Olympia, WA cityscape
Markets / Washington / Olympia
RENTAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Olympia, WA

Olympia merits investigation by buyers who can accept a 4.69% gross yield and weak employment growth in exchange for positive rent movement and tight resale inventory.

Median price$534k
Median rent$2,084
Gross yield4.7%
Job growth▲ 0.1%
Metro Area · CBSA 3650040 public sourcesChecked nightly
SCORE / 10039RANK #426 / 571
Composite Market ScoreRank #426 of 571 scored US market areas
Direct rental answer

How much is rent in Olympia, WA?

Zillow's metro-wide Observed Rent Index is $2,084 per month for 2026-06-30. That is up 2.47% from a year earlier.

Zillow ZORI$2,0842026-06-30

All homes and bedroom counts

Census ACS gross rent$1,736ACS 2024 5-year

Occupied rental units paying rent

HUD 2BR FMR$1,960FY2026 FMR

Two-bedroom standard

These figures are not averaged together. Zillow and Realtor describe asking-rent markets, ACS measures rent paid by surveyed households, and HUD publishes administrative bedroom standards.

Exact county schedules

HUD rent benchmarks inside Olympia

Every row keeps its own county FIPS schedule. No county is selected as a metro proxy and no synthetic metro FMR is calculated.

FY2026 FMR · FY2026 · monthly gross-rent standards
CountyStudio1 BR2 BR3 BR4 BR
Thurston County, WAFIPS 53067$1,538$1,682$1,960$2,613$3,288
The read

Why this market scores where it does

Olympia merits investigation by buyers who can accept a 4.69% gross yield and weak employment growth in exchange for positive rent movement and tight resale inventory. Buyers who need strong job momentum or low hazard exposure should avoid it. The $533,819 median value also makes entry affordability a central constraint.

Opportunity lies in rents rising 2.47% while values rose 0.3%, plus net migration of 1,147 households. Rent consumes 25.9% of median income, a measure buyers should test against property-level tenant incomes rather than treat as universal affordability.

Risk remains mixed: job growth was only 0.15%, permitting totaled 1,798, and 35.86% of listings had price drops. Inventory was just 2.8 months, so buyers face a tight market even though sellers are making concessions. Earthquake is the dominant hazard, while the published climate loss ratio is 0.2347%.

Frequently Asked Investor Questions

Are rents outpacing home values?
Yes. Asking rent rose 2.47% while home value rose 0.3%, a calculated difference of 2.17 percentage points.
What resale-market negotiating signals are visible?
The market had 2.8 months of supply and a 13-day median market time, while 35.86% of listings recorded price drops.
Is household migration positive, and how do mover incomes compare?
Yes. There were 10,888 inbound and 9,741 outbound households, for net migration of 1,147. Average inbound income was $68,542 versus $68,129 outbound, with a published $413 gap.

Investor Quick Takeaways

Gross Yield: 4.7%

Computed from the current Zillow rent and home-value medians.

Rent Momentum: ▲ 2.47%

Zillow ZORI rent growth trend over trailing 12 months.

Investor Activity: 7.0%

Originated investment purchase share (CFPB HMDA).

Climate Exposure: FEMA NRI

Annualized loss ratio evaluated for flood & hurricane risk.

Run Cash-Flow Test for Olympia
Market pulse

The current market in eight signals

Fast-moving Redfin conditions sit beside the slower fundamentals so a buyer can separate today's negotiating climate from the long-run investment case.

Months of supply2.8 mo.▲ from 2.1 mo. a year ago
Median days on market13 daysunchanged from a year ago
Listings with price drops35.9%▲ from 31.7% a year ago
Sale-to-list ratio100.3%2026-05-01
Home value growth▲ 0.3%Zillow ZHVI · trailing 12 months
Rent growth▲ 2.47%Zillow ZORI · trailing 12 months
Gross rental yield4.7%Rent × 12 ÷ price
Payroll job growth▲ 0.1%CES · 12m to 2026-06
Release-to-release evidence

What actually changed

This comparison exists because at least one underlying source period advanced. Rebuilding the same data never creates a new observation.

Published score held steady3939
0 pts

The published component scores did not move in this release.

Weights were unchanged at metro-2026-07-v2-omb2023, so the movement comes from refreshed evidence and percentile ranks.

The named source periods advanced, but the measured values on this page held steady.

Composite breakdown

What each component measures

Weights are published, not hidden, and the arithmetic is shown. Five components, each measured as a national percentile across all tracked metros.

Jobs50Rent trend35Affordability42Supply41Climate safety16
Published arithmeticComponent × weight = points
39
SignalScoreWeightPoints
Job growth5030%15.00
Rent trend3525%8.75
Affordability4215%6.30
Supply pressure4115%6.15
Climate risk1615%2.40
Published score39
Olympia, WA scoreRank #426
39
Job growth50/100

Job: CES employment grew 0.15% year over year -> buyers have little measured job momentum to rely on.

Rent trend35/100

Rent: Median asking rent rose 2.47% to $2,084, with a 4.69% gross yield -> rent movement is positive, but property-level income returns require validation.

Affordability42/100

Afford: A $533,819 median value equals 5.53 times median income, while rent consumes 25.9% of income -> purchase affordability is more constrained than the renter cost ratio.

Supply pressure41/100

Supply: Inventory was 2.8 months, median market time was 13 days, and 35.86% of listings had price drops -> tight availability coexists with visible seller concessions.

Climate risk16/100

Climate: Earthquake is the dominant hazard and the climate loss ratio is 0.2347% -> insurance and structural review should be property-specific.

The numbers

What this market costs and what it earns

Every derived ratio below recomputes from the same source record used by the article and score.

ZHVI Median Price
$534k
YoY ▲ 0.3%
ZORI Median Rent
$2,084
YoY ▲ 2.47%
Gross Rental Yield
4.7%
Rent × 12 ÷ price
$2,084 × 12 ÷ $533,819
Job Growth (YoY)
▲ 0.1%
CES payrolls
Job signal 50/100
Median Household Income
$97k
Census ACS 5-year
Rent Burden
25.9%
Annual rent ÷ household income
Price-to-Income
5.5x
Median value ÷ household income
HUD 2BR Fair Market Rent
$1,960
Market rent 106.3% of FMR
Historical affordability context

Compare aligned 2019 and 2024 asking-rent and nominal household-income endpoints across the direct-overlap metro set.

Independent rent evidence

One market, several legitimate rent benchmarks

These releases observe different homes and different moments. RentMarker keeps them separate: ZORI remains the scoring baseline, while the other sources test how sensitive the market story is to bedroom mix and measurement method.

Monthly benchmark4 of 4 reported values
Zero-based scale
Monthly rental benchmarksIndependent monthly rent measures shown on a zero-based scale. Missing source values are labelled unavailable and are not inferred.$0$563$1,125$1,688$2,250Zillow ZORI2026-06-30$2,084HUD 1BR FMRFY2026 FMR$1,682HUD 2BR FMRFY2026 FMR$1,960Census ACS gross rentACS 2024 5-year$1,736Monthly rental benchmarksIndependent monthly rent measures shown on a zero-based scale. Missing source values are labelled unavailable and are not inferred.$0$1,125$2,250Zillow ZORI2026-06-30$2,084HUD 1BR FMRFY2026 FMR$1,682HUD 2BR FMRFY2026 FMR$1,960ACS gross rentACS 2024 5-year$1,736
The chart compares published levels without averaging them. A longer bar does not mean a source is more accurate; it means that source measures a higher rent under its own definition.
Typical observed market rentZillow ZORI
$2,084Primary RentMarker baseline
2026-06-30

All homes and bedroom counts

A smoothed metro rent index for observed rentals; it is the primary rent used by RentMarker scores and career ratios.

View source release ↗
Fair Market RentHUD 1BR FMR
$1,682−$402 vs ZORI
FY2026 FMR

One-bedroom standard

An administrative gross-rent benchmark used by HUD programs; it is neither a listing median nor a prediction of one lease.

View source release ↗
Fair Market RentHUD 2BR FMR
$1,960−$124 vs ZORI
FY2026 FMR

Two-bedroom standard

An administrative gross-rent benchmark used by HUD programs; it is neither a listing median nor a prediction of one lease.

View source release ↗
Median gross rentCensus ACS gross rent
$1,736−$348 vs ZORI
ACS 2024 5-year

Occupied rental units paying rent

A five-year survey estimate of contract rent plus applicable tenant-paid utilities; it is not a current asking-rent index.

View source release ↗
Take the next step

Keep Olympia as context, then replace market-wide evidence with the candidate property's facts.

Direct local rental evidence

Recent leases and rental-market liquidity in Olympia, WA

These Apartment List observations match the exact metro CBSA code 36500. They are kept separate from Zillow asking rent, Census occupied-home rent and property-level comparables.

Direct recent-lease rent history

Monthly overall-rent index; missing observations are not filled from another geography.

$1,741$1,433$1,1252017-012026-07
Recent-lease rent$1,6772026-07 · +0.2% year over year
Rental vacancy5.7%2026-07 · -0.1 percentage points year over year
Time on marketn/an/a
Measured rent retention

How much of gross yield survives the first two measured deductions?

This bridge subtracts direct rental vacancy and effective property tax only. It is not net yield, NOI, cap rate or property cash flow.

Gross-to-retained yield bridgeApartment List 2026-07
Gross yield bridged to measured rent-retention yieldGross yield of 4.7%, less property-tax drag of 0.9% and vacancy drag of 0.3%, leaves measured rent retention of 3.5%.3.5%4.7%RETAINEDGROSS
measured retention property tax vacancy
Gross yield
4.7%
Vacancy
5.7%
Effective tax
0.9%
Retained yield
3.5%
Regional price level

What feels expensive inside Olympia

BEA compares each category with the United States, which equals 100. This is a 2024 price-level comparison—not annual inflation.

BEA Regional Price Parities · 2024US = 100
Regional price parity categories for Olympia, WAHorizontal bars compare all-items, housing, goods, utilities and other-services price levels with the United States benchmark of 100.8090100110120130All items103.7Housing116.7Goods105.0Utilities91.7Other services99.5
Orange extends above the national level; emerald extends below it. The chart does not convert rent or income into purchasing power.
Occupation wage lens

How asking rent sits against major local occupations

Annualized Zillow asking rent is divided by each BLS annual median wage. This is a screening ratio for one wage, not a household budget or affordability verdict.

Six largest published major groupsannual rent ÷ median wage
Annualized asking rent compared with major occupational median wages in Olympia, WAHorizontal bars show annualized Zillow asking rent as a share of the BLS annual median wage for six major occupational groups with the largest published employment.0%10%20%30%40%50%60%Office and AdministrativeSupport Occupations$54,190 median wage46.1%Business and FinancialOperations Occupations$83,100 median wage30.1%Food Preparation and ServingRelated Occupations$38,870 median wage64.3%Sales and Related Occupations$43,870 median wage57.0%Transportation and MaterialMoving Occupations$47,700 median wage52.4%Management Occupations$130,260 median wage19.2%
Office and Administrative Support Occupations$54,190 median wage
46.1%
Business and Financial Operations Occupations$83,100 median wage
30.1%
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations$38,870 median wage
64.3%
Sales and Related Occupations$43,870 median wage
57.0%
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations$47,700 median wage
52.4%
Management Occupations$130,260 median wage
19.2%
BLS OEWS 2025-05; Zillow rent 2026-06-30. The 30% line is a visible screen, not a RentMarker score or a claim about household costs.
Supply pipeline

What is being built, and for whom

Permits are the 12-to-24 month early warning. The total matters less than the mix: apartments compete with a rental the day they open.

National supply context

Compare this authorization pipeline with asking-rent growth, jobs and for-sale liquidity across the evidence-complete metro set.

Building permits by structure type
units per year · latest year annualised
Download CSV ↓
1,65820191,11920201,97220211,49720221,48320231,18020241,65120251,79020265+ unit buildingssingle family
1,790 units authorised in 2026, 53% of them in 5+ unit buildings. A meaningful share is apartments, which discount first when they lease up. ✓ recomputed from series
Source: Census Building Permits Survey
Who is arriving, and who is buying

Demand, and the competition for it

Tax filings say how many households moved and what they earn; mortgage disclosures say how many local purchases went to someone who will not live there. Moves between counties inside this metro are netted out of both flow figures.

Net Household Move
+1,147
10,888 in vs 9,741 out (IRS SOI)
▲ 10.5% of arriving households
Mover Income Gap
+$413
Arriving $68,542 vs leaving $68,129
Average AGI per tax return (IRS SOI)
Investor Purchase Share
7.0%
244 of 3,496 originated purchase loans
CFPB HMDA 2024
Dominant Hazard
earthquake
0.235% building value annual loss ratio
FEMA NRI · risk type: other
Compare yield and FEMA exposure →
Households arrive mainly from: Pierce County · King County · Lewis County · Mason County · Grays Harbor County
10,888 in − 9,741 out = 1,147 net
Direct market links

Where tax-return households moved from and to

These are the largest flows where both counties map to a RentMarker market area. They are a documented subset of the all-US IRS totals above.

Explore every route
Leading inbound markets
  1. Seattle, WA3,383 arriving
  2. Centralia, WA483 arriving
  3. Portland, OR362 arriving
Leading outbound markets
  1. Seattle, WA2,667 leaving
  2. Centralia, WA558 leaving
  3. Shelton, WA366 leaving
The other side

What would make this a bad buy

Generated from the same figures with the instruction to argue against the score, and published unedited. A page that only agrees with itself is an advertisement.

Three ways the case breaks

  1. CES employment grew only 0.15% year over year, providing little measured job momentum for the investment case.
  2. The 4.69% gross yield excludes property-specific operating and financing costs, which are not published.
  3. Earthquake is the dominant hazard, and the record does not publish property-level insurance or retrofit costs.
Statistical peers

Market areas that behave like Olympia

Nearest neighbours on price level, income, yield and job growth — not on geography. Every market page gets a different peer set, which is the point.

Market areaScorePriceRentYieldJob Growth
Olympia, WA (Target)39$534k$2,0844.7%▲ 0.1%
Fort Collins, CO42$558k$1,9504.2%▲ 0.3%
Vallejo, CA39$580k$2,4385.0%▲ 0.5%
Portland, ME49$550k$2,3525.1%▲ 0.3%
Burlington, VT38$476k$2,0855.3%▼ 0.5%
Provenance

Where every figure came from

“Checked nightly” means every source is re-pulled and re-verified each night. It does not mean every source moves nightly — the release column tells you how fresh each number can possibly be.

Dataset SourceMethodRelease PeriodPulled Date
Census ACS 5-year — household income and gross rentdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-08-05
Census ACS 5-year — historical household incomedirectACS 2019 and 2024 5-year2026-08-05
Census ACS 5-year — populationdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-26
Apartment List Rent Estimates — recent-lease rent indexdirectApartment List 2026-072026-08-08
Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquiditydirectApartment List 2026-072026-08-08
Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancydirectApartment List 2026-072026-08-08
BEA County Personal Income — income and populationdirect2024 County Personal Income (released 2026-02-05); history 1969-20242026-08-03
BEA Regional Price Parities — metropolitan price levelsdirect2024 Regional Price Parities (released 2026-02-19); history 2008-20242026-08-03
BLS CES — payroll employmentdirectCES SM current2026-07-26
BLS LAUS — resident employmentdirectLAUS current2026-07-26
BLS OEWS — occupation employment and wagesdirectMay 2025 OEWS estimates (released 2026-05-15)2026-08-03
BLS QCEW — county employment and wagesdirectannual county employment and wages 2021-2025; latest 2025 vs 20242026-08-02
OMB/BLS delineation — metro geographydirectOMB July 2023 delineation2026-07-30
Census Building Permits Survey — permitted unitsdirectBPS through 20262026-07-26
Census ACS 5-year — city population, households and housingdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-29
Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stockdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-30
Census ACS 5-year — cities and communitiesdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-30
Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and incomedirectACS 2024 5-year ZCTA2026-08-08
FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratiosmodelledNRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS)2026-07-26
FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciationdirectannual county HPI history 1975-2025; latest 20252026-08-02
HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy typedirectHMDA 2024 purchase originations2026-07-26
HUD CHAS — renter burden by HAMFI income banddirectHUD CHAS 2018-2022 ACS 5-year (released 2025-12-23)2026-08-03
HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standarddirectFY2026 FMR2026-07-26
HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallbackdirectZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY20262026-07-26
HUD-USPS ZIP-to-county residential-address crosswalkdirectHUD-USPS 2026Q12026-08-09
IRS SOI — county migration and mover incomedirectSOI migration 2022-20232026-07-26
Freddie Mac PMMS — mortgage ratesdirectweek of 2026-07-302026-08-06
Census ACS 5-year — effective property taxdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-08-06
Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventorydirectcounty inventory 2026-062026-07-28
Realtor.com Rental Report — top-50 asking rentsdirecttop-50 rental asking rents 2026-052026-08-05
Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cutsdirectmetro tracker through 2026-05-012026-07-26
Redfin Data Center — ZIP resale activity and supplydirectZIP rolling 3 months through 2026-06-30; updated 2026-07-032026-08-12
USDA ERS — Rural-Urban Continuum CodesdirectUSDA ERS 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes2026-08-02
Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rentsdirectcounty ZHVI/ZORI 2026-062026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI — metro home valuesdirectMetro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI — city home valuesdirectzillow_zhvi_city.csv2026-07-29
Zillow ZORI — metro market rentsdirectMetro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Zillow ZORI — city market rentsdirectzillow_zori_city.csv2026-07-29
Zillow ZORI - metro market rents, not seasonally adjusteddirectMetro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv2026-08-15
Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rentsdirectZORI ZIP 2026-062026-08-08