Billings, MT cityscape
Markets / Montana / Billings
RENTAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Billings, MT

Billings merits selective investigation by buyers prioritizing manageable renter costs and modest rent growth; yield-focused or employment-led investors should be cautious.

Median price$413k
Median rent$1,444
Gross yield4.2%
Job growth▼ 0.5%
CBSA 1374026 public sourcesChecked nightly
SCORE / 10043RANK #378 / 571
Composite Market ScoreRank #378 of 571 scored US metros
The read

Why this market scores where it does

Written from the figures on this page and then checked against them: every number below had to appear in the source record or recompute from two that did, or the text was rewritten.

Billings merits selective investigation by buyers prioritizing manageable renter costs and modest rent growth; yield-focused or employment-led investors should be cautious. Median asking rent is $1,444, up 3.5%, while the gross yield is 4.2%.

The opportunity is a relatively balanced rental burden: rent equals 22.45% of median household income. Migration was also positive, with 327 more households moving in than out. These signals support demand, but do not establish property-level returns.

The main tension is weaker employment alongside added housing and slower resale conditions. Jobs fell 0.5%, permits reached 968, and listings took 58 days to sell. Buyers should test whether achievable rent covers expenses and whether local flood exposure changes insurance or repair costs.

Frequently Asked Investor Questions

Are rents rising?
Yes. Median asking rent is $1,444 per month, up 3.5% year over year.
Is household migration positive?
Yes. Tax filings show 4,307 households moved in and 3,980 moved out, for net migration of 327.
How liquid is the resale market?
Median time on market is 58 days, and 19.12% of listings had price drops.

Investor Quick Takeaways

Gross Yield: 4.2%

Computed from the current Zillow rent and home-value medians.

Rent Momentum: ▲ 3.50%

Zillow ZORI rent growth trend over trailing 12 months.

Investor Activity: 9.2%

Originated investment purchase share (CFPB HMDA).

Climate Exposure: FEMA NRI

Annualized loss ratio evaluated for flood & hurricane risk.

Run Cash-Flow Test for Billings
Market pulse

The current market in eight signals

Fast-moving Redfin conditions sit beside the slower fundamentals so a buyer can separate today's negotiating climate from the long-run investment case.

Months of supply4.5 mo.▼ from 4.8 mo. a year ago
Median days on market58 days▼ from 59 days a year ago
Listings with price drops19.1%▲ from 19.1% a year ago
Sale-to-list ration/a2026-05-01
Home value growth▲ 2.3%Zillow ZHVI · trailing 12 months
Rent growth▲ 3.50%Zillow ZORI · trailing 12 months
Gross rental yield4.2%Rent × 12 ÷ price
Payroll job growth▼ 0.5%CES · 12m to 2026-06
Composite breakdown

What each component measures

Weights are published, not hidden, and the arithmetic is shown. Five components, each measured as a national percentile across all tracked metros.

Jobs25Rent trend54Affordability65Supply17Climate safety65
Published arithmeticComponent × weight = points
43
SignalScoreWeightPoints
Job growth2530%7.50
Rent trend5425%13.50
Affordability6515%9.75
Supply pressure1715%2.55
Climate risk6515%9.75
Published score43
Billings, MT scoreRank #378
43
Job growth25/100

Job: CES employment fell 0.5% -> tenant-demand underwriting should not rely on job growth.

Rent trend54/100

Rent: Asking rent rose 3.5% to $1,444 -> revenue conditions improved, though the 4.2% gross yield remains modest.

Affordability65/100

Afford: Rent equals 22.45% of median household income -> renter affordability appears less strained than the purchase price-to-income measure.

Supply pressure17/100

Supply: 968 permits and 4.5 months of supply -> new housing and available listings may limit owner pricing power.

Climate risk65/100

Climate: The inland-flood loss ratio is 0.1242% -> property-specific water exposure and insurance terms require review.

The numbers

What this market costs and what it earns

Every derived ratio below recomputes from the same source record used by the article and score.

ZHVI Median Price
$413k
YoY ▲ 2.3%
ZORI Median Rent
$1,444
YoY ▲ 3.50%
Gross Rental Yield
4.2%
Rent × 12 ÷ price
$1,444 × 12 ÷ $412,595
Job Growth (YoY)
▼ 0.5%
CES payrolls
Job signal 25/100
Median Household Income
$77k
Census ACS 5-year
Rent Burden
22.4%
Annual rent ÷ household income
Price-to-Income
5.3x
Median value ÷ household income
HUD 2BR Fair Market Rent
$1,417
Market rent 101.9% of FMR
Supply pipeline

What is being built, and for whom

Permits are the 12-to-24 month early warning. The total matters less than the mix: apartments compete with a rental the day they open.

Building permits by structure type
units per year · latest year annualised
Download CSV ↓
1,08020191,269202089320211,130202234320231,2492024825202583020265+ unit buildingssingle family
830 units authorised in 2026, 4% of them in 5+ unit buildings. This is a single-family building cycle, so the competition is other houses, not new apartments. ✓ recomputed from series
Source: Census Building Permits Survey
Who is arriving, and who is buying

Demand, and the competition for it

Tax filings say how many households moved and what they earn; mortgage disclosures say how many local purchases went to someone who will not live there. Moves between counties inside this metro are netted out of both flow figures.

Net Household Move
+327
4,307 in vs 3,980 out (IRS SOI)
▲ 7.6% of arriving households
Mover Income Gap
+$1,435
Arriving $67,197 vs leaving $65,762
Average AGI per tax return (IRS SOI)
Investor Purchase Share
9.2%
216 of 2,338 originated purchase loans
CFPB HMDA 2024
Dominant Hazard
inland flooding
0.124% building value annual loss ratio
FEMA NRI · risk type: water
Households arrive mainly from: Gallatin County · Missoula County · Big Horn County · Maricopa County · Cascade County
4,307 in − 3,980 out = 327 net
The other side

What would make this a bad buy

Generated from the same figures with the instruction to argue against the score, and published unedited. A page that only agrees with itself is an advertisement.

Three ways the case breaks

  1. Employment weakness could reduce tenant demand or rent-collection resilience.
  2. New permitting and available for-sale supply could constrain rent or resale pricing power.
  3. Inland-flood exposure could add insurance, mitigation, or repair costs at specific properties.
Statistical peers

Metros that behave like Billings

Nearest neighbours on price level, income, yield and job growth — not on geography. Every market page gets a different peer set, which is the point.

MetroScorePriceRentYieldJob Growth
Billings, MT (Target)43$413k$1,4444.2%▼ 0.5%
Idaho Falls, ID38$413k$1,4144.1%▼ 0.1%
Whitewater, WI67$412k$1,3333.9%▼ 0.3%
Grand Junction, CO49$438k$1,7664.8%▼ 0.2%
Eau Claire, WI48$326k$1,2154.5%▼ 0.2%
Provenance

Where every figure came from

“Checked nightly” means every source is re-pulled and re-verified each night. It does not mean every source moves nightly — the release column tells you how fresh each number can possibly be.

Dataset SourceMethodRelease PeriodPulled Date
Census ACS 5-year — household incomedirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-26
Census ACS 5-year — populationdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-26
BLS CES — payroll employmentdirectCES SM current2026-07-26
BLS LAUS — resident employmentdirectLAUS current2026-07-26
BLS QCEW — county employment and wagesdirectannual county employment and wages 2025 vs 20242026-07-31
OMB/BLS delineation — metro geographydirectOMB July 2023 delineation2026-07-30
Census Building Permits Survey — permitted unitsdirectBPS through 20262026-07-26
Census ACS 5-year — city population, households and housingdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-29
Census ACS 5-year — county housing value, tenure and stockdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-30
Census ACS 5-year — cities and communitiesdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-30
FEMA National Risk Index — hazard loss ratiosmodelledNRI counties (FEMA ArcGIS)2026-07-26
FHFA House Price Index — annual county appreciationdirectannual county HPI 20252026-07-28
HMDA / CFPB — purchases by occupancy typedirectHMDA 2024 purchase originations2026-07-26
HUD Fair Market Rents — Section 8 standarddirectFY2026 FMR2026-07-26
HUD USPS crosswalk and Small Area FMRs — ZIP rent fallbackdirectZIP-CBSA 2025Q4 + SAFMR FY20262026-07-26
IRS SOI — county migration and mover incomedirectSOI migration 2022-20232026-07-26
Freddie Mac PMMS — mortgage ratesdirectweek of 2026-07-232026-07-27
Census ACS 5-year — effective property taxdirectACS 2024 5-year2026-07-27
Realtor.com Economic Research — county listing inventorydirectcounty inventory 2026-062026-07-28
Redfin Data Center — inventory, days on market, and price cutsdirectmetro tracker through 2026-05-012026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI and ZORI — county values and rentsdirectcounty ZHVI/ZORI 2026-062026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI — metro home valuesdirectMetro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Zillow ZHVI — city home valuesdirectzillow_zhvi_city.csv2026-07-29
Zillow ZORI — metro market rentsdirectMetro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_sa_month.csv2026-07-26
Zillow ZORI — city market rentsdirectzillow_zori_city.csv2026-07-29
Zillow ZORI — ZIP market rentsdirectZORI ZIP 2026-062026-07-26