States / Georgia
State rental intelligence

Georgia rental market data

A source-traced view across 27 metro markets and 159 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

22/27 metros scored159/159 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro42.0out of 100 · 22 measured metros
Georgia identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$238kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,462monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield7.2%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.1%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Dublin’s 9.1% asking-rent growth exceeded its 2.0% home-value growth by a calculated 7.1 percentage points, exposing local divergence behind Georgia’s nearly matched metro medians.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Across the measured metros, median asking-rent growth was 2.2% among 22 markets and median home-value growth was 2.2% among 27, a calculated difference of just 0.03 percentage points. That broad balance masks materially different local patterns: rent growth outpaced value growth in Dublin and Dalton, while the two measures were closer in Thomasville.

The supporting demand picture is mixed rather than uniformly strong. The measured counties recorded positive net migration and a positive aggregate mover-income gap, but median metro job growth was slightly negative. Resale supply, renter burden, vacancy and countywide hazard-loss ratios also vary widely, so screening should remain local and should not treat gross yield, aggregate vacancy or a county’s leading FEMA hazard as property-level performance.

01

Median metro rent and value growth were both 2.2% → avoid a blanket rent-outperformance assumption and test momentum market by market.

02

Dublin rent growth exceeded value growth by a calculated 7.1 percentage points → examine whether local lease evidence supports the indexed rent acceleration before assigning it to underwriting.

03

Net migration was positive while median metro job growth was -0.1% → treat household movement as supportive but not sufficient evidence of local tenant-demand expansion.

04

Dublin had 6.7 months of supply, 76 days on market and a 96.5% sale-to-list ratio → include market-specific resale time and discount assumptions in exit screening.

05

County vacancy reached 41.2% in Hancock County while rent burden reached 72.2% → do not interpret aggregate vacancy as immediately rentable supply.

01
Price and rent momentum

Near-equal medians conceal sharp local rent gaps

Median growth gives little support to a broad claim that Georgia rents are separating from values: measured metro home values rose 2.2% at the median, and measured asking rents also rose 2.2%. The distributions were much wider. Home-value growth ran from -0.8% at the 10th percentile to 4.4% at the 90th, while rent growth ran from 0.6% to 5.3%. Rent-growth coverage was also narrower, with 22 metros versus 27 for values.

Dublin shows the clearest separation: asking rent rose 9.1% while value rose 2.0%, with a $175,973 value, $1,063 monthly rent and 7.3% gross yield. Dalton recorded 5.3% rent growth against 0.9% value growth and a 7.0% gross yield. Thomasville was less divergent, with rent up 5.3%, value up 4.7% and an 8.7% gross yield. These differences support market-level screening, but the indexes do not show whether the rent increases were realized on a specific property or tenant cohort.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Employment and household movement

Migration gains coexist with flat typical job growth

Across 159 measured counties, 389,228 movers entered and 374,365 left, producing net migration of 14,863, or 1.4 people per 1,000 residents. Reported aggregate income moving in exceeded income moving out by $569,945. Those are positive household-movement signals, but they do not align cleanly with employment: median year-over-year job growth across 27 metros was -0.1%, with the 10th-to-90th-percentile range extending from -1.8% to 1.9%.

Some metros were stronger than that distribution’s midpoint. Job growth was 2.3% in Milledgeville, 2.3% in Athens and 2.2% in Dublin; their measured gross yields were 6.5%, 5.4% and 7.3%, respectively. The counter-signal is important for screening: statewide net inflow does not establish expanding employment or tenant demand in every metro, and the migration and employment measurements cover different periods and populations.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

03
Entry cost and affordability

Higher headline yields come with uneven income stretch

The measured metro median was a $238,197 home value, $1,462 monthly asking rent and 7.2% gross yield. The 10th-to-90th-percentile ranges were $176,029 to $377,907 for values, $1,159 to $1,777 for rents and 5.7% to 8.0% for gross yields. Measured rent-to-income ratios ranged from 23.6% to 31.6% across the same percentile span, showing that similar headline yields need not carry the same income context.

Thomasville combined an 8.7% gross yield with a $229,896 value, $1,666 rent and 33.2% rent-to-income ratio. Waycross showed an 8.2% yield on a $171,076 value and $1,163 rent, with a lower 26.9% rent-to-income ratio. Hinesville’s figures were an 8.1% yield, $260,185 value, $1,749 rent and 34.0% rent-to-income ratio. Gross yield excludes vacancy, repairs, management, insurance, taxes, financing and capital work, so these figures screen entry economics rather than establish net returns.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

04
Supply and resale conditions

New permitting does not map neatly to resale tightness

Measured metros had median permitting of 5.2 units per 1,000 residents, 4.3 months of resale supply, 52.5 median days on market and price reductions on 28.4% of listings. The median sale-to-list ratio was 97.5%. These are separate metro distributions, not a single statewide resale profile.

Jefferson recorded 1,760 permitted units, or 20.8 per 1,000 residents, alongside 4.6 months of supply, 62 days on market and price cuts on 34.5% of listings. Hinesville had 984 permits, or 11.5 per 1,000, but also 6.6 months of supply and 75 days on market; its price-cut share was 18.9%. Dublin registered 6.7 months of supply, 76 days on market, price cuts on 34.6% of listings and a 96.5% sale-to-list ratio. Permitting therefore should not be read as a standalone measure of current acquisition leverage or exit liquidity.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

High vacancy can sit beside severe renter burden

Across 159 counties, the independent medians were 14.0% for housing vacancy, 28.7% for renter share and 47.5% for the share of renters spending at least 30% of income on rent. Vacancy ranged from 6.3% at the 10th percentile to 26.1% at the 90th, while rent burden ranged from 31.2% to 56.8%. The vacancy measure covers housing generally and does not identify units that are available, habitable or offered for long-term rent.

Hancock County, with 8,650 residents, had 41.2% vacancy, a 20.7% renter share and 72.2% rent burden. McIntosh County, with 11,312 residents, had 26.0% vacancy and 66.6% rent burden. Stewart County, with 4,869 residents, had lower vacancy at 15.9% but a 41.1% renter share and 66.3% rent burden. The coexistence of vacancy and burden is a warning against treating unused housing as evidence of accessible rental supply or room for rent increases.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Three named counties sit far above the loss-ratio distribution

The median county FEMA loss ratio was 0.12%, and the 90th percentile was 0.21%. McIntosh County measured 0.61%, Liberty County 0.51% and Chatham County 0.43%, each above that 90th-percentile threshold. Their measured effective property-tax rates were 0.80%, 1.04% and 0.84%, respectively, compared with a county median of 0.86%; their median tax amounts were $1,462, $2,087 and $2,541.

Each county has one mutually exclusive leading-hazard label: inland flood was the leading label in 138 counties and hurricane in 21. Those counts cover all 159 counties without overlap, but they do not show whether a particular building is exposed. The packet also lacks parcel flood characteristics, insurance quotes, deductibles and building-level mitigation, leaving a Georgia-specific underwriting gap between countywide loss ratios and property operating costs.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Georgia

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change-0.8%2.1%4.4%Asking-rent change0.6%2.2%5.3%Rent minus price0.0%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-1.8%-0.1%1.9%Net migration / 1k1.4Net household movement14,863
Entry cost and affordabilityHow far do local prices, rents, incomes and HUD rent standards stretch?
10th pct.median90th pct.Gross yield5.7%7.2%8.0%Price / income3.3×4.0×4.8×Rent / income23.6%26.9%31.6%Home value$176K$238K$378K
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution22 scored metros · median 42.0
00–191020–391140–59060–79180–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
45%71/159Rent100%159/159Climate100%159/159Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Thomasville8.7%Waycross8.2%Hinesville8.1%LaGrange7.9%Vidalia7.8%Albany7.5%Macon7.4%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Georgia

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Dublin, GA83$176k$1,0637.2%▲ 2.2%
2Milledgeville, GA59$235k$1,2806.5%▲ 2.3%
3Athens, GA56$374k$1,6705.3%▲ 2.3%
4LaGrange, GA56$206k$1,3527.9%▲ 1.4%
5Macon, GA55$202k$1,2547.4%▲ 0.5%
6Augusta, GA51$254k$1,5067.1%▲ 0.5%
7Statesboro, GA50$285k$1,5096.3%▲ 0.7%
8Columbus, GA47$212k$1,2957.3%▼ 0.2%
9Atlanta, GA46$383k$1,8545.8%▲ 0.2%
10Thomasville, GA46$230k$1,6668.7%▼ 0.2%
11Dalton, GA43$252k$1,4627.0%▼ 2.3%
12Gainesville, GA41$393k$1,6785.1%▲ 0.3%

Showing the top 12 scored metros of 27. Unscored metros remain discoverable through the national rankings.

Below the metro line

Largest counties in Georgia

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Fulton County, GA1,076,561$421k$1,9075.4%inland flooding
Gwinnett County, GA979,864$411k$1,8485.4%inland flooding
Cobb County, GA775,208$429k$1,7524.9%inland flooding
DeKalb County, GA765,351$339k$1,7816.3%inland flooding
Chatham County, GA300,879$340k$1,7816.3%hurricane
Clayton County, GA298,924$231k$1,5968.3%inland flooding
Cherokee County, GA281,032$479k$2,1375.3%inland flooding
Forsyth County, GA267,287$620k$2,3124.5%inland flooding
Henry County, GA249,960$323k$1,8556.9%inland flooding
Hall County, GA212,705$393k$1,6785.1%inland flooding
Richmond County, GA206,069$197k$1,3968.5%inland flooding
Muscogee County, GA203,711$190k$1,2778.1%inland flooding
County yield sample71/159counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration+14,863IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share8.4%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Momentum coverage is uneven: rent growth is available for 22 metros versus 27 for value growth, and county rent data cover 71 counties versus 159 for prices.
  2. Asking-rent and home-value indexes do not establish achieved lease terms, concessions, property condition or transaction prices for a specific asset.
  3. The reported yields are gross; missing vacancy, maintenance, management, insurance, taxes, financing and capital costs could materially change net performance.
  4. Migration, income, employment, housing and listing measures come from different releases and populations, so their apparent alignment or conflict may not describe the same households or moment.
  5. Countywide vacancy and hazard measures cannot resolve parcel-level availability or exposure, and the packet provides no property-specific insurance premium, flood characteristic or mitigation evidence.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are asking rents broadly outpacing home values across Georgia’s measured metros?

Not at the median. Asking-rent growth and home-value growth were both 2.2%, with a calculated difference of 0.03 percentage points. Dublin and Dalton show meaningful local rent outperformance, but that is not a statewide pattern.

Does positive migration establish strong rental demand?

No. The measured counties gained 14,863 net movers, or 1.4 per 1,000 residents, and reported a positive aggregate mover-income gap. The counter-signal is -0.1% median metro job growth, so local employment and leasing evidence remain necessary.

Where do higher measured yields coincide with greater income stretch?

Thomasville had an 8.7% gross yield and a 33.2% rent-to-income ratio, while Hinesville had an 8.1% yield and a 34.0% ratio. Waycross paired an 8.2% yield with a lower 26.9% ratio. These are screening metrics, not net returns or tenant-level affordability findings.

What does the packet indicate about resale liquidity?

Conditions vary materially. The measured metro median was 52.5 days on market and 4.3 months of supply, but Dublin had 76 days and 6.7 months. Its 96.5% sale-to-list ratio and 34.6% price-cut share indicate more resale friction than the metro medians.

Can the FEMA leading-hazard labels price risk for a specific property?

No. Inland flood was the mutually exclusive leading label in 138 counties and hurricane in 21, but those labels are county classifications rather than parcel exposure. Property-level flood data, insurance terms and mitigation details are absent.