States / Connecticut
State rental intelligence

Connecticut rental market data

A source-traced view across 5 metro markets and 9 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

5/5 metros scored9/9 counties with FEMA risk15 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro48.0out of 100 · 5 measured metros
Connecticut identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$433kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$2,013monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield5.4%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▲ 0.3%trailing 12-month metro employment
Direct monthly rental evidence

Connecticut rent market dynamics

Apartment List measures recent leases, rental vacancy and listing time separately. These figures do not replace Zillow, Census or Realtor measures elsewhere on this page.

Recent-lease rent$1,7312026-07 · ▲ 0.9% year over year
Rental Vacancy Index6.0%2026-07 · +0.7 pp in 12 months
Time on market33 days2026-07 · +4 days in 12 months
US recent-lease rent$1,3882026-07 · ▼ 1.1% year over year
Rent and rental vacancy through timesolid state series · dashed national series · no interpolation across missing observations
Recent-lease rent$1,811$1,400$988Rental Vacancy Index9.7%6.0%2.3%2017-012021-102026-07ConnecticutUnited States
State research brief

Recent-lease rents rose 0.9%, yet vacancy climbed 0.7 percentage point and marketing time lengthened 3.8 days, making leasing friction the central Connecticut screening issue.

Updated 2026-08-08 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Apartment List's July 2026 recent-lease rent increased from $1,716 to $1,731, but its separate Vacancy Index rose from 5.3% to 6.0% and its time-on-market measure increased from 29.0 to 32.8 days. A genuine counter-signal is that Connecticut's measured vacancy remained 1.1 percentage points below the national series, even as its marketing time was 2.8 days longer.

The broader packet reinforces the need for local screening rather than a statewide conclusion. Across five metros, median Zillow asking-rent growth was 2.9% while median home-value growth was 5.3%; meanwhile, nine counties recorded net migration of -5,674 despite median job growth of 0.3% across five metros. County-level Zillow price, rent and gross-yield coverage is absent, so the evidence cannot establish property-level returns or identify every locality where leasing risk is concentrated.

01

Recent-lease rent up 0.9%, vacancy up 0.7 percentage point and marketing time up 3.8 days → stress-test lease-up duration and effective rent rather than relying on headline rent growth

02

Median metro value growth of 5.3% versus asking-rent growth of 2.9% → screen purchase basis carefully because income growth is not matching asset-value growth

03

Net migration of -5,674 alongside median metro job growth of 0.3% → verify demand at the employer and submarket level instead of treating either indicator as decisive

04

Strong county appreciation alongside a 44-day listing median and 0.69 pending ratio in Northwest Hills Planning Region → separate appreciation history from current exit-liquidity assumptions

05

Median rent burden of 51.9%, older housing stock and materially varying property taxes → test tenant affordability, capital work and operating costs together

01
Direct state rental dynamics

Rent gains survived a clear loss of leasing speed

Recent-lease rent increased 0.9% year over year to $1,731 in July 2026. The separate rental-liquidity measures moved less favorably: vacancy reached 6.0%, up 0.7 percentage point, and time on market reached 32.8 days, up 3.8 days.

This combination supports testing longer lease-up periods and more conservative effective rent rather than treating positive rent growth as proof of stronger absorption. It does not show that every Connecticut property has 6.0% vacancy or takes 32.8 days to lease. The lower vacancy relative to the national series is also a counter-signal, although Connecticut's measured marketing time was longer.

Evidence: Apartment List Rent Estimates — recent-lease rent index · Apartment List Time on Market — listing liquidity · Apartment List Vacancy Index — rental vacancy

02
Price and rent momentum

Home values are outrunning asking rents in the highlighted metros

Across five measured metros, median home-value growth was 5.3% and median asking-rent growth was 2.9%, a 2.4-percentage-point rent shortfall. The same pattern appears in all three highlighted metros: Norwich, CT posted 6.6% value growth versus 4.8% rent growth; Hartford, CT posted 5.3% versus 3.1%; and Bridgeport, CT posted 5.6% versus 2.9%.

The supplied gross yields were 5.4% in Norwich, CT, 5.9% in Hartford, CT and 4.9% in Bridgeport, CT. Screening should therefore focus on purchase basis and property-specific achievable rent rather than assume recent value gains have improved income economics. These Zillow asking-rent measures are distinct from Apartment List's recent-lease series, and gross yield does not include vacancy, taxes, insurance, maintenance, financing or capital work.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

03
Employment and household movement

Small job gains coexist with a net household outflow

The nine measured counties recorded 82,972 movers in and 88,646 movers out, for net migration of -5,674, or -1.6 per 1,000 residents. Employment was less negative: year-over-year job growth across five metros had a 0.3% median, with a measured range from the 10th percentile of -1.6% to the 90th percentile of 0.6%.

Norwich, CT recorded 0.8% job growth, Bridgeport, CT 0.4% and Hartford, CT 0.3%. Those gains are a counter-signal to the migration loss, but the series cover different periods and cannot establish household formation or rental absorption. Screening needs submarket employment and tenant-demand checks rather than using either statewide migration or metro payroll growth alone.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

04
County market dispersion

County appreciation has not guaranteed fast resale

FHFA home-price appreciation across nine measured areas had a 6.3% median annual change and a 61.8% median five-year change. Northwest Hills Planning Region recorded 6.8% annual and 64.8% five-year appreciation, yet its June 2026 for-sale listings had a 44-day median marketing time, a 13.1% price-reduced share and a 0.69 pending ratio. South Central Connecticut Planning Region had a shorter 35-day median and a 1.16 pending ratio.

The combination shows that historical appreciation and current resale speed are separate screening questions. Realtor listing measures describe the for-sale market, not rental lease-up. The packet also contains zero county-level Zillow price, rent and gross-yield observations, preventing a county-level link between appreciation, current rents and income return.

Evidence: FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciation · Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventory · Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

Tenant stress is highest in older, renter-heavy planning regions

Across nine measured areas, the median renter share was 33.6%, the median share of renter households spending at least 30% of income on rent was 51.9%, and the median year built was 1969. Greater Bridgeport Planning Region combined a 34.7% renter share with 58.7% rent burden and a 1959 median year built.

Northwest Hills Planning Region presents a different profile: ACS housing vacancy was 14.2%, but renters represented 23.7% of households and single-family homes represented 79.2% of stock. That broad ACS vacancy measure should not be read as available rental inventory or blended with Apartment List's Vacancy Index. The figures support checking tenant affordability and building condition by asset, but they do not report unit-level arrears, concessions or rehabilitation needs.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Taxes vary materially, while inland flood is only a leading-hazard flag

Across nine measured areas, the effective property-tax rate had a 1.7% median and ran from 1.4% at the 10th percentile to 2.0% at the 90th percentile. Median tax bills ranged from $5,057 to $8,795 across the same percentiles. Greater Bridgeport Planning Region recorded a 2.0% rate and an $8,670 median tax, compared with 2.0% and $6,454 in Capitol Planning Region and 1.9% and $6,759 in South Central Connecticut Planning Region.

Inland flood was the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for all nine measured areas. That classification is useful as a prompt for address-level review, not evidence that any parcel is exposed or that a particular insurance premium applies. Property-specific tax assessments, flood mapping, building elevation and insurance quotes remain outside this packet.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Connecticut

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change3.6%5.3%6.2%Asking-rent change2.0%2.9%4.1%Rent minus price-2.4%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-1.6%0.3%0.6%Net migration / 1k-1.6Net household movement-5,674
County market dispersionWhere do county appreciation, listing conditions and measured rents diverge?
10th pct.median90th pct.Five-year HPI change59.5%61.8%65.0%Listing days29 days33 days38 daysReduced-price share8.9%11.0%13.5%
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution5 scored metros · median 48.0
00–19120–39340–59160–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
0%0/9Rent100%9/9Climate100%9/9Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
New Haven6.3%Hartford5.9%Norwich5.4%Torrington5.3%Bridgeport4.9%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Connecticut

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Norwich, CT64$436k$1,9785.4%▲ 0.8%
2Hartford, CT57$407k$2,0135.9%▲ 0.3%
3Bridgeport, CT48$700k$2,8704.9%▲ 0.4%
4New Haven, CT45$415k$2,1646.3%▼ 0.1%
5Torrington, CT32$433k$1,9125.3%▼ 2.5%
Below the metro line

Largest counties in Connecticut

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Capitol Planning Region, CT977,290n/an/an/ainland flooding
Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT627,071n/an/an/ainland flooding
South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT570,598n/an/an/ainland flooding
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT454,969n/an/an/ainland flooding
Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT329,259n/an/an/ainland flooding
Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT279,971n/an/an/ainland flooding
Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT175,822n/an/an/ainland flooding
Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT113,216n/an/an/ainland flooding
Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT96,312n/an/an/ainland flooding
Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Apartment List's state rent, Vacancy Index and time-on-market series have separate coverage and cannot be assigned to a specific metro, building or unit.
  2. IRS migration covers 2022-2023, while employment and housing-market measures are more current; period differences may make the demand signals look more aligned or opposed than they were at one time.
  3. The packet has zero county-level Zillow price, rent and gross-yield observations, leaving a state-specific gap below the metro level.
  4. Reported yields are gross and may overstate property economics after vacancy, taxes, insurance, maintenance, financing and capital expenditures.
  5. ACS vacancy, area-level tax measures and FEMA leading-hazard labels do not establish rental availability, parcel tax bills or parcel-level physical exposure.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are recent rents and rental liquidity moving in the same direction?

No. Recent-lease rent rose 0.9%, but vacancy increased 0.7 percentage point and time on market increased 3.8 days. Current vacancy remained 1.1 percentage points below the national series, which tempers but does not remove the leasing-friction signal.

Which highlighted metro has the strongest indicated gross yield?

Hartford, CT has the highest supplied gross yield among the three highlighted metros at 5.9%, compared with 5.4% in Norwich, CT and 4.9% in Bridgeport, CT. These are gross measures, not expected net returns.

Does negative migration establish falling rental demand?

No. The nine measured counties lost 5,674 net movers, but median job growth across five metros was positive at 0.3%. The measures cover different periods and do not directly report household formation or rental absorption.

Does recent county appreciation guarantee a quick resale?

No. Northwest Hills Planning Region recorded 6.8% annual FHFA appreciation but also had a 44-day Realtor listing median, a 13.1% price-reduced share and a 0.69 pending ratio.

Can the hazard and tax data price a property's operating risk?

No. The area-level effective tax median was 1.7%, and inland flood was the leading-hazard label in all nine measured areas, but parcel assessments, flood exposure and insurance quotes are not provided.