States / Utah
State rental intelligence

Utah rental market data

A source-traced view across 8 metro markets and 29 counties. State figures below are labelled medians and totals—not a made-up statewide investment score.

8/8 metros scored29/29 counties with FEMA risk11 sources used in this analysis
Median scored metro52.0out of 100 · 8 measured metros
Utah identity diorama showing regional landscape, cities, housing, and infrastructure
Median metro home value$526kmedian across published metro values
Median metro rent$1,626monthly · published metro values
Median gross yield3.9%annual rent ÷ price · before costs
Median job trend▲ 1.1%trailing 12-month metro employment
State research brief

Heber’s 11.0% asking-rent growth far outran 2.3% home-value growth even as the metro carried 8.4 months of resale supply, making rent momentum versus exit liquidity Utah’s sharpest measured tension.

Updated 2026-07-31 · evidence current to the releases listed below.

Across 8 measured metros, median asking-rent growth was 2.7%, compared with 2.2% for home values, a 0.5 percentage-point spread. That advantage was not uniform: Heber showed the widest named separation, while Vernal’s 4.6% value growth exceeded its 3.6% rent growth. Resale conditions also temper the rent signal. The metro median was 5.3 months of supply, and 30.6% of listings had price drops.

Screening should therefore separate rental momentum from entry price and exit liquidity. The median gross yield across measured metros was 3.9%, while the median county renter-burden share across 29 counties was 40.3%. Positive employment growth and net migration provide a genuine demand counter-signal, but they do not establish property-level occupancy or rent collections. Coverage is also uneven: county rents are available for 12 of 29 counties, so the packet cannot describe every Utah rental market.

01

Median asking-rent growth of 2.7% versus 2.2% home-value growth across 8 metros → validate lease-level rent durability rather than relying on appreciation

02

Median resale supply of 5.3 months and a 30.6% price-drop share → include longer exit time and resale-discount scenarios

03

Median metro gross yield of 3.9%, with a supplied band of 3.5% to 4.5% → operating and financing assumptions can dominate the headline yield

04

Median county renter-burden share of 40.3% across 29 counties → test tenant affordability and renewal sensitivity by county

05

Net migration of 3,138 and median metro employment growth of 1.1% → treat demand as a positive counter-signal, not proof of property-level occupancy

01
Price and rent momentum

Rent acceleration is concentrated rather than uniform

The median across 8 metros shows asking rents growing 2.7% and home values growing 2.2%. Rent growth in the supplied percentile band ranged from 0.5% to 6.0%, wider than the 0.6% to 3.2% range for value growth. Heber was more extreme: rent rose 11.0% while value rose 2.3%, a calculated gap of 8.7 percentage points. Its measured rent was $3,449 against a $1,154,909 value, producing a 3.6% gross yield.

Vernal is the counter-signal. Its value rose 4.6%, ahead of 3.6% rent growth, although its 4.7% gross yield was stronger than Heber’s. The combination means statewide median momentum is not a substitute for market-level screening: a fast-rising rent series may accompany a high entry value and a thinner headline yield, while another metro may offer more current rent relative to price without the same rent-growth lead.

Evidence: Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

02
Supply and resale conditions

Resale slack shadows the strongest rent-growth story

Across 8 metros, the median resale market had 5.3 months of supply, 43.5 days on market, a 30.6% price-drop share and a 99.0% sale-to-list ratio. The supplied inventory band extended from 3.4 to 8.9 months, showing that liquidity conditions differ materially within the state.

St. George recorded 10.1 months of supply, 51 days on market and price drops on 32.0% of listings. It also had 3,024 permitted units, or 15.4 per 1,000 residents. Heber had 8.4 months of supply, 52 days on market and a 97.2% sale-to-list ratio, despite its strong rent growth. These figures support explicit resale-time and discount tests. Permits measure a development pipeline, however, not completed rental units, and resale inventory does not establish rental vacancy.

Evidence: Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts

03
Entry cost and affordability

Thin gross yields leave limited room for operating friction

The median measured metro combined a $525,597 home value with $1,626 monthly rent and a 3.9% gross yield. The supplied gross-yield band was 3.5% to 4.5%. Median price-to-income was 5.8, median rent-to-income was 22.6%, and the median asking-rent-to-Fair-Market-Rent ratio was 1.25. Because gross yield excludes operating expenses, vacancy, financing and capital work, the headline range cannot establish net return.

Vernal paired a $360,349 value with $1,422 rent, a 4.7% gross yield, a 4.9 price-to-income ratio and 23.1% rent-to-income. St. George showed a 4.4% gross yield but a higher 28.8% rent-to-income measure. That contrast is useful for screening: a stronger rent-to-price relationship can coexist with meaningful tenant affordability pressure, so entry cost and achievable tenant payments need separate validation.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — household income · HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standard · Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Zillow ZORI — metro market rents

04
Housing stock and tenant conditions

Renter strain coexists with vacancy that may not be rentable

Across 29 counties, the median share of renters spending at least 30% of income on rent was 40.3%, with the supplied percentile band running from 25.8% to 49.7%. Washington County was at 56.7%, Iron County at 54.5% and Carbon County at 50.1%. These figures identify affordability pressure, not delinquency, turnover or the payment capacity of tenants for a particular property.

The stock is also predominantly single-family: the median county single-family share was 79.9%, compared with a 1.4% median large-multifamily share. Median county housing vacancy was 15.2%, but the range reached 44.1% at the upper supplied percentile. Daggett County had 75.2% vacancy with 783 residents, Rich County had 72.6% with 2,631 residents, and Kane County had 46.2% with 8,170 residents. Those broad housing-vacancy measures should not be read as available long-term rentals, particularly in small counties.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stock

05
Employment and household movement

Employment and migration provide a positive but modest counter-signal

Employment growth was positive across the supplied metro distribution: the median for 8 metros was 1.1%, with the supplied band running from 0.2% to 1.9%. St. George measured 2.1%, Cedar City 1.8% and Provo 1.4%. This is the clearest counter-signal to the resale softness, but employment growth does not identify which jobs support the rents or properties under review.

Across all 29 counties, 91,930 movers entered and 88,792 left, for net migration of 3,138, or 0.9 per 1,000 residents. The direction is positive, but the scale is modest and statewide aggregation does not reveal where incoming households rented, their household size or their capacity to absorb current asking rents. Migration and employment also come from different measurement periods, so their apparent alignment is not a synchronized demand test.

Evidence: Census ACS 5-year — population · BLS CES — payroll employment · BLS LAUS — resident employment · IRS SOI — county migration and mover income

Evidence selected for Utah

The ranges behind the analysis

Each row keeps its own unit and shows the measured 10th percentile, median and 90th percentile. A single-value row is labelled directly.

Price and rent momentumAre home values and asking rents moving together or separating?
10th pct.median90th pct.Home-value change0.6%2.2%3.2%Asking-rent change0.5%2.7%6.0%Rent minus price0.5%
Supply and resale conditionsWhat do permits, inventory, marketing time and price cuts say about pressure?
10th pct.median90th pct.Permits / 1k3.710.014.0Months of supply3.4×5.3×8.9×Days on market35 days44 days55 daysListings with cuts23.7%30.6%34.7%
Entry cost and affordabilityHow far do local prices, rents, incomes and HUD rent standards stretch?
10th pct.median90th pct.Gross yield3.5%3.9%4.5%Price / income5.1×5.8×7.3×Rent / income19.8%22.6%29.9%Home value$398K$526K$744K
Shape of the state

Distribution before conclusion

A statewide median can hide a wide spread. These SVG charts render at build time and carry no chart library or browser-side data request.

Metro score distribution8 scored metros · median 52.0
00–19120–39640–59160–79080–100
County evidence coverageEvery gap stays visible as missing—not estimated
41%12/29Rent100%29/29Climate100%29/29Migration
Highest measured metro gross yieldsscreening metric only · before expenses and financing
Vernal4.7%St. George4.4%Cedar City4.3%Provo4.0%Ogden3.7%Logan3.7%Heber3.6%
Metro leaderboard

Markets touching Utah

Multi-state CBSAs appear in every member state. Score is still a metro score; no value is reweighted into a statewide ranking.

#MetroScorePriceRentYieldJobs
1Vernal, UT65$360k$1,4224.7%▲ 0.9%
2Logan, UT58$474k$1,4603.7%▲ 0.7%
3Heber, UT52$1155k$3,4493.6%▲ 0.7%
4Provo, UT52$548k$1,8474.0%▲ 1.4%
5Salt Lake City, UT52$567k$1,6383.5%▲ 1.3%
6St. George, UT46$531k$1,9364.4%▲ 2.1%
7Cedar City, UT40$414k$1,4834.3%▲ 1.8%
8Ogden, UT32$520k$1,6143.7%▼ 0.9%
Below the metro line

Largest counties in Utah

County figures join on the five-digit FIPS code. The table uses measured local values and prints “n/a” wherever a publisher has no record.

CountyPopulationPriceRentYieldHazard
Salt Lake County, UT1,196,523$576k$1,6393.4%earthquake
Utah County, UT705,400$549k$1,8474.0%earthquake
Davis County, UT370,924$564k$1,7343.7%earthquake
Weber County, UT269,648$465k$1,4793.8%earthquake
Washington County, UT196,431$531k$1,9364.4%wildfire
Cache County, UT140,046$477k$1,4633.7%earthquake
Tooele County, UT79,347$482k$1,7354.3%wildfire
Iron County, UT62,252$414k$1,4834.3%wildfire
Box Elder County, UT61,246$457k$1,2513.3%earthquake
Summit County, UT42,970$1339k$3,7773.4%inland flooding
Uintah County, UT37,056$360k$1,4224.7%inland flooding
Wasatch County, UT36,642$952k$3,1183.9%inland flooding
County yield sample12/29counties have the rent needed to compute yield
Statewide net migration+3,138IRS tax-return households summed across counties
Median investor share5.9%among counties with HMDA purchase records
Sources used in this analysis

Measured releases, not a global source count

Only sources supporting the selected evidence modules are listed here.

Bear case

What can break the thesis

  1. Utah county rent coverage reaches only 12 of 29 counties, compared with price coverage for 28 counties and listing coverage for 23, so county dispersion is incomplete.
  2. Asking rents, modeled home values and gross yields do not establish executed lease rents, acquisition basis or net operating return.
  3. ACS housing vacancy includes units that may not be available to long-term tenants; the especially high rates in small counties can misstate usable rental supply.
  4. Building permits do not distinguish completed rental inventory from other housing, and metro resale statistics can hide property-type and neighborhood differences.
  5. Employment, migration, ACS housing and current market series have different measurement periods, limiting direct alignment among demand, tenant conditions and pricing.
Investor questions

Before underwriting a property

Does Heber’s rent growth make it a clear acquisition market?

No. Heber recorded 11.0% asking-rent growth versus 2.3% value growth, but its measured value was $1,154,909, gross yield was 3.6%, resale supply was 8.4 months and the sale-to-list ratio was 97.2%. The packet supports further screening, not an acquisition conclusion.

What distinguishes Vernal in the measured set?

Vernal combined a $360,349 value, $1,422 rent and 4.7% gross yield. Its value growth of 4.6% exceeded rent growth of 3.6%, and resale conditions showed 6.2 months of supply and 62 days on market. It offers a stronger measured rent-to-price relationship but not uniformly stronger momentum or liquidity.

Do the county vacancy figures prove that Utah has abundant rental availability?

No. The median county housing-vacancy rate was 15.2%, with much higher readings in several small counties, but the measure covers vacant housing generally. It does not identify units available for long-term lease, their condition or their location relative to tenant demand.

How much tenant affordability pressure appears in the evidence?

The median county renter-burden share was 40.3%, and Washington County, Iron County and Carbon County each exceeded 50.0%. At the metro level, median rent-to-income was 22.6%. These are area-level distributions and cannot establish affordability for a specific unit or applicant pool.

Does positive demand offset the resale and affordability concerns?

Not by itself. Median metro employment growth was 1.1%, and net migration was positive at 3,138 people, or 0.9 per 1,000 residents. Those measures support demand screening, but they do not establish that household growth is reaching the same submarkets, property types or rent levels showing resale slack and renter burden.