States / New Hampshire
State rental intelligence

New Hampshire rental market data

A source-traced view across 5 metro markets and 10 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

5/5 metros scored10/10 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro50.0out of 100 · 5 measured metros
New Hampshire identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$520kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$2,006monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield4.9%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.6%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Rents rose 1.4 percentage points faster than home values across New Hampshire's five measured metros, yet a 0.6% median job decline and uneven resale liquidity keep the spread from being a clean demand signal.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Median asking-rent growth was 4.36% across the five measured metros, compared with 2.96% median home-value growth. Laconia shows the sharpest named split: rent rose 11.25% while value rose 2.96%. That income-side strength comes with an important counterweight: Laconia also had 6 months of supply, 45 median days on market and price drops on 22.99% of listings.

Screen rental income and resale risk separately. Aggregate net migration was positive across the 10 counties with data, but measured metro employment had a negative median change, so the demand indicators conflict. The packet also cannot determine whether county vacancies represent usable long-term rentals, whether asking rents are being achieved on signed leases, or whether gross yields survive property-level taxes, insurance, maintenance and capital work.

01

4.36% median rent growth versus 2.96% home-value growth → test whether lease-level income can support acquisition pricing without relying on appreciation

02

Laconia's 11.25% rent growth alongside 6 months of supply and a 99.02% sale-to-list ratio → use separate assumptions for rental income and resale liquidity

03

A 0.59% median metro job decline alongside aggregate net migration of 2,168 → require submarket-specific employer and tenant evidence because the demand indicators conflict

04

A 48.47% median renter-burden rate and 26.13% median renter share across counties → screen both rent-payment capacity and the depth of the local tenant pool

05

A 4.87% median gross yield with a 1.78% median effective property-tax rate → convert gross yield to property-level net income before comparing opportunities

01
Price and rent momentum

Laconia's rent jump far outstrips its value growth

Across five measured metros, rent growth had a 4.36% median and a 2.78% to 8.65% measured range from the 10th to 90th percentile. Home-value growth was narrower and slower: a 2.96% median and a 1.89% to 3.61% range. The supplied difference between the medians is 1.4 percentage points, supporting an income-growth screen more than an appreciation-led one.

Laconia's asking rent was $2,003 and its measured home value was $520,202. Rent growth of 11.25% exceeded value growth of 2.96% by 8.29 percentage points, calculated from the two supplied rates, while gross yield was 4.62%. That spread is notable, but gross yield does not account for operating expenses or confirm that the rent increase is being realized on new and renewed leases.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Supply and resale conditions

Laconia's six-month supply weakens a simple scarcity reading

Liquidity data cover four measured metros. Their medians were 3.1 months of supply, 41 days on market, price drops on 22.58% of listings and a 100.02% sale-to-list ratio. Those medians do not indicate one uniform state market; the local combinations differ materially.

Laconia had 6 months of supply, 45 median days on market, price drops on 22.99% of listings and a 99.02% sale-to-list ratio. It also had 6.62 permitted units per 1,000 residents. Concord was tighter at 2.5 months of supply and 37 days on market, with a 100.89% sale-to-list ratio and 3.63 permits per 1,000. Acquisition screens should therefore use local exit assumptions, while treating permits as pipeline evidence rather than completed competing units.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

03
Employment and household movement

Positive migration offsets, but does not erase, weak payroll readings

Employment change across five measured metros had a negative 0.59% median, with the 10th-to-90th-percentile range running from a 1.07% decline to 0.45% growth. The named markets were mixed: Laconia grew 0.7%, Keene grew 0.08% and Concord declined 0.59%. A statewide demand conclusion would obscure that dispersion.

Across the 10 counties with migration data, aggregate net migration was positive by 2,168 people, or 1.55 per 1,000 residents. Reported aggregate mover income inflow exceeded outflow by $176,212. This is a genuine counter-signal to the payroll median, but the measures come from different datasets and vintages and do not establish rental household formation, tenant incomes or absorption in a specific property submarket.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

04
Housing stock and tenant conditions

High county vacancy coexists with renter strain and limited renter depth

Across 10 measured counties, the median housing vacancy rate was 19.52%, with a wide 7.18% to 33.82% range from the 10th to 90th percentile. The median renter share was 26.13%, while 48.47% of renters were cost-burdened at the 30%-or-more threshold. A 71.22% median single-family share further indicates that the measured stock is not predominantly conventional multifamily rental housing.

Carroll County had a 45.95% vacancy rate, but renters represented only 16.65% of households and single-family homes represented 80.74% of stock. Sullivan County combined 24.32% vacancy with a 53.73% renter-burden rate. ACS vacancy covers all vacant housing and does not identify which units are available for year-round rental, so property screening still needs local long-term inventory and tenant-depth evidence.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

05
Entry cost and affordability

Keene's lower entry price lifts gross yield only modestly

Across five measured metros, the median home value was $520,202, median asking rent was $2,006 and median gross yield was 4.87%. The measured gross-yield range from the 10th to 90th percentile was 4.7% to 5.23%. Median price-to-income was 5.14, median rent-to-income was 25.29%, and asking rent was 101.6% of the applicable two-bedroom HUD Fair Market Rent, with a 95.28% to 127.86% measured range.

Keene combined a $399,248 value, $1,756 rent, 5.28% gross yield and 4.79 price-to-income ratio. Manchester's corresponding figures were $531,097, $2,156, 4.87% and 5.13. Keene's lower entry cost improves the gross ratio, but the packet contains no property-level operating expenses, financing terms or capital-needs figures from which to derive net return.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

06
Physical risk and property tax

Inland flood leads every county hazard label, while tax burdens vary

The median measured effective property-tax rate across 10 counties was 1.78%, with a 1.28% to 2.14% range from the 10th to 90th percentile. Median tax was $5,986.50, and the corresponding measured range was $3,821.10 to $7,083. Coos County illustrates why rate and dollar burden should be checked separately: its rate was 1.9%, while median tax was $3,579. Carroll County's figures were 0.99% and $3,848.

Inland flood was the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label in all 10 counties. The median FEMA loss ratio was 0.162%, with a 0.133% to 0.221% measured range; Coos County was 0.246% and Carroll County was 0.187%. These county measures support location screening, but a leading-hazard label is not evidence that a particular parcel is exposed or that a quoted insurance premium will have a given cost.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for New Hampshire

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change1.9%3.0%3.6%Asking-rent change2.8%4.4%8.7%Rent minus price1.4%
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k1.92.65.4Months of supply2.0×3.1×5.3×Days on market31 days41 days45 daysListings with cuts19.9%22.6%23.5%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-1.1%-0.6%0.5%Net migration / 1k1.6Net household movement2,168
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution5 scored metros · median 50.0
00–19120–39340–59160–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
90%9/10Rent100%10/10Climate100%10/10Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Keene5.3%Boston5.2%Manchester4.9%Concord4.8%Laconia4.6%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching New Hampshire

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Laconia, NH61$520k$2,0034.6%▲ 0.7%
2Keene, NH54$399k$1,7565.3%▲ 0.1%
3Concord, NH50$499k$2,0064.8%▼ 0.6%
4Manchester, NH43$531k$2,1564.9%▼ 1.3%
5Boston, MA35$747k$3,2105.2%▼ 0.8%
Below the metro line

Largest counties in New Hampshire

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Hillsborough County, NH426,378$531k$2,1564.9%inland flooding
Rockingham County, NH319,082$637k$2,5634.8%inland flooding
Merrimack County, NH155,967$499k$2,0064.8%inland flooding
Strafford County, NH132,575$519k$2,1645.0%inland flooding
Grafton County, NH92,120$440k$2,3526.4%inland flooding
Cheshire County, NH77,297$399k$1,7565.3%inland flooding
Belknap County, NH64,659$520k$2,0034.6%inland flooding
Carroll County, NH51,804$516kn/an/ainland flooding
Sullivan County, NH43,715$392k$1,6965.2%inland flooding
Coos County, NH31,271$259k$1,2805.9%inland flooding
County yield sample9/10counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration+2,168IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share7.7%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Asking-rent and home-value series do not show achieved lease rents, concessions, transaction prices or renewal retention.
  2. Employment weakness could make recent rent growth a poor representation of durable tenant demand, while migration totals do not identify rental household formation.
  3. Permitted units may not be completed, but any completed supply could affect a submarket differently from the metro-level permit rate.
  4. County vacancy figures include vacant units that may not be available to year-round renters; interpreting them as usable rental inventory could reverse the screen.
  5. Liquidity metrics cover four metros, county rent metrics cover nine counties and listing metrics cover nine counties, leaving uneven coverage and no parcel-level expense, condition or insurance evidence.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are measured rents rising faster than home values?

Yes. Across five measured metros, median rent growth was 4.36% and median home-value growth was 2.96%, a supplied difference of 1.4 percentage points.

Does labor-market evidence confirm the rental momentum?

Not consistently. Median metro employment declined 0.59%, although Laconia and Keene posted growth and aggregate county migration was positive.

Which named metro most clearly requires conservative exit assumptions?

Laconia: it had 6 months of supply, 45 median days on market, price drops on 22.99% of listings and a 99.02% sale-to-list ratio.

Can high county vacancy be treated as abundant long-term rental supply?

No. Carroll County, for example, had 45.95% vacancy but only a 16.65% renter share. The ACS measure does not identify which vacant units are available for year-round rental.

Does the inland-flood label establish property-level exposure?

No. Inland flood is the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for each of the 10 counties, but parcel exposure, mitigation and insurance cost require property-specific evidence.