Counties / Texas / Ellis County

Ellis County, TX

FIPS 48139 · population 213,160 · part of Dallas, TX

$376k
Zillow home value · 2026-06
Direct county rent answer

What does rent cost in Ellis County, TX?

The latest county-level Zillow ZORI is $1,827 per month in 2026-06. It is a typical asking-rent index across rental types—not an arithmetic average, signed lease or quote for one property.

County Zillow ZORI$1,8272026-06 · up 0.5% year over year
County ACS gross rent$1,594ACS 2024 5-year · occupied-renter survey
HUD two-bedroom FMR$1,931FY2026 · administrative standard
HUD Fair Market Rent by bedroom count in Ellis County
BedroomsHUD monthly FMRGeographyMeasurement boundary
Studio$1,582Ellis County, TXHUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent.
1 bedroom$1,648Ellis County, TXHUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent.
2 bedrooms$1,931Ellis County, TXHUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent.
3 bedrooms$2,431Ellis County, TXHUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent.
4 bedrooms$3,091Ellis County, TXHUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent.

Zillow asking rent, ACS gross rent and HUD FMR describe different housing universes. They remain separate and no metro, city or neighboring-county value replaces missing county evidence.Zillow pulled 2026-07-26 · HUD pulled 2026-07-26

The numbers

What this county costs and earns

Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.

Zillow home value
$376k
▼ 1.3% year over year
Zillow ZHVI · direct
Median asking rent
$1,827
▲ 0.5% year over year
Zillow ZORI · direct
Gross yield
5.8%
annual rent ÷ price, before costs
derived: rent × 12 ÷ price ✓
HUD 2-bed standard
$1,931
market rent is 0.95x the standard
HUD Fair Market Rent · direct
Independent price check

Do two methods point the same way?

Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.

Both annual signals move in the same direction
FHFA five-year cumulative+49.5%not annualized · through 2025
0%ZILLOW ZHVI2026-06−1.3%FHFA HPI2025−0.3%
Annual changes use different methods and may use different periods. The comparison checks direction and magnitude; it does not create a blended estimate. Zillow county ZHVI pulled 2026-07-26; FHFA annual county HPI pulled 2026-08-02.
Owner-reported value$349k
Surveyed gross rent$1,594
Rent burden 30%+50.5%
Median year built2002
Housing composition

Who occupies the stock—and what it is

ACS 2024 5-year
4.9%vacant
75,422estimated housing units
Occupied tenure24.2% renter
owner 75.8%renter 24.2%
Structure mix80.2% single-family
Single-family 80.2%20+ units 4.8%Mobile home 7.5%Other 7.4%
ACS estimates describe the standing housing stock and occupied tenure. They do not measure current listings, transaction prices or asking rents.

Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.

Annual average covered jobs64,549▲ 2.9% from the prior annual release
Covered establishments4,030annual average reporting locations
Average weekly wage$1,141▲ 2.4% from the prior annual release
Largest private supersectorTrade, transportation, and utilities26.6% of disclosed private covered jobs
Local labor base

Jobs, pay and private-sector concentration

2025
0%COVERED JOBS+2.9%WEEKLY WAGE+2.4%Trade, transportation, and utilities26.6%
Annual QCEW counts cover jobs located at reporting establishments. The industry share uses disclosed private covered employment; it is not a resident-employment measure or a forecast.

Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2021-2025; latest 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-08-02. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.

Resident income

How local income has compounded

BEA per-capita personal income divides all personal income by the county population. It is broader than wages, but it is not household income or a measure of what renters can afford.

Per-capita personal income19692024
Per-capita personal income history for Ellis CountyA line chart of annual BEA per-capita personal income from 1969 through 2024.$0k$30k$60k196919972024$3k$59k
Nominal annual dollars; not adjusted for inflation. A rising line can reflect wage, business-income, transfer-income and investment-income changes together.
Renter affordability

Who carries the heaviest rent burden

HUD CHAS separates renter households by income relative to local HAMFI. Moderate burden means housing costs above 30% through 50% of income; severe burden means more than 50%.

Share of renter households in each income band2018-2022
Renter cost burden by HAMFI income band in Ellis CountyFive horizontal bars show moderate and severe housing cost burden shares among renter households in each HUD income band.0%25%50%75%100%At or below 30% HAMFI3,15578.0% burdened30–50% HAMFI2,86082.9% burdened50–80% HAMFI3,70550.9% burdened80–100% HAMFI2,22018.2% burdenedAbove 100% HAMFI3,9000.8% burdened
Moderate: >30% to 50%Severe: >50%
Each percentage uses HUD’s published subtotal for that income band. For disclosure, HUD keeps 0 as 0, publishes 1–7 households as 4 and rounds 8 or more to the nearest 5. Independently rounded categories can differ from their displayed sum and are not forced into a percentage.
Direct local rental evidence

Recent leases and rental-market liquidity in Ellis County, TX

These Apartment List observations match the exact county Census code 48139. They are kept separate from Zillow asking rent, Census occupied-home rent and wider metro measures.

Direct recent-lease rent history

Monthly overall-rent index; missing observations are not filled from another geography.

$1,549$1,439$1,3292021-082026-07
Recent-lease rent$1,5072026-07 · -0.9% year over year
Rental vacancy8.7%2026-07 · +0.7 percentage points year over year
Time on marketn/an/a
County brief

What the local evidence says

01Decision frame

Ellis County presents a cash-flow-versus-price-discovery tension: income-led underwriting merits investigation, while appreciation-sensitive underwriting deserves caution. Zillow’s 2026-06 county median home value was $375,985, down 1.29% year over year. Median asking market rent was $1,827 per month and the supplied pretax gross yield was 5.83%. That yield is based on market rent before costs, not a property-level income result.

02Housing economics

Carrying costs are the decisive qualification. The effective property-tax rate is 1.35%, but county value, rent and tax measures are not matched properties, so they cannot produce a tax-adjusted yield for a specific home. HUD’s two-bedroom FMR is a payment standard, not asking rent, and cannot replace the measured market rent. FHFA’s 2025 repeat-transaction HPI fell 0.27% annually, directionally consistent with Zillow’s decline, but it has a different period and method; the series must not be averaged.

03Demand & competition

Demand and buyer competition are mixed rather than proven. QCEW reports annual covered employment at county workplaces, with Trade, transportation, and utilities the largest disclosed private supersector; it is not resident employment, unemployment or a forecast, and its average wage is not household income. Net migration was 2,817 tax-return households, while entering movers’ average AGI exceeded leavers’ by $8,558. Non-occupant purchase mortgages were 4.92% of 4,207 purchases, a limited recorded financed-investor footprint rather than a measure of all buyer competition.

04Risk & next checks

Realtor.com’s 2026-06 MLS evidence adds negotiation risk: active listings declined 6.93% yet 24.38% of listings had price reductions, while marketing time was unchanged. Those are visible supply, seller-concession and marketing indicators—not closed-sale prices or proof of buyer demand. The modeled expected annual building-value loss is 0.09%, consistent with inland flood as dominant hazard, but it is county-level. Property-level rent comps, vacancy, operating expenses, flood-zone and insurance evidence, condition, debt terms and closed-sale comps are not published; their absence prevents net-cash-flow, resale and parcel-loss underwriting.

Cities & communities

Where people live within Ellis County

Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.

Population scale

Largest Census places

ACS 2024 5-year
Grand Prairie city*201.9KMansfield city*77.5KCedar Hill city*48.9KWaxahachie city45.3KMidlothian city39.4KEnnis city22.6KGlenn Heights city*18.1KRed Oak city17.1K
Bars use total place population, not a county-share estimate. An asterisk marks a place that crosses a county line.
Official directory

21 Census places

Population
  1. 01
    Grand Prairie cityIncorporated place · spans 3 counties
    201,883
  2. 02
    Mansfield cityIncorporated place · spans 3 counties
    77,510
  3. 03
    Cedar Hill cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    48,879
  4. 04
    Waxahachie cityIncorporated place
    45,347
  5. 05
    Midlothian cityIncorporated place
    39,356
  6. 06
    Ennis cityIncorporated place
    22,588
  7. 07
    Glenn Heights cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    18,096
  8. 08
    Red Oak cityIncorporated place
    17,077
  9. 09
    Venus townIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    6,745
  10. 10
    Ovilla cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    4,375
  11. 11
    Ferris cityIncorporated place · spans 2 counties
    3,238
  12. 12
    Palmer townIncorporated place
    2,515
Show 9 more places
  1. 13
    Italy townIncorporated place
    2,372
  2. 14
    Oak Leaf cityIncorporated place
    1,827
  3. 15
    Garrett townIncorporated place
    1,260
  4. 16
    Milford townIncorporated place
    966
  5. 17
    Bardwell cityIncorporated place
    963
  6. 18
    Maypearl cityIncorporated place
    907
  7. 19
    Pecan Hill cityIncorporated place
    723
  8. 20
    Bristol CDPCensus-designated place
    649
  9. 21
    Alma townIncorporated place
    541

Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.

Risk, demand and competition

The three things a price does not tell you

01
Risk & carrying costFEMA NRI + Census ACS
Dominant hazardinland flooding

0.093% of building value expected lost per year

Effective property tax1.35%

$4,697 median annual bill

02
DemandIRS SOI household flows
Net migration+2,817

8,851 in · 6,034 out

Arriving vs leaving income+$8,558

$69,940 arriving · $61,382 leaving

03
CompetitionHMDA financed purchases
Purchases by investors4.9%

207 of 4,207 mortgages

investorother financed
Current listing pressure

What sellers and visible supply are doing

Realtor.com® Economic Research · county inventory 2026-06 · pulled 2026-07-28
Active listings948▼ 6.9% year over year
Median days on market56▲ 0.0% year over year
Listings price-reduced24.4%seller-concession signal
Median listing pricen/a▲ 2.8% year over year

Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.

Same metro

The other counties in Dallas, TX

A metro is an average of these. Which side of a county line a property sits on can change the tax bill, the hazard profile and the tenant pool.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Ellis County213,160$376k$1,8275.8%inland flooding
Dallas County2,621,179$312k$1,6466.3%inland flooding
Tarrant County2,167,390$326k$1,6396.0%inland flooding
Collin County1,163,337$487k$1,7364.3%inland flooding
Denton County979,561$444k$1,7064.6%inland flooding
Johnson County195,597$344k$1,5735.5%inland flooding
Kaufman County172,604$300k$1,8567.4%inland flooding
Parker County165,168$448k$1,6184.3%inland flooding
Rockwall County123,617$416k$1,9625.7%inland flooding
Bear case

What can break the county thesis

  1. Property-specific taxes, insurance, repairs, vacancy and operating expenses could reduce or eliminate the published pretax yield.
  2. Migration and covered-workplace employment evidence may not translate into demand for the target property type or rent level.
  3. County-level flood-loss modeling may differ materially from parcel hazard, insurance availability and actual loss exposure.
Underwriting questions

Before pricing a property

Is HUD Fair Market Rent the same as the county’s measured asking rent?

No. HUD FMR is a two-bedroom payment standard, while the record separately publishes median asking market rent.

Can the supplied gross yield be treated as net cash flow?

No. It is a pretax gross yield based on market rent before property taxes, insurance, vacancy, repairs, financing and other operating costs.

Does the investor-share measure capture all investor buying?

No. It measures purchase mortgages to non-occupants and does not establish the full level of investor or cash-buyer competition.