Williamsport, PA
Williamsport merits investigation by income-focused buyers who can underwrite flood exposure and modest employment growth; buyers requiring strong labor momentum or low water-related risk should avoid it.
Why this market scores where it does
Written from the figures on this page and then checked against them: every number below had to appear in the source record or recompute from two that did, or the text was rewritten.
Williamsport merits investigation by income-focused buyers who can underwrite flood exposure and modest employment growth; buyers requiring strong labor momentum or low water-related risk should avoid it. At a $242,112 median home value, the published 5.34% gross yield offers an income case, while asking rents rose 7.53% against 4.49% home-value growth.
Tenant affordability is the clearest support: rent equals 20.23% of median household income. Jobs rose just 0.83%, however, so recent rent strength sits beside limited labor-market momentum rather than broad confirmation of demand.
Supply looks constrained, but negotiations remain possible: only 80 permits were issued, months of supply were 3.0, and 29.6% of listings had price drops. Inland flood is the dominant hazard, and the published climate loss ratio is 0.1559% of building value annually. Buyers should treat low construction as opportunity but verify property-level flood exposure and achievable rents before relying on the headline yield.
Frequently Asked Investor Questions
What are the current acquisition and rent metrics?
Does the market look tight for buyers?
Are the migration signals uniformly positive?
Investor Quick Takeaways
Computed from the current Zillow rent and home-value medians.
Zillow ZORI rent growth trend over trailing 12 months.
Originated investment purchase share (CFPB HMDA).
Annualized loss ratio evaluated for flood & hurricane risk.
Test the market, then test the deal
Keep Williamsport as the starting point or move into a more specific property and rent check.
The current market in eight signals
Fast-moving Redfin conditions sit beside the slower fundamentals so a buyer can separate today's negotiating climate from the long-run investment case.
What each component measures
Weights are published, not hidden, and the arithmetic is shown. Five components, each measured as a national percentile across all tracked metros.
| Signal | Score | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Job growth | 79 | 30% | 23.70 |
| Rent trend | 90 | 25% | 22.50 |
| Affordability | 80 | 15% | 12.00 |
| Supply pressure | 88 | 15% | 13.20 |
| Climate risk | 41 | 15% | 6.15 |
| Published score | 78 | ||
CES job growth of 0.83% -> labor demand is positive but modest.
Asking-rent growth of 7.53% and a 5.34% gross yield -> rental income is the main opportunity, although the yield is gross.
Rent at 20.23% of median household income and a 3.79 price-to-income ratio -> tenant affordability is supportive while purchase prices remain measurable against local incomes.
Permit activity of 80 and 3.0 months of supply -> available and incoming supply appear limited, but 29.6% price drops indicate negotiation room.
An inland-flood dominant hazard and a 0.1559% annual climate loss ratio -> property-level water exposure requires diligence.
What this market costs and what it earns
Every derived ratio below recomputes from the same source record used by the article and score.
What is being built, and for whom
Permits are the 12-to-24 month early warning. The total matters less than the mix: apartments compete with a rental the day they open.
Demand, and the competition for it
Tax filings say how many households moved and what they earn; mortgage disclosures say how many local purchases went to someone who will not live there. Moves between counties inside this metro are netted out of both flow figures.
What would make this a bad buy
Generated from the same figures with the instruction to argue against the score, and published unedited. A page that only agrees with itself is an advertisement.
Three ways the case breaks
- CES jobs rose only 0.83%, providing limited labor-market support for the rental signal.
- Inland flood is the dominant hazard, with a published annual climate loss ratio of 0.1559% of building value.
- Incoming movers averaged $55,007 of income versus $59,383 for outgoing movers, a -$4,376 gap despite net migration of 67 households.
Move from the metro average to local evidence
County pages carry tax, migration, listing and hazard records. City pages appear only where direct city price, rent and Census evidence pass the publication gate.
No city in this metro has passed the current city evidence gate.
Metros that behave like Williamsport
Nearest neighbours on price level, income, yield and job growth — not on geography. Every market page gets a different peer set, which is the point.
| Metro | Score | Price | Rent | Yield | Job Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williamsport, PA (Target) | 78 | $242k | $1,077 | 5.3% | ▲ 0.8% |
| St. Joseph, MO | 67 | $218k | $1,047 | 5.8% | ▲ 1.0% |
| Richmond, KY | 59 | $267k | $1,153 | 5.2% | ▲ 1.1% |
| Muskegon, MI | 85 | $259k | $1,212 | 5.6% | ▲ 1.0% |
| Bowling Green, KY | 46 | $266k | $1,278 | 5.8% | ▲ 0.8% |
Where every figure came from
“Checked nightly” means every source is re-pulled and re-verified each night. It does not mean every source moves nightly — the release column tells you how fresh each number can possibly be.
| Dataset Source | Method | Release Period | Pulled Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Census ACS 5-year — household income | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-26 |
| Census ACS 5-year — population | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS CES — payroll employment | direct | CES SM current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS LAUS — resident employment | direct | LAUS current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS QCEW — county employment and wages | direct | annual county employment and wages 2025 vs 2024 | 2026-07-31 |
| OMB/BLS delineation — metro geography | direct | OMB July 2023 delineation | 2026-07-30 |
| Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units | direct | BPS through 2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| Census ACS 5-year — city population, households and housing | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-29 |
| Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios | modelled | NRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS) | 2026-07-26 |
| FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation | direct | annual county HPI 2025 | 2026-07-28 |
| HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy type | direct | HMDA 2024 purchase originations | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard | direct | FY2026 FMR | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallback | direct | ZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| IRS SOI — county migration and mover income | direct | SOI migration 2022-2023 | 2026-07-26 |
| Freddie Mac PMMS — mortgage rates | direct | week of 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-27 |
| Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-27 |
| Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory | direct | county inventory 2026-06 | 2026-07-28 |
| Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts | direct | metro tracker through 2026-05-01 | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents | direct | county ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06 | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — metro home values | direct | Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — city home values | direct | zillow_zhvi_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI — metro market rents | direct | Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZORI — city market rents | direct | zillow_zori_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rents | direct | ZORI ZIP 2026-06 | 2026-07-26 |