Curated market comparison

DallasAustin

Large Texas alternatives with material differences in acquisition cost, gross yield, affordability, employment, migration and climate exposure.

Dallas, TX cityscape
Austin, TX cityscape
Quick answer

Choose by objective, not by one blended winner

These are the published fit calls from the verified decision memo. Use the full evidence below to decide whether the trade-off matches your property plan.

DallasCash flow
AustinEmployment · Supply discipline · Climate risk
Deal-dependentAffordability
Take the five-question market-fit quiz
Decision memo

The trade-off, before the charts

Figure-checked analysis generated from only these two published records. No appreciation forecast and no property-level expense assumptions.

Dallas better fits a cash-flow-first screen. Its 5.48% gross yield exceeds Austin’s 4.65%, while its median home value is $60,243 lower and asking rent is $20 higher. That combination gives Dallas more gross income relative to acquisition price before property-specific vacancy, operating costs, financing and repairs are tested. Austin’s stronger overall score of 51 versus 44 does not override its weaker rent component for an income-focused buyer.

Affordability depends on whose constraint matters. Austin is easier on renters, with rent consuming 19.75% of median household income versus 22.24% in Dallas. Dallas is easier for acquisition budgets and has a lower price-to-income multiple. Employment stability leans Austin because CES job growth was 1.39%, ahead of Dallas, but Dallas recorded 7,639 more net-migration households. Buyers should therefore distinguish near-term job momentum from the breadth of household inflows supporting demand.

Supply discipline is weak in both markets, with Dallas at 8.52 permits per 1,000 residents and Austin at 8.66. Dallas also has the lower supply component, so Austin is the relative fit, not a low-supply market. Austin better fits lower climate-risk tolerance because its annual climate loss ratio is 0.1182%, compared with 0.1328% in Dallas; both list inland flood as the dominant hazard. Property-level underwriting should prioritize Dallas for yield and entry cost, and Austin for renter affordability, employment momentum and somewhat lower modeled climate loss.

Evidence matrix

One question, two records

“n/a” means the current source did not publish a comparable value. It is never replaced with an estimate.

Decision evidenceDallas, TXAustin, TX
Composite scoresame published scoring framework44/10051/100
Median home valueZillow ZHVI$366,701$426,944
Median asking rentZillow ZORI$1,673$1,653
Gross rental yieldrent × 12 ÷ price5.5%4.7%
Price to household incomevalue ÷ ACS income4.06x4.25x
Annual job changeCES▲ 0.82%▲ 1.39%
Months of supplylatest Redfin period when publishedn/a5.2 mo.
Net migrationIRS tax-return households+21,070+13,431
Expected annual building lossFEMA NRI market aggregate0.133%0.118%
Latest market momentum

Price and rent are not moving in lockstep

A shared zero-centred scale makes direction and magnitude comparable. This is a current annual change, not a forecast.

Latest annual home-value and asking-rent momentumDallas, TXLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-3.0%ASKING RENT-0.1%-5.7%+5.7%Austin, TXLATEST YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE0%HOME VALUE-5.7%ASKING RENT-1.9%-5.7%+5.7%
Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Score fingerprint

The same total can hide a different market

Direct labels replace hover tooltips, so the full comparison remains visible in static HTML and print.

Component score differencesDallasCOMPOSITE SCORE44/100same national frameworkAustinCOMPOSITE SCORE51/100same national frameworkCOMPONENT PROFILE0255075100Employment7890gap 12Rent trend72gap 5Affordability6883gap 15Supply discipline25gap 3Climate safety5671gap 15DallasAustin
Component percentiles use the same national scoring population and published weights on both market pages. See the source ledger below for the releases behind each component.
Price and rent history

Two growth paths, rebased to the same start

Each panel starts at 100. End labels expose whether rents or prices moved farther without asking the reader to chase a legend.

Indexed price and rent historyDallas, TXHOME VALUE INDEX141RENT INDEX12810013517020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared yearAustin, TXHOME VALUE INDEX133RENT INDEX11610013517020192026rebased to 100 at the first shared year
Dallas: price 141 · rent 128Austin: price 133 · rent 116Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26; Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26
Fit by objective

There is no universal winner

Five underwriting questions are kept in one decision ledger instead of five disconnected cards.

01
Cash flowDallas

Dallas is the better cash-flow screen: its supplied gross yield is 5.48% versus Austin’s 4.65%. Dallas also pairs a $366,701 median value with $1,673 asking rent, while Austin pairs $426,944 with $1,653. For a buyer, Dallas offers more gross rent relative to acquisition price. This is only a screening result because no property-level vacancy, operating-cost, financing or repair figures are published.

02
AffordabilityDepends on the deal

Dallas better fits a buyer constrained by entry price: its median value is $60,243 below Austin’s and its price-to-income multiple is 4.06 versus 4.25. Austin better fits renter affordability, with rent at 19.75% of median household income versus 22.24% in Dallas. The buyer must choose between a lower acquisition hurdle in Dallas and more room in the representative renter budget in Austin.

03
EmploymentAustin

Austin has the stronger published CES employment signal, with year-over-year job growth of 1.39% versus 0.82% in Dallas. That favors Austin when the buyer prioritizes current employment momentum as support for tenant demand. Dallas nevertheless recorded net migration of 21,070 tax-return households, compared with 13,431 in Austin, so its larger household inflow merits property-level demand checks rather than treating Austin’s job-growth lead as conclusive.

04
Supply disciplineAustin

Austin is the relative fit for supply discipline, but neither market presents a tight construction signal. Permitting measured 8.66 units per 1,000 residents in Austin and 8.52 in Dallas, while the supply components were 5 and 2. Dallas issued 68,016 permits versus Austin’s 21,012, though those totals reflect different market scales. Dallas months of supply is not published, so Austin’s 5.2 months cannot be compared directly.

05
Climate riskAustin

Austin better fits a buyer with lower climate-risk tolerance. Its annual climate loss ratio is 0.1182% of building value, below Dallas at 0.1328%, and its climate component is 71 versus 56. Both markets identify inland flood as the dominant hazard, so Austin’s relative advantage does not remove location-specific exposure. A buyer still needs parcel-level flood, insurance and resilience review before pricing either asset.

Your priorities, verified evidence

Which market fits your plan?

Answer five questions to reweight the published fit calls above. Your answers change the emphasis—not the evidence, figures or market scores.

Question 1 of 5Cash flow
How important is current income in your market decision?

Choose how much the published cash-flow fit should influence your result.

Income and pressure

Where the trade-off becomes visible

Yield and jobs answer a different question than supply and migration. The page keeps both views separate instead of blending them into one score.

Income × employment

Gross yield against job growth

Gross yield and job growth positionDallasGROSS YIELD5.5%JOB CHANGE0.8%AustinGROSS YIELD4.7%JOB CHANGE1.4%MORE JOB MOMENTUMHIGHER YIELD + JOBSLOWER ON BOTH AXESMORE CURRENT YIELDDallasAustin4.1%6.0%GROSS YIELD - HIGHER TO THE RIGHT1.9%0.3%
A position chart, not a forecast.Zillow ZHVI — metro home values · Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26Zillow ZORI — metro market rents · Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv · pulled 2026-07-26BLS CES — payroll employment · CES SM current · pulled 2026-07-26
Supply × demand

Capacity and household flow

Supply and migration balanceSUPPLY DISCIPLINEcomponent score and current listing supply0100Dallaslisting supply n/a2/100Austin5.2 months listed5/100NET HOUSEHOLD MIGRATIONIRS tax-return householdsOUTFLOW0INFLOWDallasnet tax-return households+21,070Austinnet tax-return households+13,431
Supply and IRS migration remain separate measures.Census Building Permits Survey — permitted units · BPS through 2026 · pulled 2026-07-26Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cuts · metro tracker through 2026-05-01 · pulled 2026-07-26IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26
Migration quality, not just volume

Adjust the flow for market size and mover income

Raw migration rewards a larger metro by construction. The rate below divides net mover tax returns by ACS population; the income bars then compare the adjusted gross income reported by arrivals and departures.

Migration volume adjusted for population and mover income qualityDallas, TXNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+2.6PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+21,070 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$86,488LEAVING$83,365ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$3,123Austin, TXNET TAX-RETURN HOUSEHOLDS+5.5PER 1,000 RESIDENTS+13,431 raw netMOVER INCOME PER RETURNARRIVING$100,732LEAVING$99,199ARRIVING MINUS LEAVING AGI+$1,533
IRS SOI — county migration and mover income · SOI migration 2022-2023 · pulled 2026-07-26Census ACS 5-year — population · ACS 2024 5-year · pulled 2026-07-26“Per 1,000 residents” is a transparent normalization, not a published IRS rate.
Underwriting boundary

What this comparison cannot decide

Market evidence narrows the search. It does not price a roof, an insurance policy, a loan or a specific lease.

  1. Gross yield is a market-level screening measure, not net operating income. Vacancy, taxes, insurance, maintenance, management, financing terms and property condition are not published, so Dallas’s yield advantage cannot be carried directly into a property valuation.
  2. Comparable market-balance data are incomplete. Austin reports months of supply, median days on market and price drops, but Dallas does not. Supply discipline therefore rests mainly on permitting measures and component scores rather than a complete two-market resale-inventory comparison.
  3. Climate loss ratios are broad modeled averages, while both markets list inland flood as the dominant hazard. Parcel elevation, flood-zone status, drainage, prior claims, insurance availability and mitigation costs are not published and require address-level verification.
From metro to local evidence

Open the counties inside each market

Metro averages can hide large local differences. These links are ordered by published ACS population and lead to county price, rent, listings, migration, investor and hazard evidence.