Direct recent-lease rent history
Monthly overall-rent index; missing observations are not filled from another geography.
Recent-lease rent$2,1442026-07 · +2.5% year over year
Rental vacancyn/an/a
Time on marketn/an/a
FIPS 51179 · population 163,466 · part of Washington, DC
The latest county-level Zillow ZORI is $2,500 per month in 2026-06. It is a typical asking-rent index across rental types—not an arithmetic average, signed lease or quote for one property.
| Bedrooms | HUD monthly FMR | Geography | Measurement boundary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studio | $1,953 | Stafford County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 1 bedroom | $2,015 | Stafford County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 2 bedrooms | $2,246 | Stafford County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 3 bedrooms | $2,835 | Stafford County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
| 4 bedrooms | $3,332 | Stafford County, VA | HUD administrative benchmark; compare with same-bedroom listings, never treat it as observed asking rent. |
Zillow asking rent, ACS gross rent and HUD FMR describe different housing universes. They remain separate and no metro, city or neighboring-county value replaces missing county evidence.Zillow pulled 2026-07-26 · HUD pulled 2026-07-26
Everything here joins on the county FIPS code, so each figure comes from the agency that publishes it with no name matching in between.
Zillow estimates a current home value. FHFA tracks repeat mortgage transactions. Their growth rates should be read side by side, not averaged.
Survey source: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30. These values describe different housing universes and are not combined into gross yield.
Workplace source: BLS QCEW — county employment and wages · annual county employment and wages 2021-2025; latest 2025 vs 2024 · pulled 2026-08-02. QCEW counts covered jobs located in the county, not employed residents or the metro score’s CES/LAUS series.
BEA per-capita personal income divides all personal income by the county population. It is broader than wages, but it is not household income or a measure of what renters can afford.
HUD CHAS separates renter households by income relative to local HAMFI. Moderate burden means housing costs above 30% through 50% of income; severe burden means more than 50%.
These Apartment List observations match the exact county Census code 51179. They are kept separate from Zillow asking rent, Census occupied-home rent and wider metro measures.
Monthly overall-rent index; missing observations are not filled from another geography.
Stafford County presents a clear underwriting tension: the June 2026 Zillow county median home value is $547,004, up just 0.49%, while median asking rent is $2,500, up 2.71%, and the supplied gross yield is 5.48% before costs. This favors investigating income performance, while cautioning buyers dependent on appreciation or gross-yield durability. FHFA’s 2025 annual repeat-transaction HPI rose 4.37%; it is an appreciation index, not a home value, and its vintage and method differ from Zillow’s. They should not be averaged into one growth rate.
Housing economics favor rent over price, but carrying costs narrow the headline. The $2,246 two-bedroom HUD FMR is a payment standard, not asking-rent evidence. The supplied 111.3% rent-to-FMR comparison does not establish achievable rent for a specific unit. Effective property tax is 0.70%, with median annual tax of $3,410. Because gross yield is before costs and insurance, repairs, vacancy, management, utilities, financing, and property-level expense data are not published, net yield and cash flow cannot be underwritten.
Demand evidence is mixed. QCEW reports 51,162 annual average covered jobs located in the county, but average weekly wage declined 4.39%. Trade, transportation, and utilities is the largest disclosed private supersector, not the whole economy. Tax-return migration was positive at 148 households, while the average AGI gap was -$4,575: out-movers had higher average income. Realtor.com MLS evidence shows active listings up 19.08%, which measures visible supply, not closed demand. Investors represented 4% of 2,200 purchase mortgages; that suggests limited investor participation, not proven returns or buyer depth.
Inland flood is the dominant hazard, and the modeled climate-loss ratio is 0.11% of building value per year; it is not a property-level loss estimate or insurance quote. The next checks are flood zone and elevation, claims history, insurance terms, closed-sale comps, signed leases, and operating statements. Those missing facts prevent confirming that the asking-rent yield survives hazard and operating costs, or that the county-level price signal applies to the property. Underwrite the record as a potentially income-supported market with unresolved asset-level exposure, not as proof of demand or appreciation.
Census-recognized incorporated places and CDPs that intersect this county. The list does not pretend to include every neighborhood or informal community.
Population is the total place-wide ACS estimate, not an allocated county share. A place crossing a county line is labelled explicitly. Source: Census ACS 5-year — cities and communities · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-30.
0.106% of building value expected lost per year
$3,410 median annual bill
6,541 in · 6,393 out
$72,184 arriving · $76,759 leaving
88 of 2,200 mortgages
Listing price is an asking price, not a closed sale. Quality-flagged county rows are withheld instead of displayed.
A metro is an average of these. Which side of a county line a property sits on can change the tax bill, the hazard profile and the tenant pool.
| County | Population | Price | Rent | Yield | Hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stafford County | 163,466 | $547k | $2,500 | 5.5% | inland flooding |
| Fairfax County | 1,147,837 | $779k | $2,542 | 3.9% | inland flooding |
| Montgomery County | 1,065,949 | $627k | $2,346 | 4.5% | inland flooding |
| Prince George's County | 959,754 | $434k | $1,951 | 5.4% | inland flooding |
| District of Columbia | 681,294 | $579k | $2,532 | 5.2% | inland flooding |
| Prince William County | 488,880 | $592k | $2,282 | 4.6% | inland flooding |
| Loudoun County | 432,998 | $810k | $2,917 | 4.3% | inland flooding |
| Frederick County | 287,048 | $509k | $2,217 | 5.2% | inland flooding |
| Arlington County | 236,254 | $824k | $2,722 | 4.0% | inland flooding |
It is median asking market rent. HUD FMR is a separate payment standard, and the record does not publish property-level rent evidence.
It measures repeat-transaction appreciation, not a dollar home value. Its vintage and method differ from Zillow’s, so the figures should not be combined.
No. It is gross yield before costs, and insurance, repairs, vacancy, management, utilities, financing, and property-level expenses are not published.