Springfield, OH
Springfield merits selective investigation by yield-focused buyers who can validate neighborhood demand; investors requiring current job growth or positive migration should avoid it.
Why this market scores where it does
Written from the figures on this page and then checked against them: every number below had to appear in the source record or recompute from two that did, or the text was rewritten.
Springfield merits selective investigation by yield-focused buyers who can validate neighborhood demand; investors requiring current job growth or positive migration should avoid it. A $206,259 median home value and 7.06% gross yield support screening for income returns, but that headline yield is before expenses and does not resolve demand weakness.
The opportunity is a $1,213 median asking rent, up 3.19% year over year, paired with only 2 months of for-sale supply. Yet CES employment fell 1.74%, and tax filings show net migration of -88 households. Those signals argue for conservative vacancy and rent assumptions rather than treating recent rent growth as broad demand strength.
Execution risk is mixed: 32.87% of listings had price drops, which may offer negotiating room, while limited permitting indicates modest recorded construction activity. The 0.1013% annual climate loss ratio is low in the record, but inland flood is the dominant hazard, so property-level flood exposure and insurance terms still need verification.
Frequently Asked Investor Questions
What is the headline rental return?
How strong are the current demand signals?
What climate risk requires property-level review?
Investor Quick Takeaways
Computed from the current Zillow rent and home-value medians.
Zillow ZORI rent growth trend over trailing 12 months.
Originated investment purchase share (CFPB HMDA).
Annualized loss ratio evaluated for flood & hurricane risk.
Test the market, then test the deal
Keep Springfield as the starting point or move into a more specific property and rent check.
The current market in eight signals
Fast-moving Redfin conditions sit beside the slower fundamentals so a buyer can separate today's negotiating climate from the long-run investment case.
What each component measures
Weights are published, not hidden, and the arithmetic is shown. Five components, each measured as a national percentile across all tracked metros.
| Signal | Score | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Job growth | 5 | 30% | 1.50 |
| Rent trend | 48 | 25% | 12.00 |
| Affordability | 60 | 15% | 9.00 |
| Supply pressure | 88 | 15% | 13.20 |
| Climate risk | 84 | 15% | 12.60 |
| Published score | 48 | ||
Job: CES employment declined 1.74% year over year -> underwrite tenant demand conservatively.
Rent: Asking rent rose 3.19% year over year to $1,213 -> recent pricing momentum is positive, but occupancy is not published.
Affordability: Rent is 23.06% of median income and price is 3.27 times income -> income-based affordability is a relative strength in this record.
Supply: Permit activity is limited and inventory is 2 months, while 32.87% of listings had price drops -> availability is tight but seller pricing is not uniformly firm.
Climate: The annual loss ratio is 0.1013% and inland flood is dominant -> low aggregate loss does not eliminate property-level flood risk.
What this market costs and what it earns
Every derived ratio below recomputes from the same source record used by the article and score.
What is being built, and for whom
Permits are the 12-to-24 month early warning. The total matters less than the mix: apartments compete with a rental the day they open.
Demand, and the competition for it
Tax filings say how many households moved and what they earn; mortgage disclosures say how many local purchases went to someone who will not live there. Moves between counties inside this metro are netted out of both flow figures.
What would make this a bad buy
Generated from the same figures with the instruction to argue against the score, and published unedited. A page that only agrees with itself is an advertisement.
Three ways the case breaks
- CES employment is contracting, leaving current labor-demand support weak.
- Net migration is negative, and average AGI is lower for incoming than outgoing movers, weakening the demand profile.
- Inland flood is the dominant hazard, and property-level flood losses and insurance costs are not published.
Move from the metro average to local evidence
County pages carry tax, migration, listing and hazard records. City pages appear only where direct city price, rent and Census evidence pass the publication gate.
Metros that behave like Springfield
Nearest neighbours on price level, income, yield and job growth — not on geography. Every market page gets a different peer set, which is the point.
| Metro | Score | Price | Rent | Yield | Job Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Springfield, OH (Target) | 48 | $206k | $1,213 | 7.1% | ▼ 1.7% |
| Hammond, LA | 24 | $226k | $1,402 | 7.4% | ▼ 1.8% |
| Parkersburg, WV | 40 | $173k | $1,003 | 7.0% | ▼ 1.5% |
| Cumberland, MD | 44 | $173k | $1,011 | 7.0% | ▼ 2.3% |
| Blacksburg, VA | 45 | $294k | $1,656 | 6.8% | ▼ 1.9% |
Where every figure came from
“Checked nightly” means every source is re-pulled and re-verified each night. It does not mean every source moves nightly — the release column tells you how fresh each number can possibly be.
| Dataset Source | Method | Release Period | Pulled Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Census ACS 5-year — household income | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-26 |
| Census ACS 5-year — population | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS CES — payroll employment | direct | CES SM current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS LAUS — resident employment | direct | LAUS current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS QCEW — county employment and wages | direct | annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 | 2026-07-31 |
| OMB/BLS delineation — metro geography | direct | OMB July 2023 delineation | 2026-07-30 |
| Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units | direct | BPS through 2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| Census ACS 5-year — city population, households and housing | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-29 |
| Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios | modelled | NRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS) | 2026-07-26 |
| FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation | direct | annual county HPI 2025 | 2026-07-28 |
| HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy type | direct | HMDA 2024 purchase originations | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard | direct | FY2026 FMR | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallback | direct | ZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| IRS SOI — county migration and mover income | direct | SOI migration 2022-2023 | 2026-07-26 |
| Freddie Mac PMMS — mortgage rates | direct | week of 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-27 |
| Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-27 |
| Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory | direct | county inventory 2026-06 | 2026-07-28 |
| Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts | direct | metro tracker through 2026-05-01 | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents | direct | county ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06 | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — metro home values | direct | Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — city home values | direct | zillow_zhvi_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI — metro market rents | direct | Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZORI — city market rents | direct | zillow_zori_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rents | direct | ZORI ZIP 2026-06 | 2026-07-26 |