States / Ohio
State rental intelligence

Ohio rental market data

A source-traced view across 29 metro markets and 88 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

18/29 metros scored88/88 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro64.0out of 100 · 18 measured metros
Ohio identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$220kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,100monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield6.1%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.3%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Rent growth is running 0.9 percentage point ahead of home-value growth across the measured metro medians, while median employment is contracting and county migration is net negative.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Ohio's measured rent trend is stronger than its broad demand readings. Median metro rent growth was 5.3%, versus 4.4% for home values, but median employment growth across 29 metros was -0.3% and the 88 counties recorded net migration of -7,828. The rent-price separation is therefore a local screening lead, not proof of statewide demand strength.

There are genuine counter-signals: employment increased 2.1% in Sandusky, 1.4% in Wilmington and 1.0% in Athens, while aggregate mover income had a positive $82,542 gap despite the population outflow. Investors still need to test each location for tenant income limits, resale friction, vacancy quality, taxes and property-level hazard exposure. The packet cannot establish actual occupancy, lease renewal performance, unit condition, permit completions, insurance cost or parcel-specific risk.

01

Median metro rent growth of 5.3% versus home-value growth of 4.4% → investigate locations where income and occupancy support the 0.9 percentage-point spread.

02

Median metro employment growth of -0.3% and county net migration of -7,828 → do not treat recent rent gains as proof of broad demand expansion.

03

Sandusky's 8.4% gross yield and 27.6% rent-to-income ratio → stress tenant affordability and collection assumptions alongside headline yield.

04

Median marketing time of 40.5 days and a 97.9% sale-to-list ratio → include resale time and price negotiation in exit screening.

05

County effective property-tax rates from 0.9% at the 10th percentile to 1.4% at the 90th → use county-specific taxes in operating-cost comparisons.

01
Price and rent momentum

Rent gains have opened a narrow lead over value growth

Median rent growth was 5.3% across 18 measured metros, compared with 4.4% home-value growth across 29. The packet reports a 0.9 percentage-point gap. Local separation was wider in Ashland, where rent rose 17.1% and value rose 6.1%, and in Sandusky, where the corresponding rates were 9.7% and 2.1%.

The spread does not translate automatically into stronger cash flow. Ashland's measured gross yield was 4.5%, while Sandusky's was 8.4%. Rent-growth coverage also excludes 11 of the 29 price markets, so the two statewide distributions are not equally complete. Screening should combine momentum with current entry price and rent rather than treating faster rent growth alone as the opportunity.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Employment and household movement

Broad demand is soft despite several local job gains

Employment growth across 29 metros had a -0.3% median, with a measured range from -1.6% at the 10th percentile to 0.8% at the 90th. County movement also leaned outward: 269,688 people moved in and 277,516 moved out, producing net migration of -7,828, or -0.7 per 1,000 residents, across all 88 counties.

The counter-signal is local rather than broad. Employment rose 2.1% in Sandusky, 1.4% in Wilmington and 1.0% in Athens. Aggregate mover income also had a positive $82,542 gap even as mover counts were negative. These readings support market-by-market demand checks, but their different reporting periods cannot establish current household formation or explain the measured rent increases.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

03
Supply and resale conditions

High permit intensity does not guarantee a quick exit

The measured metro median was 2.5 months of supply, 40.5 days on market, a 97.9% sale-to-list ratio and price drops on 27.3% of listings. Cambridge shows the weaker end of exit conditions: 75 days on market, 3.6 months of supply and a 95.3% sale-to-list ratio.

Permitting and resale speed do not move together mechanically. Columbus recorded 12,394 permitted units, or 5.7 per 1,000 residents, with 40 days on market; Cincinnati recorded 10,518, or 4.6 per 1,000, with 37 days. Sidney also had elevated permit intensity at 4.4 per 1,000, but its median marketing time was 57 days. Permit counts do not show completion timing, tenure or the amount that will compete directly with a particular rental.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

04
Entry cost and affordability

Higher headline yields coincide with greater tenant income stretch

Across 29 metros, the median measured home value was $220,212, monthly rent was $1,100 and gross yield was 6.1%. Gross yields ran from 4.7% at the 10th percentile to 7.7% at the 90th. Median rent-to-income was 20.2%, with a 24.1% 90th-percentile reading.

Sandusky paired an 8.4% gross yield with rent equal to 27.6% of median income; Marion paired an 8.1% yield with 25.3%. Both rent-to-income readings exceed the measured 90th percentile. That makes tenant affordability a material screen in the higher-yield examples. Gross yield remains a headline ratio and does not deduct vacancy, taxes, insurance, maintenance, management or capital work.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

High county vacancy does not necessarily mean usable rental supply

County vacancy had an 8.4% median and a 15.6% 90th-percentile reading across all 88 counties. The highest cited examples also had comparatively small renter shares: Ottawa County had 36.0% vacancy and a 16.4% renter share, Morgan County had 22.0% and 21.1%, and Monroe County had 20.8% and 20.1%. These broad ACS vacancy rates do not identify units that are rent-ready or available to long-term tenants.

Tenant headroom is another constraint. The median share of renters paying at least 30% of income toward rent was 43.0%; the cited readings were 57.7% in Adams County, 57.7% in Athens County and 56.1% in Scioto County. The county median year built was 1972.5, but the packet contains no inspection or renovation data. High vacancy, heavy rent burden and older stock therefore require separate checks rather than a single oversupply conclusion.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Tax and hazard costs can overturn similar-looking entry economics

Effective county property-tax rates ranged from 0.9% at the 10th percentile to 1.4% at the 90th, with a 1.1% median. The cited higher-tax counties were Cuyahoga at 2.0% and $3,910 median tax, Montgomery at 1.7% and $3,127, and Lucas at 1.7% and $2,773. These differences should be applied directly to property-level operating assumptions rather than inferred from a statewide median.

The median FEMA loss ratio was 0.107%, rising to 0.165% at the 90th percentile; cited readings were 0.227% in Lawrence County, 0.203% in Morgan County and 0.195% in Meigs County. Inland flood was the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label in all 88 counties. That classification identifies each county's leading hazard only; it does not establish exposure for every parcel or provide an insurance quote.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Ohio

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change2.1%4.4%7.3%Asking-rent change3.1%5.3%10.1%Rent minus price0.9%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-1.6%-0.3%0.8%Net migration / 1k-0.7Net household movement-7,828
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k0.41.23.6Months of supply1.8×2.5×3.5×Days on market29 days41 days54 daysListings with cuts22.9%27.3%34.8%
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution18 scored metros · median 64.0
00–19020–39640–591260–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
58%51/88Rent100%88/88Climate100%88/88Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Sandusky8.4%Marion8.1%Huntington7.7%Wheeling7.6%Toledo7.4%Lima7.2%Springfield7.1%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Ohio

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Sandusky, OH77$243k$1,6898.4%▲ 2.1%
2Athens, OH75$191k$9946.2%▲ 1.0%
3Ashland, OH71$247k$9364.5%▼ 1.8%
4Weirton, WV70$137k$7816.9%▲ 0.1%
5Akron, OH68$245k$1,2686.2%▼ 0.5%
6Findlay, OH67$244k$1,2336.1%▼ 0.4%
7Lima, OH66$196k$1,1777.2%▲ 0.1%
8Youngstown, OH65$180k$1,0467.0%▼ 0.7%
9Canton, OH64$220k$1,1046.0%▼ 0.3%
10Mansfield, OH64$202k$9185.5%▼ 1.1%
11Huntington, WV63$168k$1,0787.7%▲ 0.4%
12Zanesville, OH61$214k$1,0886.1%▲ 0.0%

Showing the top 12 scored metros of 29. Unscored metros remain discoverable through the national rankings.

Below the metro line

Largest counties in Ohio

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Franklin County, OH1,333,048$301k$1,5106.0%inland flooding
Cuyahoga County, OH1,245,873$225k$1,4657.8%inland flooding
Hamilton County, OH830,774$276k$1,5396.7%inland flooding
Summit County, OH537,864$233k$1,2606.5%inland flooding
Montgomery County, OH536,096$207k$1,3007.5%inland flooding
Lucas County, OH428,018$180k$1,1767.8%inland flooding
Butler County, OH392,876$321k$1,5996.0%inland flooding
Stark County, OH373,713$221k$1,1136.0%inland flooding
Lorain County, OH317,129$266k$1,3826.2%inland flooding
Warren County, OH250,008$414k$1,9495.7%inland flooding
Lake County, OH232,216$253k$1,4036.7%inland flooding
Delaware County, OH226,834$525k$1,5973.6%inland flooding
County yield sample51/88counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration−7,828IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share6.4%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Metro rent-growth coverage includes 18 markets, while home-value growth covers 29, so the momentum comparison is not based on equally complete distributions.
  2. Employment and IRS migration figures cover different reporting periods and cannot establish current household formation or explain rent changes.
  3. Gross yields omit vacancy, concessions, taxes, insurance, management, maintenance and capital expenditures.
  4. ACS vacancy measures do not identify rent-ready long-term units, and the packet provides no unit-condition or renovation data.
  5. County FEMA loss ratios and leading-hazard labels cannot establish parcel exposure, insurability or insurance premiums.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are Ohio rents rising faster than home values?

Across the measured distributions, median metro rent growth was 5.3% and median home-value growth was 4.4%, a reported gap of 0.9 percentage point. Rent growth covers 18 metros, however, compared with 29 for prices.

Do demand indicators support the stronger rent trend?

Not broadly. Median employment growth was -0.3%, and the 88 counties recorded net migration of -7,828. Sandusky, Wilmington and Athens provide a counter-signal with respective job gains of 2.1%, 1.4% and 1.0%.

Where do headline yields require extra affordability scrutiny?

Sandusky had an 8.4% gross yield with rent equal to 27.6% of median income, while Marion had an 8.1% yield and a 25.3% rent-to-income ratio. Both affordability readings exceeded the measured metro 90th percentile of 24.1%.

Does high county vacancy prove rental oversupply?

No. Ottawa, Morgan and Monroe counties had vacancy rates from 20.8% to 36.0%, but renter shares from 16.4% to 21.1%. The broad ACS measure does not show whether vacant units are available, habitable or intended for long-term rental.

What does the packet show about exit liquidity?

The metro median was 40.5 days on market and a 97.9% sale-to-list ratio. Conditions were weaker in Cambridge at 75 days and 95.3%, while Sidney's 57-day marketing time shows that elevated permit intensity alone does not imply a quick resale.