Curated market comparison

AustinSan Antonio

Nearby Texas alternatives that put employment momentum against acquisition cost and current rental yield.

Austin, TX cityscape
San Antonio, TX cityscape
Quick answer

Choose by objective, not by one blended winner

These are the published fit calls from the verified decision memo. Use the full evidence below to decide whether the trade-off matches your property plan.

AustinEmployment · Supply discipline · Climate risk
San AntonioCash flow
Deal-dependentAffordability
Take the five-question market-fit quiz
Decision memo

The trade-off, before the charts

Figure-checked analysis generated from only these two published records. No appreciation forecast and no property-level expense assumptions.

San Antonio better fits an initial cash-flow screen. Its 6.06% gross yield exceeds Austin’s 4.65%, while the median home value is $280,370 versus $426,944. That combination gives a buyer more current rent relative to acquisition value and a lower capital threshold for property-level review. Austin’s higher $1,653 asking rent does not offset its yield disadvantage at the market level. These are gross measures, so neither market earns approval without testing actual taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy and financing for a specific asset.

Affordability depends on whose constraint matters. San Antonio’s 3.68 price-to-income measure is friendlier to buyers than Austin’s 4.25, supporting a broader acquisition search at lower values. Austin is easier on renters by the published burden measure: rent consumes 19.75% of median household income, compared with 22.29% in San Antonio. Austin also has the stronger employment signal, with 1.39% job growth versus 0.10%. A buyer prioritizing tenant income coverage and labor-market momentum should investigate Austin despite its weaker entry economics; a buyer prioritizing purchase affordability should begin with San Antonio.

Supply and climate separate the markets less cleanly. Austin has 5.2 months of supply against San Antonio’s 5.4, but its permitting pace is higher, so current balance does not guarantee future discipline. Both identify inland flood as the dominant hazard. Austin’s published climate loss ratio is 0.1182%, below San Antonio’s 0.1456%, making Austin the better fit for lower modeled climate-loss tolerance. The practical choice is therefore conditional: San Antonio for gross cash flow and entry price; Austin for employment, renter affordability and the lower published climate-loss measure. Both still require neighborhood, asset and insurance verification.

Evidence matrix

One question, two records

“n/a” means the current source did not publish a comparable value. It is never replaced with an estimate.

Decision evidenceAustin, TXSan Antonio, TX
Composite scoresame published scoring framework51/10034/100
Median home valueZillow ZHVI$426,944$280,370
Median asking rentZillow ZORI$1,653$1,416
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ price4.7%6.1%
Price to household incomevalue ÷ ACS income4.25x3.68x
Annual job changeCES▲ 1.39%▲ 0.10%
Months of supplylatest Redfin period when published5.2 mo.5.4 mo.
Net migrationIRS tax-return households+13,431+8,675
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.118%0.146%
Latest market momentum

Price and rent are not moving in lockstep

A shared zero-centred scale makes direction and magnitude comparable. This is a current annual change, not a forecast.

Latest annual home-value and asking-rent momentumAustin, TXLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-5.7%ASKING RENT-1.9%-5.7%+5.7%San Antonio, TXLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-1.9%ASKING RENT-2.0%-5.7%+5.7%
Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Score fingerprint

The same total can hide a different market

Direct labels replace hover tooltips, so the full comparison remains visible in static HTML and print.

Component score differencesAustinCOMPOSITE SCORE51/100same national frameworkSan AntonioCOMPOSITE SCORE34/100same national frameworkCOMPONENT PROFILE0255075100Employment9048gap 42Rent trend22gap 0Affordability8367gap 16Supply discipline514gap 9Climate safety7148gap 23AustinSan Antonio
Component percentiles use the same national scoring population and published weights on both market pages. See the source ledger below for the releases behind each component.
Price and rent history

Two growth paths, rebased to the same start

Each panel starts at 100. End labels expose whether rents or prices moved farther without asking the reader to chase a legend.

Indexed price and rent historyAustin, TXHOME VALUE INDEX133RENT INDEX11610013517020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared yearSan Antonio, TXHOME VALUE INDEX132RENT INDEX11910013517020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared year
Austin: price 133 · rent 116San Antonio: price 132 · rent 119Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26; Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Fit by objective

There is no universal winner

Five underwriting questions are kept in one decision ledger instead of five disconnected cards.

01
Cash flowSan Antonio

San Antonio is the better cash-flow screening fit because its published gross yield is 6.06%, compared with 4.65% in Austin. Austin’s median asking rent is higher at $1,653 versus $1,416, but its much higher acquisition value produces the weaker gross yield. For a buyer, this directs first-pass underwriting toward San Antonio when current income relative to price is the priority. Gross yield excludes property-specific operating costs and financing, so the advantage is a screening result rather than evidence of superior net cash flow.

02
AffordabilityDepends on the deal

San Antonio better fits acquisition affordability: its median home value is $280,370, while Austin’s is $426,944, and its price-to-income measure is 3.68 versus 4.25. Austin, however, better fits renter affordability because rent represents 19.75% of median household income, compared with 22.29% in San Antonio. A capital-constrained buyer gets a lower market entry benchmark in San Antonio. A buyer focused on tenants’ income capacity gets the stronger market-level signal in Austin, though neither measure describes the occupants or purchase price of a specific property.

03
EmploymentAustin

Austin is the stronger employment fit under the common CES source. Published year-over-year job growth is 1.39% in Austin and 0.10% in San Antonio, with an explicit Austin-minus-San Antonio gap of 1.29 percentage points. Austin also records net migration of 13,431 tax-return households versus 8,675 in San Antonio. For a buyer, these readings justify deeper testing of Austin submarkets where tenant demand depends on continued employment. They do not identify industries, wage distribution, neighborhood commuting patterns or whether recent momentum will persist, so they cannot establish property-level occupancy by themselves.

04
Supply disciplineAustin

Austin narrowly fits current supply discipline because it reports 5.2 months of supply, compared with 5.4 in San Antonio. The forward construction signal complicates that result: Austin has 8.66 permits per 1,000 residents versus San Antonio’s 4.38, while median days on market are 58 and 72, respectively. For a buyer, Austin’s slightly tighter current inventory and faster transaction pace warrant attention, but its heavier permitting calls for close review of nearby deliveries. San Antonio’s lower permit pace is favorable, yet its looser current inventory prevents a clear forward-looking victory.

05
Climate riskAustin

Austin better fits a buyer with lower tolerance for the published climate-loss measure. Its annual climate loss ratio is 0.1182% of building value, below San Antonio’s 0.1456%, and the supplied Austin-minus-San Antonio difference is -0.0274 percentage points. Inland flood is the dominant hazard in both markets, so San Antonio does not offer hazard-type diversification. For a buyer, the figures make Austin the preferable market-level climate screen, but they do not replace parcel flood mapping, elevation review, drainage inspection, loss history, coverage terms or current insurance quotations for either market.

Your priorities, verified evidence

Which market fits your plan?

Answer five questions to reweight the published fit calls above. Your answers change the emphasis—not the evidence, figures or market scores.

Question 1 of 5Cash flow
How important is current income in your market decision?

Choose how much the published cash-flow fit should influence your result.

Income and pressure

Where the trade-off becomes visible

Yield and jobs answer a different question than supply and migration. The page keeps both views separate instead of blending them into one score.

Income × employment

Gross yield against job growth

Gross yield and job growth positionAustinGROSS YIELD4.7%JOB CHANGE1.4%San AntonioGROSS YIELD6.1%JOB CHANGE0.1%MORE JOB MOMENTUMHIGHER YIELD + JOBSLOWER ON BOTH AXESMORE CURRENT YIELDAustinSan Antonio3.9%6.8%GROSS YIELD - HIGHER TO THE RIGHT2.1%-0.6%
A position chart, not a forecast.Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26BLS CES — payroll employment · CES SM current · pulled 2026-07-26
Supply × demand

Capacity and household flow

Supply and migration balanceSUPPLY DISCIPLINEcomponent score and current listing supply0100Austin5.2 months listed5/100San Antonio5.4 months listed14/100NET HOUSEHOLD MIGRATIONIRS tax-return householdsOUTFLOW0INFLOWAustinnet tax-return households+13,431San Antonionet tax-return households+8,675
Supply and IRS migration remain separate measures.Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · BPS through 2026 · pulled 2026-07-26Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts · metro tracker through 2026-05-01 · pulled 2026-07-26IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26
Migration quality, not just volume

Adjust the flow for market size and mover income

Raw migration rewards a larger metro by construction. The rate below divides net mover tax returns by ACS population; the income bars then compare the adjusted gross income reported by arrivals and departures.

Migration volume adjusted for population and mover income qualityAustin, TXNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+5.5PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+13,431 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$100,732LEAVING$99,199ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$1,533San Antonio, TXNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+3.3PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+8,675 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$70,514LEAVING$69,954ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$560
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — population · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-26“Per 1,000 residents” is a transparent normalization, not a published IRS rate.
Underwriting boundary

What this comparison cannot decide

Market evidence narrows the search. It does not price a roof, an insurance policy, a loan or a specific lease.

  1. Gross yield is based on market-level rent and value, not a matched property. It omits taxes, insurance, repairs, management, vacancy, concessions, closing costs and debt service. Because those inputs are not published here, San Antonio’s cash-flow advantage must be retested with actual listings, achievable rents and current insurance quotations before selecting an asset.
  2. Supply evidence mixes current resale conditions with permitting activity and does not publish unit type, project geography, completion timing, cancellations or absorption. Austin’s higher permit pace may not compete with a chosen rental, while San Antonio’s lower pace may conceal concentrated nearby deliveries. Underwriting should map active and planned units around each candidate property rather than apply the metro signal uniformly.
  3. CES employment, migration and affordability measures describe broad markets, not tenant pools near a property. Industry composition, neighborhood wages, lease renewal behavior and employer concentration are not published. Climate loss ratios are also market aggregates; both markets identify inland flood as the dominant hazard, requiring parcel-level flood, drainage and insurability checks.
From metro to local evidence

Open the counties inside each market

Metro averages can hide large local differences. These links are ordered by published ACS population and lead to county price, rent, listings, migration, investor and hazard evidence.