All homes and bedroom counts
RENTAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Jefferson City, MO
Jefferson City merits investigation by buyers comfortable underwriting a 4.43% gross yield and inland-flood exposure; those requiring a higher starting yield or lower water risk should avoid it.
Median price$281k
Median rent$1,037
Gross yield4.4%
Job growth▲ 0.7%
Composite Market ScoreRank #11 of 571 scored US market areas
Direct rental answer
How much is rent in Jefferson City, MO?
Zillow's metro-wide Observed Rent Index is $1,037 per month for 2026-06-30. That is up 6.73% from a year earlier.
Occupied rental units paying rent
Two-bedroom standard
These figures are not averaged together. Zillow and Realtor describe asking-rent markets, ACS measures rent paid by surveyed households, and HUD publishes administrative bedroom standards.
Exact county schedules
HUD rent benchmarks inside Jefferson City
Every row keeps its own county FIPS schedule. No county is selected as a metro proxy and no synthetic metro FMR is calculated.
| County | Studio | 1 BR | 2 BR | 3 BR | 4 BR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole County, MOFIPS 29051 | $689 | $694 | $910 | $1,266 | $1,379 |
| Callaway County, MOFIPS 29027 | $789 | $794 | $1,042 | $1,249 | $1,472 |
| Moniteau County, MOFIPS 29135 | $698 | $703 | $922 | $1,260 | $1,413 |
| Osage County, MOFIPS 29151 | $689 | $694 | $910 | $1,266 | $1,379 |
The read
Why this market scores where it does
Jefferson City merits investigation by buyers comfortable underwriting a 4.43% gross yield and inland-flood exposure; those requiring a higher starting yield or lower water risk should avoid it. Median asking rent is $1,037 against a $281,125 home value.
Asking rent rose 6.73% while home value rose 6.55%, but CES employment increased just 0.74%. This mix shows better rent momentum than job momentum, without proving that rent gains will persist. Rent equals 16.81% of median household income and home value equals 3.8 times income; those ratios are the clearest affordability opportunity in the record.
For acquisitions, supply is tight at 1.5 months and median market time is 12 days, yet 29.8% of listings had price drops; competition and seller repricing coexist. Inland flood is the dominant hazard, and the annual climate loss ratio is 0.1502%, making property-level water exposure the main diligence risk.
Frequently Asked Investor Questions
How tight is the for-sale market?
Inventory was 1.5 months, median days on market was 12, and 29.8% of listings had price drops.
Is household migration positive, and what income mix does it show?
Tax filings show 2,997 households moved in and 2,847 moved out, for net migration of 150; average mover income was $50,899 inbound and $51,327 outbound, a -$428 gap.
How much investor participation is recorded?
Non-occupants accounted for 14.8% of purchase mortgages, and total purchases were 1,831.
Investor Quick Takeaways
Gross Yield: 4.4%
Computed from the current Zillow rent and home-value medians.
Rent Momentum: ▲ 6.73%
Zillow ZORI rent growth trend over trailing 12 months.
Investor Activity: 14.8%
Originated investment purchase share (CFPB HMDA).
Climate Exposure: FEMA NRI
Annualized loss ratio evaluated for flood & hurricane risk.
Put the evidence to work
Test the market, then test the deal
Keep Jefferson City as the starting point or move into a more specific property and rent check.
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Market pulse
The current market in eight signals
Fast-moving Redfin conditions sit beside the slower fundamentals so a buyer can separate today's negotiating climate from the long-run investment case.
Months of supply1.5 mo.▼ from 1.7 mo. a year ago
Median days on market12 days▼ from 20 days a year ago
Listings with price drops29.8%▼ from 35.0% a year ago
Sale-to-list ratio97.7%2026-05-01
Home value growth▲ 6.6%Zillow ZHVI · trailing 12 months
Rent growth▲ 6.73%Zillow ZORI · trailing 12 months
Gross rental yield4.4%Rent × 12 ÷ price
Payroll job growth▲ 0.7%CES · 12m to 2026-06
Release-to-release evidence
What actually changed
This comparison exists because at least one underlying source period advanced. Rebuilding the same data never creates a new observation.
Published score held steady80→80
0 ptsThe published component scores did not move in this release.
Weights were unchanged at metro-2026-07-v2-omb2023, so the movement comes from refreshed evidence and percentile ranks.
The named source periods advanced, but the measured values on this page held steady.
Composite breakdown
What each component measures
Weights are published, not hidden, and the arithmetic is shown. Five components, each measured as a national percentile across all tracked metros.
Published arithmeticComponent × weight = points
80| Signal | Score | Weight | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Job growth | 76 | 30% | 22.80 |
| Rent trend | 87 | 25% | 21.75 |
| Affordability | 95 | 15% | 14.25 |
| Supply pressure | 94 | 15% | 14.10 |
| Climate risk | 45 | 15% | 6.75 |
| Published score | 80 | ||
Jefferson City, MO scoreRank #11
80Job growth76/100
Job: CES employment grew 0.74% year over year -> the labor signal is positive but weak relative to rent growth.
Rent trend87/100
Rent: Asking rent grew 6.73% and gross yield is 4.43% -> rent momentum is favorable, but the entry yield must fit the buyer's threshold.
Affordability95/100
Affordability: Rent is 16.81% of median income and price is 3.8 times income -> affordability is an opportunity for tenant budgets and acquisition pricing.
Supply pressure94/100
Supply: Inventory is 1.5 months and median market time is 12 days -> buyers may have little time to assess a limited selection.
Climate risk45/100
Climate: Inland flood is the dominant hazard and the climate loss ratio is 0.1502% -> water exposure requires property-level diligence.
The numbers
What this market costs and what it earns
Every derived ratio below recomputes from the same source record used by the article and score.
ZHVI Median Price
$281k
YoY ▲ 6.6%
ZORI Median Rent
$1,037
YoY ▲ 6.73%
Gross Rental Yield
4.4%
Rent × 12 ÷ price
$1,037 × 12 ÷ $281,125
Job Growth (YoY)
▲ 0.7%
CES payrolls
Job signal 76/100
Median Household Income
$74k
Census ACS 5-year
Rent Burden
16.8%
Annual rent ÷ household income
Price-to-Income
3.8x
Median value ÷ household income
HUD 2BR Fair Market Rent
$916
Market rent 113.2% of FMR
Historical affordability context
Compare aligned 2019 and 2024 asking-rent and nominal household-income endpoints across the direct-overlap metro set.
Independent rent evidence
One market, several legitimate rent benchmarks
These releases observe different homes and different moments. RentMarker keeps them separate: ZORI remains the scoring baseline, while the other sources test how sensitive the market story is to bedroom mix and measurement method.
Monthly benchmark4 of 4 reported values
Zero-based scale$1,037Primary RentMarker baseline
2026-06-30
All homes and bedroom counts
A smoothed metro rent index for observed rentals; it is the primary rent used by RentMarker scores and career ratios.
View source release ↗$699−$339 vs ZORI
FY2026 FMR
One-bedroom standard
An administrative gross-rent benchmark used by HUD programs; it is neither a listing median nor a prediction of one lease.
View source release ↗$916−$121 vs ZORI
FY2026 FMR
Two-bedroom standard
An administrative gross-rent benchmark used by HUD programs; it is neither a listing median nor a prediction of one lease.
View source release ↗$827−$210 vs ZORI
ACS 2024 5-year
Occupied rental units paying rent
A five-year survey estimate of contract rent plus applicable tenant-paid utilities; it is not a current asking-rent index.
View source release ↗Take the next step
Keep Jefferson City as context, then replace market-wide evidence with the candidate property's facts.
Regional price level
What feels expensive inside Jefferson City
BEA compares each category with the United States, which equals 100. This is a 2024 price-level comparison—not annual inflation.
BEA Regional Price Parities · 2024US = 100
Occupation wage lens
How asking rent sits against major local occupations
Annualized Zillow asking rent is divided by each BLS annual median wage. This is a screening ratio for one wage, not a household budget or affordability verdict.
Six largest published major groupsannual rent ÷ median wage
Office and Administrative Support Occupations$42,240 median wage
29.5%
Business and Financial Operations Occupations$63,130 median wage
19.7%
Management Occupations$89,340 median wage
13.9%
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations$38,780 median wage
32.1%
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations$29,520 median wage
42.2%
Sales and Related Occupations$33,580 median wage
37.1%
Supply pipeline
What is being built, and for whom
Permits are the 12-to-24 month early warning. The total matters less than the mix: apartments compete with a rental the day they open.
National supply context
Compare this authorization pipeline with asking-rent growth, jobs and for-sale liquidity across the evidence-complete metro set.
Building permits by structure type
units per year · latest year annualised
210 units authorised in 2026, 0% of them in 5+ unit buildings. This is a single-family building cycle, so the competition is other houses, not new apartments. ✓ recomputed from series
Who is arriving, and who is buying
Demand, and the competition for it
Tax filings say how many households moved and what they earn; mortgage disclosures say how many local purchases went to someone who will not live there. Moves between counties inside this metro are netted out of both flow figures.
Net Household Move
+150
2,997 in vs 2,847 out (IRS SOI)
▲ 5.0% of arriving households
Mover Income Gap
−$428
Arriving $50,899 vs leaving $51,327
Average AGI per tax return (IRS SOI)
Investor Purchase Share
14.8%
271 of 1,831 originated purchase loans
CFPB HMDA 2024
Dominant Hazard
inland flooding
0.150% building value annual loss ratio
FEMA NRI · risk type: water
Compare yield and FEMA exposure →Households arrive mainly from: Boone County · St. Louis County · Audrain County · Miller County · Morgan County
✓ 2,997 in − 2,847 out = 150 netDirect market links
Where tax-return households moved from and to
These are the largest flows where both counties map to a RentMarker market area. They are a documented subset of the all-US IRS totals above.
Leading inbound markets
- Columbia, MO552 arriving
- St. Louis, MO143 arriving
- Springfield, MO50 arriving
Leading outbound markets
- Columbia, MO502 leaving
- St. Louis, MO213 leaving
- Kansas City, MO114 leaving
The other side
What would make this a bad buy
Generated from the same figures with the instruction to argue against the score, and published unedited. A page that only agrees with itself is an advertisement.
Three ways the case breaks
- The 4.43% gross yield is measured before expenses and may not meet a buyer's required return.
- CES job growth was 0.74% versus 6.73% rent growth, leaving rent momentum ahead of the labor signal.
- Inland flood is the dominant hazard, and the annual climate loss ratio is 0.1502% of building value, so water loss remains a direct property risk.
Inside this metro area
Move from the market-area average to local evidence
Use the available county and city pages to add local price, rent, housing, migration and hazard context to the market-area view.
Statistical peers
Market areas that behave like Jefferson City
Nearest neighbours on price level, income, yield and job growth — not on geography. Every market page gets a different peer set, which is the point.
| Market area | Score | Price | Rent | Yield | Job Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson City, MO (Target) | 80 | $281k | $1,037 | 4.4% | ▲ 0.7% |
| Fond du Lac, WI | 83 | $297k | $1,173 | 4.7% | ▲ 0.6% |
| La Crosse, WI | 66 | $337k | $1,160 | 4.1% | ▲ 0.2% |
| Grand Forks, ND | 65 | $282k | $1,148 | 4.9% | ▲ 0.3% |
| Elkhart, IN | 86 | $269k | $1,146 | 5.1% | ▲ 0.9% |
Provenance
Where every figure came from
“Checked nightly” means every source is re-pulled and re-verified each night. It does not mean every source moves nightly — the release column tells you how fresh each number can possibly be.
| Dataset Source | Method | Release Period | Pulled Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Census ACS 5-year — household income and gross rent | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-08-05 |
| Census ACS 5-year — historical household income | direct | ACS 2019 and 2024 5-year | 2026-08-05 |
| Census ACS 5-year — population | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-26 |
| Apartment List Rent Estimates — recent-lease rent index | direct | Apartment List 2026-07 | 2026-08-08 |
| Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity | direct | Apartment List 2026-07 | 2026-08-08 |
| Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy | direct | Apartment List 2026-07 | 2026-08-08 |
| BEA County Personal Income — income and population | direct | 2024 County Personal Income (released 2026-02-05); history 1969-2024 | 2026-08-03 |
| BEA Regional Price Parities — metropolitan price levels | direct | 2024 Regional Price Parities (released 2026-02-19); history 2008-2024 | 2026-08-03 |
| BLS CES — payroll employment | direct | CES SM current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS LAUS — resident employment | direct | LAUS current | 2026-07-26 |
| BLS OEWS — occupation employment and wages | direct | May 2025 OEWS estimates (released 2026-05-15) | 2026-08-03 |
| BLS QCEW — county employment and wages | direct | annual county employment and wages 2021-2025; latest 2025 vs 2024 | 2026-08-02 |
| OMB/BLS delineation — metro geography | direct | OMB July 2023 delineation | 2026-07-30 |
| Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units | direct | BPS through 2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| Census ACS 5-year — city population, households and housing | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-29 |
| Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-07-30 |
| Census ACS five-year — ZCTA housing and income | direct | ACS 2024 5-year ZCTA | 2026-08-08 |
| FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios | modelled | NRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS) | 2026-07-26 |
| FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation | direct | annual county HPI history 1975-2025; latest 2025 | 2026-08-02 |
| HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy type | direct | HMDA 2024 purchase originations | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD CHAS — renter burden by HAMFI income band | direct | HUD CHAS 2018-2022 ACS 5-year (released 2025-12-23) | 2026-08-03 |
| HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard | direct | FY2026 FMR | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallback | direct | ZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY2026 | 2026-07-26 |
| HUD-USPS ZIP-to-county residential-address crosswalk | direct | HUD-USPS 2026Q1 | 2026-08-09 |
| IRS SOI — county migration and mover income | direct | SOI migration 2022-2023 | 2026-07-26 |
| Freddie Mac PMMS — mortgage rates | direct | week of 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-06 |
| Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax | direct | ACS 2024 5-year | 2026-08-06 |
| Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory | direct | county inventory 2026-06 | 2026-07-28 |
| Realtor.com Rental Report — top-50 asking rents | direct | top-50 rental asking rents 2026-05 | 2026-08-05 |
| Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts | direct | metro tracker through 2026-05-01 | 2026-07-26 |
| Redfin Data Center — ZIP resale activity and supply | direct | ZIP rolling 3 months through 2026-06-30; updated 2026-07-03 | 2026-08-12 |
| USDA ERS — Rural-Urban Continuum Codes | direct | USDA ERS 2023 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes | 2026-08-02 |
| Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents | direct | county ZHVI/ZORI 2026-06 | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — metro home values | direct | Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZHVI — city home values | direct | zillow_zhvi_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI — metro market rents | direct | Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv | 2026-07-26 |
| Zillow ZORI — city market rents | direct | zillow_zori_city.csv | 2026-07-29 |
| Zillow ZORI - metro market rents, not seasonally adjusted | direct | Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv | 2026-08-15 |
| Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rents | direct | ZORI ZIP 2026-06 | 2026-08-08 |