.38. Charlotte’s corresponding affordability measures are 25.21% and 4.69. Raleigh also has stronger employment momentum, while Charlotte has the larger net-migration count. That split makes Raleigh the steadier labor-market screen, but Charlotte still warrants attention where household inflows matter to tenant-demand underwriting.

Supply and climate require more nuanced mandates. Charlotte has 3.7 months of supply and fewer permits per resident, supporting the more disciplined construction backdrop, although slower selling conditions can improve buyer leverage. Raleigh has the lower published climate-loss ratio, so it better fits lower climate-risk tolerance; inland flood is nevertheless the dominant hazard in both markets. The practical choice is Charlotte for gross cash-flow potential and supply restraint, versus Raleigh for affordability, employment strength and lower modeled climate loss. Neither result replaces property-level flood, insurance, rent and condition review.

Evidence matrix

One question, two records

“n/a” means the current source did not publish a comparable value. It is never replaced with an estimate.

Decision evidenceCharlotte, NCRaleigh, NC
Composite scoresame published scoring framework46/10057/100
Median home valueZillow ZHVI$390,942$438,138
Median asking rentZillow ZORI$1,750$1,689
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ price5.4%4.6%
Price to household incomevalue ÷ ACS income4.69x4.38x
Annual job changeCES▲ 1.08%▲ 2.15%
Months of supplylatest Redfin period when published3.7 mo.3.0 mo.
Net migrationIRS tax-return households+12,384+6,995
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.133%0.120%
Latest market momentum

Price and rent are not moving in lockstep

A shared zero-centred scale makes direction and magnitude comparable. This is a current annual change, not a forecast.

Latest annual home-value and asking-rent momentumCharlotte, NCLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-0.4%ASKING RENT+0.4%-2.1%+2.1%Raleigh, NCLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-2.1%ASKING RENT+0.3%-2.1%+2.1%
Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Score fingerprint

The same total can hide a different market

Direct labels replace hover tooltips, so the full comparison remains visible in static HTML and print.

Component score differencesCharlotteCOMPOSITE SCORE46/100same national frameworkRaleighCOMPOSITE SCORE57/100same national frameworkCOMPONENT PROFILE0255075100Employment8597gap 12Rent trend98gap 1Affordability4680gap 34Supply discipline1924gap 5Climate safety5569gap 14CharlotteRaleigh
Component percentiles use the same national scoring population and published weights on both market pages. See the source ledger below for the releases behind each component.
Price and rent history

Two growth paths, rebased to the same start

Each panel starts at 100. End labels expose whether rents or prices moved farther without asking the reader to chase a legend.

Indexed price and rent historyCharlotte, NCHOME VALUE INDEX163RENT INDEX13810013316520192026rebased to 100 at the first shared yearRaleigh, NCHOME VALUE INDEX151RENT INDEX13310013316520192026rebased to 100 at the first shared year
Charlotte: price 163 · rent 138Raleigh: price 151 · rent 133Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26; Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Fit by objective

There is no universal winner

Five underwriting questions are kept in one decision ledger instead of five disconnected cards.

01
Cash flowCharlotte

Charlotte is the stronger gross cash-flow screen: its 5.37% gross yield exceeds Raleigh’s 4.63%, while Charlotte’s median asking rent is $1,750 versus $1,689 in Raleigh. Charlotte also has the lower median home value, so a buyer commits less capital while screening a slightly higher headline rent. The advantage is only gross, not net: these records do not publish taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, management, financing terms or achievable rent for a particular property. Underwriting should therefore test whether Charlotte’s yield edge survives actual expenses and asset condition.

02
AffordabilityRaleigh

Raleigh better fits tenant and household affordability despite its higher entry price. Its median income is $100,103, compared with $83,304 in Charlotte, and its rent-to-income measure is 20.25% versus Charlotte’s 25.21%. Raleigh’s price-to-income measure is also lower at 4.38 versus 4.69. For a buyer, that combination suggests more room in typical household budgets and a broader affordability cushion around current rents. Charlotte remains easier to enter on purchase price, so buyers must distinguish acquisition affordability from resident affordability rather than treating them as the same objective.

03
EmploymentRaleigh

Raleigh has the stronger employment signal: CES job growth is 2.15% year over year, compared with 1.08% in Charlotte. That favors Raleigh when the underwriting priority is labor-market momentum supporting tenant income and occupancy. Charlotte offers a counterweight through migration, recording 12,384 net incoming tax-return households versus Raleigh’s 6,995. These measures describe different demand channels, so neither should substitute for submarket employer and renter analysis. Raleigh fits employment stability better on the published job measure; Charlotte may deserve deeper review where its larger migration flow aligns with the target neighborhood and rental product.

04
Supply disciplineCharlotte

Charlotte better fits a supply-discipline mandate because it issued 7.89 permits per thousand residents, versus 14.23 in Raleigh. Raleigh’s lower 3.0 months of for-sale supply compared with Charlotte’s 3.7 shows a tighter current resale market, so the evidence is not one-directional. For a buyer, Charlotte’s lower permitting intensity reduces the headline concern that new construction could compete with existing rentals, while Raleigh’s tighter listings may make sourcing harder. Property-level review should identify permit locations, unit type and delivery timing, because aggregate permits do not establish direct competition with a particular asset.

05
Climate riskRaleigh

Raleigh better fits lower climate-risk tolerance because its published climate-loss ratio is 0.1197% of building value per year, below Charlotte’s 0.1331%. Inland flood is the dominant hazard for both markets, so Raleigh’s advantage does not remove location-specific exposure. For a buyer, the lower modeled ratio supports prioritizing Raleigh when climate loss is a screening constraint, while Charlotte requires a somewhat higher level of caution at the market stage. The record does not publish parcel elevation, flood-zone status, prior claims, mitigation features, insurer availability or quoted premiums, all of which can reverse a market-level ranking for an individual property.

Your priorities, verified evidence

Which market fits your plan?

Answer five questions to reweight the published fit calls above. Your answers change the emphasis—not the evidence, figures or market scores.

Question 1 of 5Cash flow
How important is current income in your market decision?

Choose how much the published cash-flow fit should influence your result.

Income and pressure

Where the trade-off becomes visible

Yield and jobs answer a different question than supply and migration. The page keeps both views separate instead of blending them into one score.

Income × employment

Gross yield against job growth

Gross yield and job growth positionCharlotteGROSS YIELD5.4%JOB CHANGE1.1%RaleighGROSS YIELD4.6%JOB CHANGE2.1%MORE JOB MOMENTUMHIGHER YIELD + JOBSLOWER ON BOTH AXESMORE CURRENT YIELDCharlotteRaleigh4.1%5.9%GROSS YIELD - HIGHER TO THE RIGHT2.7%0.5%
A position chart, not a forecast.Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26BLS CES — payroll employment · CES SM current · pulled 2026-07-26
Supply × demand

Capacity and household flow

Supply and migration balanceSUPPLY DISCIPLINEcomponent score and current listing supply0100Charlotte3.7 months listed19/100Raleigh3.0 months listed24/100NET HOUSEHOLD MIGRATIONIRS tax-return householdsOUTFLOW0INFLOWCharlottenet tax-return households+12,384Raleighnet tax-return households+6,995
Supply and IRS migration remain separate measures.Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · BPS through 2026 · pulled 2026-07-26Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts · metro tracker through 2026-05-01 · pulled 2026-07-26IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26
Migration quality, not just volume

Adjust the flow for market size and mover income

Raw migration rewards a larger metro by construction. The rate below divides net mover tax returns by ACS population; the income bars then compare the adjusted gross income reported by arrivals and departures.

Migration volume adjusted for population and mover income qualityCharlotte, NCNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+4.5PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+12,384 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$81,666LEAVING$81,616ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$50Raleigh, NCNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+4.7PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+6,995 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$83,338LEAVING$81,966ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$1,372
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — population · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-26“Per 1,000 residents” is a transparent normalization, not a published IRS rate.
Underwriting boundary

What this comparison cannot decide

Market evidence narrows the search. It does not price a roof, an insurance policy, a loan or a specific lease.

  1. Gross yield uses market-level asking rent and median home value, not a matched property. Charlotte’s apparent cash-flow advantage could narrow or disappear after verifying achievable rent, vacancy, taxes, insurance, maintenance, management, financing and renovation needs, none of which are published in these records.
  2. Permits are an aggregate pipeline indicator rather than a count of directly competing rentals. Charlotte and Raleigh may differ materially by municipality, neighborhood, housing type and delivery schedule. Before underwriting, map planned units against the subject property’s rent band, bedroom count and likely tenant pool.
  3. The climate-loss ratios are market-level modeled measures, and inland flood is the dominant hazard in both Charlotte and Raleigh. Obtain parcel-specific flood information, prior-loss history, drainage and elevation evidence, mitigation details, current insurance quotes and applicable deductibles before relying on Raleigh’s lower published ratio.
From metro to local evidence

Open the counties inside each market

Metro averages can hide large local differences. These links are ordered by published ACS population and lead to county price, rent, listings, migration, investor and hazard evidence.