Curated market comparison

BostonWashington

High-cost East Coast alternatives with material differences in entry price, affordability, employment, supply and climate exposure.

Boston, MA cityscape
Washington, DC cityscape
Quick answer

Choose by objective, not by one blended winner

These are the published fit calls from the verified decision memo. Use the full evidence below to decide whether the trade-off matches your property plan.

BostonCash flow · Employment · Supply discipline
WashingtonAffordability · Climate risk
Deal-dependentNo objective led
Take the five-question market-fit quiz
Decision memo

The trade-off, before the charts

Figure-checked analysis generated from only these two published records. No appreciation forecast and no property-level expense assumptions.

Boston better fits a cash-flow screen, but only narrowly: its gross yield is 5.16% versus 5.02% in Washington, DC, while asking rent is $3,210 versus $2,448. That small yield edge comes with a much higher entry price, so buyers should require property-level confirmation that Boston’s stronger rent level survives neighborhood, vacancy and condition review.

Washington better fits affordability and climate-risk tolerance. Its median home value is $584,684, and its price-to-income measure is 4.62 versus Boston’s 6.44. Washington also has the lower climate loss ratio. Boston, however, better fits employment stability and supply discipline: jobs contracted less, while permits per 1,000 residents were 2.56 versus Washington’s 4.15. For a buyer, that means Boston offers less current labor-market deterioration and a lighter construction pipeline, but at a steeper acquisition basis.

The choice therefore depends on underwriting priorities rather than a universal ranking. Advance Boston when modestly higher gross yield, comparatively steadier employment and lower permitting intensity can justify the entry cost. Advance Washington when lower basis, stronger household affordability and lower modeled climate loss matter more, while applying greater scrutiny to job weakness and competing supply. Both markets had negative net migration, so neither deserves demand assumptions based solely on its headline advantages.

Evidence matrix

One question, two records

“n/a” means the current source did not publish a comparable value. It is never replaced with an estimate.

Decision evidenceBoston, MAWashington, DC
Composite scoresame published scoring framework35/10029/100
Median home valueZillow ZHVI$746,595$584,684
Median asking rentZillow ZORI$3,210$2,448
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ price5.2%5.0%
Price to household incomevalue ÷ ACS income6.44x4.62x
Annual job changeCES▼ 0.80%▼ 2.31%
Months of supplylatest Redfin period when publishedn/an/a
Net migrationIRS tax-return households−11,293−12,636
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.098%0.076%
Latest market momentum

Price and rent are not moving in lockstep

A shared zero-centred scale makes direction and magnitude comparable. This is a current annual change, not a forecast.

Latest annual home-value and asking-rent momentumBoston, MALATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE+1.7%ASKING RENT+2.5%-2.5%+2.5%Washington, DCLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-0.3%ASKING RENT0.0%-2.5%+2.5%
Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Score fingerprint

The same total can hide a different market

Direct labels replace hover tooltips, so the full comparison remains visible in static HTML and print.

Component score differencesBostonCOMPOSITE SCORE35/100same national frameworkWashingtonCOMPOSITE SCORE29/100same national frameworkCOMPONENT PROFILE0255075100Employment172gap 15Rent trend367gap 29Affordability860gap 52Supply discipline4820gap 28Climate safety8698gap 12BostonWashington
Component percentiles use the same national scoring population and published weights on both market pages. See the source ledger below for the releases behind each component.
Price and rent history

Two growth paths, rebased to the same start

Each panel starts at 100. End labels expose whether rents or prices moved farther without asking the reader to chase a legend.

Indexed price and rent historyBoston, MAHOME VALUE INDEX148RENT INDEX1319512315020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared yearWashington, DCHOME VALUE INDEX135RENT INDEX1269512315020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared year
Boston: price 148 · rent 131Washington: price 135 · rent 126Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26; Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Fit by objective

There is no universal winner

Five underwriting questions are kept in one decision ledger instead of five disconnected cards.

01
Cash flowBoston

Boston has the better headline cash-flow fit, with a 5.16% gross yield compared with 5.02% in Washington, DC. Boston’s median asking rent is also higher at $3,210, against $2,448 in Washington. For a buyer, the yield result supports screening Boston first for income, but the edge is narrow and gross yield excludes operating costs, vacancy, financing and property condition. Property-level rent evidence remains essential in both markets.

02
AffordabilityWashington

Washington, DC better fits an affordability mandate. Its median home value is $584,684 versus $746,595 in Boston, reducing the capital required before financing and closing considerations. Washington’s price-to-income measure is 4.62, compared with Boston’s 6.44, while rent-to-income is 23.19% versus 33.25%. For a buyer, Washington offers a lower entry hurdle and households appear to have more room to absorb prevailing rents.

03
EmploymentBoston

Boston better fits employment stability on the supplied CES measure, although neither market shows growth. Boston employment changed by -0.8% year over year, compared with -2.31% in Washington, DC. For a buyer, Boston’s smaller contraction provides the less adverse current backdrop for tenant demand and lease-up review. It does not establish future stability, and Washington properties tied to resilient local employers may still underwrite well after submarket and tenant-base analysis.

04
Supply disciplineBoston

Boston better fits supply discipline. It recorded 2.56 permits per 1,000 residents, compared with 4.15 in Washington, DC, while total permits were 12,696 and 26,238, respectively. For a buyer, Boston’s lower permitting intensity suggests less pipeline pressure to test against existing rentals. Washington requires closer mapping of permitted units around each asset because greater construction activity can affect concessions, occupancy and rent positioning, even though metro totals do not reveal timing or submarket concentration.

05
Climate riskWashington

Washington, DC better fits lower climate-risk tolerance on the supplied loss measure. Its climate loss ratio is 0.0759% of building value per year, versus 0.0984% for Boston; inland flood is the dominant hazard in both records. For a buyer, Washington begins with the lower modeled loss burden, but the metro result cannot replace parcel flood-zone, elevation, drainage and insurance review. Boston may still contain acceptable properties where site-specific exposure is limited.

Your priorities, verified evidence

Which market fits your plan?

Answer five questions to reweight the published fit calls above. Your answers change the emphasis—not the evidence, figures or market scores.

Question 1 of 5Cash flow
How important is current income in your market decision?

Choose how much the published cash-flow fit should influence your result.

Income and pressure

Where the trade-off becomes visible

Yield and jobs answer a different question than supply and migration. The page keeps both views separate instead of blending them into one score.

Income × employment

Gross yield against job growth

Gross yield and job growth positionBostonGROSS YIELD5.2%JOB CHANGE-0.8%WashingtonGROSS YIELD5.0%JOB CHANGE-2.3%MORE JOB MOMENTUMHIGHER YIELD + JOBSLOWER ON BOTH AXESMORE CURRENT YIELDBostonWashington4.5%5.7%GROSS YIELD - HIGHER TO THE RIGHT0.0%-3.1%
A position chart, not a forecast.Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26BLS CES — payroll employment · CES SM current · pulled 2026-07-26
Supply × demand

Capacity and household flow

Supply and migration balanceSUPPLY DISCIPLINEcomponent score and current listing supply0100Bostonlisting supply n/a48/100Washingtonlisting supply n/a20/100NET HOUSEHOLD MIGRATIONIRS tax-return householdsOUTFLOW0INFLOWBostonnet tax-return households-11,293Washingtonnet tax-return households-12,636
Supply and IRS migration remain separate measures.Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · BPS through 2026 · pulled 2026-07-26Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts · metro tracker through 2026-05-01 · pulled 2026-07-26IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26
Migration quality, not just volume

Adjust the flow for market size and mover income

Raw migration rewards a larger metro by construction. The rate below divides net mover tax returns by ACS population; the income bars then compare the adjusted gross income reported by arrivals and departures.

Migration volume adjusted for population and mover income qualityBoston, MANET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS-2.3PER 1,000 RESIDENTS-11,293 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$92,821LEAVING$119,210ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI-$26,389Washington, DCNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS-2.0PER 1,000 RESIDENTS-12,636 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$86,769LEAVING$103,550ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI-$16,781
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — population · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-26“Per 1,000 residents” is a transparent normalization, not a published IRS rate.
Underwriting boundary

What this comparison cannot decide

Market evidence narrows the search. It does not price a roof, an insurance policy, a loan or a specific lease.

  1. Gross yield is a screening measure, not property cash flow. It does not include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, management, financing or capital work, so Boston’s narrow headline advantage should not determine bidding limits.
  2. Permit totals and permits per 1,000 residents do not show completion dates, unit type or proximity to a target property. Washington’s higher pipeline therefore warrants submarket mapping rather than an automatic rejection.
  3. Both markets show net out-migration: -11,293 tax-return households in Boston and -12,636 in Washington, DC. Underwriting should test neighborhood demand and tenant sources instead of assuming metro rents or employment conditions apply uniformly.
From metro to local evidence

Open the counties inside each market

Metro averages can hide large local differences. These links are ordered by published ACS population and lead to county price, rent, listings, migration, investor and hazard evidence.