States / Indiana
State rental intelligence

Indiana rental market data

A source-traced view across 27 metro markets and 92 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

20/27 metros scored92/92 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro59.5out of 100 · 20 measured metros
Indiana identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$250kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,122monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield5.9%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.3%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Asking rents are rising slightly faster than home values even as measured employment and migration soften, making lease durability the central Indiana screening test.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Rent-growth data cover 20 of Indiana's 27 measured metros and show a 4.6% median increase, compared with 4.1% median home-value growth across 27 metros. The supplied difference is 0.5 percentage points. Demand measures do not move in the same direction: median metro employment fell 0.3%, while county flows summed to net out-migration of 1,364 people, or 0.2 per 1,000 residents. As a counter-signal, inbound movers brought $186,765 more aggregate adjusted gross income than outbound movers took.

Low for-sale supply also coexists with frequent seller concessions. Across measured metros, the median was 1.9 months of supply, yet 34.5% of listings had price drops and the median sale-to-list ratio was 98.0%. Screening therefore needs to separate asking-rent momentum from realized lease income, local employment support and likely resale conditions. The packet cannot establish property-level occupancy, operating expenses, condition, insurance cost or parcel hazard exposure.

01

Median metro rent growth of 4.6% versus 4.1% home-value growth → test whether the modest rent lead survives property-level lease verification.

02

Median employment decline of 0.3% and net out-migration of 1,364 people → stress occupancy and turnover assumptions instead of relying on statewide rent momentum.

03

Median supply of 1.9 months alongside price drops on 34.5% of listings → limited inventory may still leave room for acquisition negotiation.

04

Median metro gross yield of 5.9% with a 4.5% to 6.8% measured range → expense assumptions can materially change market rankings.

05

County rent burden ranging from 35.8% to 50.9% and vacancy ranging from 5.6% to 15.3% → screen tenant affordability and usable rental supply separately by county.

01
Price and rent momentum

Rent gains lead values, but only narrowly across measured metros

Among metros with rent-growth data, the median asking-rent increase was 4.6%, with the middle measured range running from 2.1% to 7.2%. Home values rose by a 4.1% median across the broader 27-metro set, with a 1.6% to 6.0% range. The supplied median spread is just 0.5 percentage points, so the statewide distribution shows a modest rent lead rather than a broad decoupling of rents and values.

The separation is larger in selected markets. Marion recorded 10.0% rent growth against 4.1% home-value growth, a calculated gap of 5.9 percentage points, alongside a 7.0% gross yield. Crawfordsville showed 8.4% rent growth and 3.1% value growth, while Elkhart showed 7.1% and 5.6%, respectively. These are asking-rent and modeled gross-yield measures; they do not establish collected rent, renewal performance or net income.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Employment and household movement

Headcount demand is soft while mover income and three job markets push back

Year-over-year employment change across 27 measured metros had a negative 0.3% median, with the measured range running from a 1.4% decline to a 1.0% increase. County migration data recorded 177,799 arrivals and 179,163 departures, producing net out-migration of 1,364 people. Inbound adjusted gross income totaled $5,031,770 versus $4,845,005 outbound, leaving a positive $186,765 gap. The headcount and income measures therefore give different signals.

Local employment readings provide a further counter-signal. New Castle grew 1.2%, Crawfordsville 1.1% and Huntington 1.1%. Their measured gross yields were 5.2%, 5.1% and 4.9%, respectively, so positive employment alone did not correspond to the highest gross-yield readings in the packet. These markets warrant separate demand and pricing tests rather than being treated as evidence that the statewide employment median has reversed.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

03
Supply and resale conditions

Thin inventory has not eliminated seller concessions

Across 26 metros with resale measures, months of supply had a 1.9-month median and a 1.5- to 2.5-month measured range. Median marketing time was 25.5 days. Despite that limited inventory, 34.5% of listings had price drops and homes sold for a median 98.0% of list price. The combination points to constrained availability without uniform seller pricing power.

Lafayette had 2.0 months of supply and 37.5% price drops while permitting 6.58 units per 1,000 residents. Indianapolis had 1.8 months of supply, 43.1% price drops and 6.53 permits per 1,000. Bloomington was a slower measured market at 51 days and 3.9 months of supply, with a 97.7% sale-to-list ratio. Permit activity represents authorized units rather than completed or leased housing, so it cannot establish future rental competition by itself.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

04
Entry cost and affordability

Near-7% gross yields coexist with a wide rent-benchmark spread

Across 27 measured metros, the median home value was $249,774, median asking rent was $1,122 and median gross yield was 5.9%. Gross yields ranged from 4.5% to 6.8% across the measured distribution. The median price-to-income ratio was 3.49, while annualized asking rent equaled a median 20.1% of income, with a 15.9% to 25.0% range.

Marion combined a $156,971 value, $912 rent, 7.0% gross yield and 2.93 price-to-income ratio. Muncie measured $173,817, $979 and 6.8%, while Terre Haute measured $171,101, $989 and 6.9%. Across all metros, asking rent had a median ratio of 100.0% of the local two-bedroom Fair Market Rent, but the range was 90.3% to 127.5%. That benchmark dispersion matters for rent assumptions, and gross yield remains before vacancy, repairs, management, taxes, insurance and financing.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

Renter stress and high vacancy appear in different county profiles

Across all 92 counties, the median housing vacancy rate was 9.2%, with a 5.6% to 15.3% measured range. The median renter share was 23.0%, 42.7% of renters were burdened by housing costs of at least 30% of income, and the county median stock was 80.7% single-family. The median year built was 1974, making property condition and capital needs material questions that these county aggregates cannot answer.

Renter burden reached 66.2% in Ohio County, 60.7% in Monroe County and 59.3% in Tippecanoe County. Monroe County and Tippecanoe County also had renter shares of 46.0% and 46.6%. By contrast, the highlighted high-vacancy readings were 26.7% in Steuben County, 22.5% in Crawford County and 20.9% in Brown County. These ACS vacancy rates cover housing generally, not units confirmed as available long-term rentals, so they should not be read as direct rental-vacancy estimates.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

One leading-hazard label masks meaningful county tax and loss dispersion

Inland flood is the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for all 92 Indiana counties in this packet. That classification does not mean every parcel is exposed or that other hazards are absent. County FEMA loss ratios had a 0.125% median and ranged from 0.09% to 0.167% across the measured distribution.

Posey County, Perry County and Crawford County had highlighted loss ratios of 0.221%, 0.221% and 0.215%, respectively. Effective property-tax rates had a 0.66% county median and a 0.50% to 0.81% measured range, while the median tax bill was $1,169.5. Lake County, Marion County and Vigo County recorded higher highlighted rates of 0.92%, 0.91% and 0.88%. County-level loss and tax measures can identify underwriting questions, but they cannot substitute for parcel flood maps, insurance quotes or an actual tax assessment.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Indiana

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change1.6%4.1%6.0%Asking-rent change2.1%4.5%7.2%Rent minus price0.5%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-1.4%-0.3%1.0%Net migration / 1k-0.2Net household movement-1,364
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k1.02.84.4Months of supply1.5×1.9×2.5×Days on market13 days26 days41 daysListings with cuts26.6%34.5%43.1%
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution20 scored metros · median 59.5
00–19220–39840–59760–79380–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
47%43/92Rent100%92/92Climate100%92/92Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Chicago7.6%Marion7.0%Terre Haute6.9%Logansport6.8%Muncie6.8%South Bend6.7%Indianapolis6.3%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Indiana

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Crawfordsville, IN88$229k$9665.1%▲ 1.1%
2Elkhart, IN86$269k$1,1465.1%▲ 0.9%
3Marion, IN81$157k$9127.0%▲ 0.7%
4Fort Wayne, IN77$262k$1,2845.9%▲ 0.7%
5Richmond, IN76$177k$8846.0%▲ 0.3%
6New Castle, IN69$195k$8415.2%▲ 1.2%
7Terre Haute, IN69$171k$9896.9%▲ 0.5%
8Muncie, IN67$174k$9796.8%▼ 0.3%
9Michigan City, IN63$263k$1,1375.2%▼ 0.3%
10South Bend, IN61$243k$1,3486.7%▼ 0.7%
11Chicago, IL58$360k$2,2757.6%▲ 0.1%
12Warsaw, IN57$294k$1,1224.6%▼ 0.1%

Showing the top 12 scored metros of 27. Unscored metros remain discoverable through the national rankings.

Below the metro line

Largest counties in Indiana

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Marion County, IN975,809$234k$1,4167.3%inland flooding
Lake County, IN500,379$254k$1,4656.9%inland flooding
Allen County, IN392,378$260k$1,2885.9%inland flooding
Hamilton County, IN365,056$471k$1,8374.7%inland flooding
St. Joseph County, IN273,040$235k$1,3496.9%inland flooding
Elkhart County, IN207,132$269k$1,1465.1%inland flooding
Tippecanoe County, IN189,071$304k$1,4195.6%inland flooding
Hendricks County, IN183,344$349k$1,8696.4%inland flooding
Vanderburgh County, IN180,117$205k$1,0416.1%inland flooding
Porter County, IN174,818$336k$1,5285.5%inland flooding
Johnson County, IN166,315$318k$1,6416.2%inland flooding
Monroe County, IN140,965$319k$1,4435.4%inland flooding
County yield sample43/92counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration−1,364IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share5.3%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Rent-growth coverage reaches only 20 of 27 measured metros; county rent levels cover 43 of 92 counties and county listing data cover 68, so uncovered Indiana areas could differ materially.
  2. New Castle, Crawfordsville and Huntington each posted employment growth above 1.1%, while inbound mover income exceeded outbound income; these counter-signals may make statewide demand weakness a poor guide to selected markets.
  3. Migration, employment, housing and listing indicators come from different release periods and definitions, so their alignment cannot establish current causation.
  4. Asking rents, modeled home values and gross yields do not establish achieved rent or net operating income after vacancy, repairs, management, taxes, insurance and financing.
  5. The county leading-hazard label and loss ratio do not establish parcel exposure, insurability or future claim cost.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Is rent growth broadly outrunning home-value growth?

Only narrowly in the measured distributions. Median rent growth was 4.6% versus 4.1% for home values, a 0.5-percentage-point difference, and rent-growth coverage was limited to 20 metros.

Do jobs and migration confirm the rent-growth signal?

No. Median metro employment fell 0.3% and county migration totaled a net loss of 1,364 people. Positive inbound AGI and job growth in New Castle, Crawfordsville and Huntington are genuine local counter-signals.

Does low inventory mean buyers should expect little bargaining room?

Not necessarily. Median supply was 1.9 months, but 34.5% of listings had price drops and the median sale-to-list ratio was 98.0%. Lafayette and Indianapolis combined low supply with price-drop shares of 37.5% and 43.1%.

Which measured metros combine lower entry prices with near-7% gross yields?

Marion measured a $156,971 value and 7.0% gross yield; Terre Haute measured $171,101 and 6.9%; Muncie measured $173,817 and 6.8%. These are gross figures before operating and financing costs.

Does the statewide inland-flood label prove a property is exposed?

No. Inland flood is each county's mutually exclusive leading-hazard label in this packet, not a parcel-level determination. A property decision still lacks parcel mapping, elevation, insurance pricing and claim-history evidence.