Across 14 measured metros, median asking-rent growth was 3.6% while median home-value growth was 1.9%; the reported difference was 1.6 percentage points. Median year-over-year employment change was negative 0.7%, so stronger rent momentum does not arrive with a uniformly supportive labor signal.
Positive net migration provides a genuine counter-signal: the 55-county total was 874 people, or 0.5 per 1,000 residents, and aggregate mover income had a positive $73,556 gap. The evidence supports screening each location for employment, rent depth, resale conditions, housing-stock composition and physical risk. It cannot establish achieved occupancy, tenant quality, property expenses, insurance terms, parcel-level hazard exposure or future returns.
01Median metro rent growth of 3.6% exceeded median value growth of 1.9% by 1.6 percentage points → test whether property-level leases can capture the headline rent momentum before underwriting income growth.
02Median metro employment fell 0.7%, but statewide county migration was positive by 874 people → separate markets with durable local demand from those relying on rent momentum without labor support.
03Median metro supply was 3.4 months, while Bluefield had 8.1 months and a 94.4% sale-to-list ratio → use locality-specific resale assumptions rather than the metro distribution median.
04The median county had 17.5% vacancy, 74.0% single-family stock and only 1.2% large multifamily stock → verify vacancy type, rentable condition and operating requirements at the property level.
05Inland flood was the leading-hazard label in all 55 counties → obtain parcel-specific flood and insurance evidence rather than treating the county label as property exposure.