States / Idaho
State rental intelligence

Idaho rental market data

A source-traced view across 16 metro markets and 44 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

13/16 metros scored44/44 counties with FEMA risk13 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro44.0out of 100 · 13 measured metros
Idaho identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$430kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,513monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield3.7%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▼ 0.2%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Rents are rising faster than home values across Idaho’s measured metro distribution while the median job measure is slightly negative, making tenant depth the central screening test.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Measured metro asking rents rose a median 3.2% year over year, compared with 2.0% for home values, a supplied gap of 1.2 percentage points. That income-side advantage is tempered by a median gross yield of 3.7%, a median job change of negative 0.2%, and substantial differences in inventory and marketing time. The counter-signals are positive net migration and roughly 1% job growth in several named metros.

Screening therefore has to connect each property’s rent level with local employment, supply and exit liquidity rather than treating the state median as a local result. The packet cannot establish net operating income, tenant turnover, property condition, insurance cost or parcel-level hazard exposure. Coverage is also uneven: rent growth is available for 13 metros, county rent data for 22 of 44 counties, county listings for 33, and migration for 43.

01

Median metro rent growth of 3.2% versus 2.0% home-value growth → test whether local tenant depth can convert the relative rent advantage into collected income.

02

Median supply of 2.8 months alongside a 2.0% to 6.6-month central range → use metro-level inventory and marketing time when assessing acquisition leverage and resale liquidity.

03

Net migration of 5,763 people alongside negative 0.2% median metro job growth → separate household inflow from current employment strength rather than treating either as a complete demand measure.

04

A 3.7% median gross yield and 43.4% median renter-burden rate → stress operating costs and avoid relying on aggressive rent increases to repair a thin entry yield.

05

A county stock mix of 79.1% single-family and 0.9% large multifamily at the median → align the property-type screen with the housing stock actually present in the target county.

01
Price and rent momentum

Rent growth has the edge, but the spread varies by metro

Across 13 metros with rent-growth data, the median annual increase was 3.2%. Home values rose a median 2.0% across 16 metros, leaving rents ahead by 1.2 percentage points. Both measures were still positive, so the evidence describes a relative separation rather than falling values across the measured distribution.

Mountain Home shows the stronger version of the pattern: rent rose 6.2% while its $360,908 home value rose 1.2%, with $1,565 monthly rent and a 5.2% gross yield. Boise City had 5.0% rent growth against 0.5% value growth, but its $497,239 value and $1,874 rent produced a lower 4.5% gross yield. The screen should distinguish rent momentum from entry-price efficiency; faster rent growth does not by itself establish a stronger net return.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Supply and resale conditions

A compact median inventory masks opposite exit conditions

The median across 16 metros was 2.8 months of supply and 41 days on market, but the measured supply distribution ran from 2.0 months at the 10th percentile to 6.6 months at the 90th. A median 32.1% of listings had price drops. Across the 12 metros with sale-to-list data, the median sale price was 98.8% of list, indicating some seller concession without establishing severe statewide illiquidity.

Boise City combined 1.7 months of supply and 29 days on market with price drops on 36.4% of listings. It also recorded 9,910 permitted units, or 12.2 per 1,000 residents. Rexburg presented the opposite resale picture despite a similar permit rate of 11.5 per 1,000: 9.5 months of supply, 88 days on market and 20.1% price drops. That divergence makes local inventory and likely holding time more useful screening inputs than permit intensity alone.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

03
Employment and household movement

Household inflow offsets, but does not erase, soft median employment

The median year-over-year job change across 16 metros was negative 0.2%, with the measured range running from negative 0.8% at the 10th percentile to positive 0.9% at the 90th. The stronger named markets provide a real counter-signal: Twin Falls posted 1.1% job growth, Boise City 1.0%, and Coeur d’Alene 0.9%.

Migration data for 43 counties recorded 59,753 arrivals and 53,990 departures, a net gain of 5,763 people or 3.0 per 1,000 residents. Incoming aggregate adjusted gross income exceeded outgoing income by $600,218. These measures do not fully resolve the demand question because the IRS migration period is 2022–2023 while the employment measures are current; they should be treated as separate checks on household inflow and current labor demand.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

04
Entry cost and affordability

Higher gross yields sit beside meaningful affordability limits

Across 16 measured metros, the median home value was $430,085, median asking rent was $1,513 and median gross yield was 3.7%. Gross yields ranged from 3.0% at the 10th percentile to 5.1% at the 90th. The median price-to-income ratio was 5.8 and reached 10.8 at the 90th percentile, while median rent equaled 25.5% of income and reached 35.3% at the 90th.

The median asking rent was 117.9% of the $1,206 median two-bedroom HUD Fair Market Rent. Mountain Home paired a $360,908 value with $1,565 rent and a 5.2% gross yield, but rent equaled 28.7% of its $65,359 median income. Burley’s $340,981 value and $1,463 rent produced a 5.2% gross yield with a 24.9% rent-to-income ratio. These are gross relationships: they do not deduct vacancy, maintenance, management, financing, taxes or insurance.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

05
Housing stock and tenant conditions

High overall vacancy does not imply abundant rental supply

Across all 44 counties, the median ACS overall housing vacancy rate was 10.5%, rising to 38.6% at the 90th percentile. The median renter share was 24.6%, while 79.1% of housing was single-family and only 0.9% was in large multifamily properties. Meanwhile, a median 43.4% of renters were paying at least 30% of income toward rent.

The extremes illustrate why the measures cannot be read as conventional apartment vacancy. Valley County had a 66.5% overall vacancy rate, but renters represented 18.1% of households and single-family homes represented 84.3% of stock. Clark County, with a population of 849, combined 38.8% overall vacancy with a 38.7% renter share and a 57.7% rent-burden rate. Seasonal, second-home and other vacant units may be included, so property-level leasing evidence is still required.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

06
Physical risk and property tax

Hazard-loss and property-tax burdens peak in different counties

FEMA assigns inland flood as the mutually exclusive leading-hazard label for 35 counties and wildfire for 9. Across 44 counties, the median hazard-loss ratio was 0.172% and the 90th percentile was 0.422%. Boise County’s ratio was 0.701%, and Adams County’s was 0.603%, showing that the upper tail can sit well above the statewide county median.

Property-tax rates followed a different geography. The county median was 0.446% and the 90th percentile was 0.628%, with a median tax bill of $1,443 and a 90th-percentile bill of $2,229.80. Boise County combined its elevated loss ratio with a 0.338% tax rate and $1,611 median tax, while Nez Perce County had a 0.780% tax rate, a $2,609 median tax and a lower 0.142% loss ratio. These county measures can flag underwriting questions, but a leading-hazard label is not evidence that a specific parcel is exposed.

Evidence: FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratios · Census ACS 5-year — effective property tax

Evidence selected for Idaho

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change0.6%2.0%4.7%Asking-rent change0.7%3.2%5.9%Rent minus price1.2%
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k3.56.611.5Months of supply2.0×2.8×6.6×Days on market26 days41 days73 daysListings with cuts20.0%32.1%40.4%
Employment and household movementDo jobs, household movement and mover income point in the same direction?
10th pct.median90th pct.Job change-0.8%-0.2%0.9%Net migration / 1k3.0Net household movement5,763
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution13 scored metros · median 44.0
00–19320–39840–59260–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
50%22/44Rent100%44/44Climate98%43/44Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Mountain Home5.2%Burley5.1%Ontario5.0%Twin Falls4.9%Boise City4.5%Lewiston4.3%Idaho Falls4.1%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Idaho

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Boise City, ID67$497k$1,8744.5%▲ 1.0%
2Twin Falls, ID61$388k$1,5844.9%▲ 1.1%
3Coeur d'Alene, ID59$609k$1,8293.6%▲ 0.9%
4Logan, UT58$474k$1,4603.7%▲ 0.7%
5Blackfoot, ID54$394k$1,0183.1%▼ 0.3%
6Ontario, OR51$378k$1,5635.0%▲ 0.5%
7Mountain Home, ID44$361k$1,5655.2%▼ 0.5%
8Sandpoint, ID44$658k$1,9823.6%▲ 0.6%
9Jackson, WY43$1407k$3,4753.0%▼ 0.3%
10Moscow, ID42$481k$1,1662.9%▼ 1.0%
11Idaho Falls, ID38$413k$1,4144.1%▼ 0.1%
12Pocatello, ID32$356k$1,0783.6%▼ 1.1%

Showing the top 12 scored metros of 16. Unscored metros remain discoverable through the national rankings.

Below the metro line

Largest counties in Idaho

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Ada County, ID518,935$531k$1,9264.3%inland flooding
Canyon County, ID250,790$421k$1,6734.8%inland flooding
Kootenai County, ID181,996$609k$1,8293.6%inland flooding
Bonneville County, ID129,523$405k$1,4154.2%inland flooding
Twin Falls County, ID93,734$385k$1,5694.9%inland flooding
Bannock County, ID89,454$362k$1,0773.6%inland flooding
Madison County, ID54,618$425k$1,1463.2%inland flooding
Bonner County, ID51,049$658k$1,9823.6%inland flooding
Bingham County, ID49,664$394k$1,0183.1%inland flooding
Nez Perce County, ID42,697$396k$1,4364.3%inland flooding
Latah County, ID41,049$481k$1,1662.9%inland flooding
Jefferson County, ID33,154$477k$1,3723.5%inland flooding
County yield sample22/44counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration+5,763IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share5.5%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Rent growth covers 13 metros while home-value growth covers 16, so missing rent observations could change the apparent 1.2-percentage-point separation.
  2. Current employment measures and 2022–2023 migration data describe different periods; their mixed signal may reflect timing rather than durable demand.
  3. ACS vacancy measures all vacant housing, not only units available to long-term renters, making high-vacancy counties vulnerable to seasonal or second-home distortion.
  4. Gross yields omit vacancy, repairs, management, financing, taxes and insurance, so the measured yield advantage may disappear at the property level.
  5. County FEMA loss ratios and leading-hazard labels cannot identify parcel exposure, while county median taxes cannot establish a specific property’s bill.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Are rents clearly outrunning home values?

In the measured distributions, yes: median rent growth was 3.2% across 13 metros versus 2.0% value growth across 16, a 1.2-percentage-point gap. Unequal coverage prevents treating that as universal.

Where do supply conditions most clearly require different assumptions?

Boise City had 1.7 months of supply and 29 days on market, while Rexburg had 9.5 months and 88 days. Those figures imply materially different holding-time and exit-liquidity screens.

Does the demand evidence point in one direction?

No. Median metro job growth was negative 0.2%, but Twin Falls, Boise City and Coeur d’Alene each posted positive growth, and measured counties recorded net migration of 5,763 people.

Which named metros show stronger gross income relative to entry price?

Mountain Home and Burley each measured near a 5.2% gross yield. Those figures remain before operating expenses, and their rent-to-income ratios were 28.7% and 24.9%, respectively.

Does a high county vacancy rate mean rentals are easy to acquire or lease?

Not from this evidence. Valley County’s 66.5% figure is overall housing vacancy, while renters were 18.1% of households and single-family homes were 84.3% of stock. Available long-term rental vacancy is not supplied.