FIPS 51059 · population 1,147,837 · part of Washington, DC
The latest county-level Zillow ZORI is $2,542 per month in 2026-06. It is a typical asking-rent index across rental types—not an arithmetic average, signed lease or quote for one property.
| Bedrooms | HUD monthly FMR | Geography | Measurement boundary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studio | $1,953 | Fairfax County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 1 bedroom | $2,015 | Fairfax County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 2 bedrooms | $2,246 | Fairfax County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 3 bedrooms | $2,835 | Fairfax County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 4 bedrooms | $3,332 | Fairfax County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
Zillow asking rent, ACS gross rent and HUD FMR describe different housing universes. They remain separate and no metro, city or neighboring-county value replaces missing county evidence.Zillow pulled 2026-07-26 · HUD pulled 2026-07-26
Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.
Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.
Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.
Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2021-2025; latest 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-08-02. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.
HUD CHAS separates renter households by income relative to local HAMFI. Moderate burden means housing costs above 30% through 50% of income; severe burden means more than 50%.
These Apartment List observations match the exact county Census code 51059. They are kept separate from Zillow asking rent, Census occupied-home rent and wider metro measures.
Monthly overall-rent index; missing observations are not filled from another geography.
Fairfax County presents a pricing-to-income tension: Zillow’s county median home value is $779,439 while a published market asking-rent series supports only a 3.91% gross yield before costs. Buyers relying on near-term cash flow should be cautious; investors willing to test property-level rent durability and expenses should investigate. Both Zillow price and rent observations declined year over year, so the record does not show a current income tailwind.
The market asking rent is $2,542 per month. HUD Fair Market Rent is a payment standard, not an estimate of asking rent, and should not replace the measured market-rent input. FHFA’s annual repeat-transaction HPI gained 2.1%; it is an appreciation index rather than a home value and cannot be merged with Zillow’s differently dated direction into one growth rate. The 1.01% effective property-tax rate and $7,368 median annual tax make the pre-cost yield more sensitive to carrying costs.
Realtor.com’s MLS evidence shows visible supply rose 12.1% year over year and 14.69% of listings had price reductions. These are supply and seller-concession indicators, not closed-sale prices or proof of buyer demand. Net tax-return migration was negative 4,764, while departing movers reported average income $7,022 above arrivals. Investors made 670 of 10,966 mortgage purchases, a calculated 6.11% share, so their participation is measurable but does not establish exit liquidity. QCEW annual covered workplace employment declined 0.32%; Professional and business services accounted for 40.86% of private covered jobs, describing workplace concentration rather than resident employment.
Inland flood is the stated dominant hazard. Modeled annual climate loss equals 0.09% of building value, which warrants pairing the county hazard signal with parcel-specific flood review but is not a property loss estimate. Missing flood-zone and elevation data, insurance quotes and deductibles, prior losses, condition, operating expenses, vacancy, debt terms, and closed-sale comparables prevent a parcel-level flood-cost, net-cash-flow, or acquisition-value conclusion.
This view uses 12 direct Zillow ZIP markets matched to Census ZCTAs. Each ZIP is assigned by its largest HUD residential county share; this is not an exhaustive county inventory.
Fairfax County's selected direct-evidence ZIP/ZCTA matches show a meaningful, decision-relevant current rent spread rather than a single local price point. Zillow's June 2026 ZORI, a typical observed asking-rent index, runs from $2,044 to $2,775 per month—a $731 spread—with a selected-set median of $2,463, versus the county ZORI of $2,542. This dispersion is material for search budgeting. The practical decision is therefore not to treat the county figure as a quoted unit price, but to determine whether a specific available unit, its bedroom count, lease terms, and total monthly charges fit the household's budget within this observed range.
Zillow, ACS, and HUD should remain parallel reference points, not be blended into one rent estimate. ACS five-year ZCTA median gross rent ranges from $1,710 to $2,497, while the county ACS median is $2,276; these are survey estimates of a different measure and period than ZORI. HUD's two-bedroom FMR ranges from $1,990 to $3,040, compared with a county FMR of $2,246, and functions as an administrative standard rather than asking rent. The reported ratio of Zillow's asking-rent index to HUD's two-bedroom FMR spans 87.0% to 139.4%, a useful screening contrast but not an equivalence between the series. They have separate construction, timing, and policy use.
Budget pressure and vacancy do not rank places the same way. The selected ZCTA burden share for renters paying 30% or more of income spans 34.6% to 64.7%, against the county estimate of 45.5%. ZIP 22309 anchors the high end: its Zillow-based 30%-of-income screen is $111,000 annually, above its $107,376 ACS median household income. That comparison is a screening test across distinct measures, not evidence of any household's income or payment. Vacancy ranges from 2.5% to 7.5%, versus 3.7% countywide; at ZIP 22102, the high end of vacancy coexists with a 35.2% burden share. Neither result says which units are vacant or affordable to a given household. Vacancy should be checked alongside actual availability and terms, not treated as proof of lower cost or easier access.
Coverage and geography set the boundary on these findings. The display contains 12 selected direct-evidence ZIP/ZCTA matches from 34 eligible matches and covers 72,922 renter households; it is not a full county inventory. The selection is ordered by renter households under the stated rule. ZCTAs are statistical Census areas, not USPS delivery ZIPs. Because ZIPs can cross county lines, the packet assigns each display ZIP to Fairfax County by its largest HUD residential-address share, which is as low as 65.2% among those shown. Before acting, verify the property address, bedroom configuration, asking price, utilities and fees, availability date, lease conditions, income qualification, and any applicable program rules.
34 ZIP profiles passed the county gate; the 12 with the most renter households are shown.
| ZIP / ZCTA | Zillow asking rent | ACS gross rent | HUD 2BR | Burden 30%+ | Vacancy | Income screen | HUD county share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22030 | $2,466 | $2,279 | $2,640 | 48.8% | 2.5% | $99k | 65.2% |
| 20171 | $2,485 | $2,304 | $2,660 | 40.4% | 3.9% | $99k | 100.0% |
| 22031 | $2,460 | $2,258 | $2,720 | 41.8% | 3.9% | $98k | 82.6% |
| 22102 | $2,644 | $2,497 | $3,040 | 35.2% | 7.5% | $106k | 100.0% |
| 20190 | $2,647 | $2,307 | $2,510 | 34.6% | 6.9% | $106k | 100.0% |
| 22033 | $2,361 | $2,339 | $2,710 | 42.2% | 2.6% | $94k | 100.0% |
| 22003 | $2,468 | $2,008 | $2,250 | 52.2% | 3.0% | $99k | 100.0% |
| 22306 | $2,044 | $1,710 | $2,030 | 41.1% | 6.8% | $82k | 100.0% |
| 22041 | $2,377 | $1,950 | $2,190 | 57.0% | 4.1% | $95k | 100.0% |
| 22312 | $2,104 | $2,020 | $2,290 | 47.8% | 7.3% | $84k | 67.2% |
| 22309 | $2,775 | $1,781 | $1,990 | 64.7% | 3.8% | $111k | 100.0% |
| 20170 | $2,413 | $2,331 | $2,460 | 37.3% | 3.4% | $97k | 100.0% |
Open a five-digit report for asking rent, affordability, rent history and resale liquidity. Each row keeps its ZIP/ZCTA measurement scope.
| ZIP report | City label | Zillow rent | 1Y change | ACS burden 30%+ | Population |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZIP 22030 rental reportFairfax County | Fairfax, VA | $2,466 | ▼ 1.0% | 48.8% | 61,332 |
| ZIP 22031 rental reportFairfax County | Fairfax, VA | $2,460 | ▼ 0.4% | 41.8% | 37,276 |
| ZIP 22033 rental reportFairfax County | Fairfax, VA | $2,361 | ▼ 1.3% | 42.2% | 39,526 |
| ZIP 22306 rental reportFairfax County | Alexandria, VA | $2,044 | ▼ 2.5% | 41.1% | 30,602 |
Zillow ZORI is an asking-rent index. ACS burden and population describe the Census ZCTA; missing observations remain n/a.
Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.
Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.
0.087% of building value expected lost per year
$7,368 median annual bill
38,617 in · 43,381 out
$104,968 arriving · $111,990 leaving
670 of 10,966 mortgages
Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.
A metro is an average of these. Which side of a county line a property sits on can change the tax bill, the hazard profile and the tenant pool.
| County | Population | Price | Rent | Yield | Hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfax County | 1,147,837 | $779k | $2,542 | 3.9% | inland flooding |
| Montgomery County | 1,065,949 | $627k | $2,346 | 4.5% | inland flooding |
| Prince George's County | 959,754 | $434k | $1,951 | 5.4% | inland flooding |
| District of Columbia | 681,294 | $579k | $2,532 | 5.2% | inland flooding |
| Prince William County | 488,880 | $592k | $2,282 | 4.6% | inland flooding |
| Loudoun County | 432,998 | $810k | $2,917 | 4.3% | inland flooding |
| Frederick County | 287,048 | $509k | $2,217 | 5.2% | inland flooding |
| Arlington County | 236,254 | $824k | $2,722 | 4.0% | inland flooding |
| Charles County | 170,527 | $454k | $2,328 | 6.2% | inland flooding |
It provides a median asking market-rent measure and separately identifies HUD Fair Market Rent as a payment standard.
It establishes movement in a repeat-transaction appreciation index, not a dollar home value or a Zillow-equivalent growth measure.
No. It is defined as the share of purchase mortgages made to non-occupants.