Lawrence’s current Zillow measures put the typical city home value at $521,895 and typical observed monthly market rent at $2,347. Their direct annualized relationship is a 5.4% gross yield before every operating cost, vacancy allowance, capital expense and financing charge. The ZHVI is 8.6x ACS median household income, while annual ZORI equals 46.6% of that ACS income. These affordability comparisons do not establish buyer financing capacity, household-level rent burden or property net return.
Lawrence has 31,845 housing units; 71.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, while citywide vacancy is 2.2%. The ACS median owner-reported home value is $415,200 and median gross rent is $1,662, including contract rent plus selected utilities. These surveyed occupied-housing measures should not be averaged with Zillow’s typical city value and observed market rent, which use a different period and method. The city’s median year built is 1950, warranting property-condition review rather than assumptions about every building.
Direct city depth adds constraints: 60.6% of renter households are cost-burdened. Single-family units are 26.8% of housing stock, and large multifamily units are 16.1%. Among vacant city units, 45.1% were classified as for rent, a survey category rather than a count of available investments. Population was 11.0% higher than the baseline across overlapping ACS five-year vintages; this is not annualized and could reflect boundary change. Median household income is $60,433; city poverty is 17.6% and unemployment is 8.5%. These survey facts cannot identify investment inventory, tenant quality, lease-up speed or property-level demand.
Essex County listing context shows a median 32-day market time and 14.9% of active listings with price reductions; those county readings may inform negotiation but do not measure Lawrence. During the reported span, the broader Boston metro’s jobs declined 0.8%, a metro labor caution rather than a city result. Separately, in the supplied period the broader Boston metro recorded 12,696 permits, a metro pipeline measure rather than city supply. The national Freddie Mac 30-year mortgage rate was 6.58%, a national financing benchmark that can compress leveraged cash flow without describing local property economics.
Underwriting is limited by mismatched scale and measure: citywide Zillow indicators are not a subject property, ACS estimates are survey-based, and county, metro and national context cannot substitute for city performance. Verify address-level sale and rent comparables, leases, concessions and collections; obtain the actual tax bill, insurance quote and utility responsibility; and inspect structure, systems and deferred maintenance. Rebuild net operating income and debt coverage with property-specific vacancy, repairs, reserves and loan terms. Check parcel-level flood and climate exposure rather than inferring it from county data.
